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PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock IDR 10, price IDR 55, that is 80.9% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology ID

PT PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus

TRON · JK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 81% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter 48% below a year ago.
Fair value 10.48 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−80.9%)
Quality 31/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −16.8 %/yr in IDR)
Loss-making · -88.3% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 16/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

418.00 IDR 55.00 IDR Fair Value 10.48 IDR Mar 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range 55.00 IDR – 418.00 IDR · fair‑value band 6.92 IDR – 13.10 IDR · the 55.00 IDR price screens above the 10.48 IDR fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nusa Tbk engages in the IT transportation telematics and systems development activities to passenger and freight transportation industries in Indonesia.

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The company provides safety fleet management system, public transport and logistic solutions, intelligent traffic control system, Internet of Things (IoT) smart bus, tourism solutions, smart street lighting, digital payment solutions, transit-oriented development, terminal operating system, smart command center, railways monitoring solutions, identification and booking system, maintenance and LiDAR system.

It also offers Software as a Service solution, including transit management, project management, and smart parking; and telematic smart devices for public transport, maritime and mining sector.

In addition, the company provides business process outsourcing, which includes customer service management, human resources, information technology systems, and real-time performance reporting; three-wheel electric vehicle solutions; revolutionizing transportation; battery electric vehicle; new energy vehicle; battery energy storage system; and charging facilities for electric vehicles.

PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nusa Tbk was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON) currently trades at 55.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.48 IDR, 81% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 6.92 IDR (bear) to 13.10 IDR (bull), the price of 55.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus reported revenue of 62.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 108B IDR in FY2022, a compound −16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −36.4B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 162B IDR (≈ $9.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 6.07 · Net margin −88.3% · Return on equity −15.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% (4-year average) · Operating margin 5.6% · Revenue (TTM) 33.5B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) −48.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 83% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 28% fair-value upside, at −81%, TRON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 6.92 IDR Fair Value 10.48 IDR Bull 13.10 IDR
Price 55.00 IDR · Downside -80.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 6.92 IDR 10.48 IDR 13.10 IDR 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.92 IDR 10.48 IDR 13.10 IDR 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 2
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 35
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 61
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.3% (2022) → −26.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TRON screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 479 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −88.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −48.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.84× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $64.72 $139.68 +116% vs TRON
Capgemini SE CAP €126.90 €223.11 +76% vs TRON
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹198.00 ₹287.86 +45% vs TRON
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,181 ₹1,655 +40% vs TRON
Accenture plc ACN $260.50 $332.90 +28% vs TRON
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,499 ₹2,993 +20% vs TRON
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,440 ₹1,602 +11% vs TRON
Amadeus IT Group AMS €60.52 €66.57 +10% vs TRON
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $190.40 $161.18 −15% vs TRON
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $245.00 $185.39 −24% vs TRON

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PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRON

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.48 IDR versus a price of 55.00 IDR, about 81% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRON?
Our model-based fair value for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 10.48 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 55.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TRON?
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.48 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.92 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.10 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.48 IDR, about 81% lower versus a price of 55.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.92 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.10 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus it is 10.48 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 55.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, TRON trades above its calculated fair value: price 55.00 IDR, fair value 10.48 IDR, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (55.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.48 IDR). For PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus the two are 44.52 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus worth?
The market values PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus at about 162B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 55.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 10.48 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRON?
Our models span a range for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus: cautious scenario 6.92 IDR, base 10.48 IDR, optimistic 13.10 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 55.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −15.0%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRON from its 52-week high?
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus trades at 55.00 IDR, about 83% below its 52-week high of 318.00 IDR and at the low of 55.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.48 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 55.00 IDR, calculated fair value 10.48 IDR (−81%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRON calculated?
We run PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 10.48 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 55.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 10.48 IDR, about 81% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.10 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (6.92 IDR to 13.10 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The market capitalisation of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 162B IDR (≈ $9.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 6.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The net margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is −88.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is −15.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 8.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The operating margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Revenue at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is growing −48.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Earnings per share at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus are growing −95.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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