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TISCO Financial Group (TSCFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.4B

TF TISCO Financial Group logo TISCO Financial Group TSCFY · US
Price$30.50
Fair Value$32.11
Upside+5.3%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 38.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.68% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range $24.08 – $40.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $32.44 to $32.11 (−1.0%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.50 $16.95 Fair Value $32.11 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $16.95 – $30.50 · fair‑value band $24.08 – $40.14 · the $30.50 price screens below the $32.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

TISCO Financial Group (TSCFY) currently trades at $30.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.11, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, TISCO Financial Group generated revenue of $17.4B at a net margin of 38.8%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at $21.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.08 (bear case) to $40.14 (bull case); at $30.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 5%, TSCFY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $810.90 $1,081 $1,352 63
Residual Income $538.22 $699.02 $1,797 61
P/B Multiple $569.10 $758.79 $948.49 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $810.90 $1,081 $1,352 63
P/B Multiple $569.10 $758.79 $948.49 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $271.00 $363.14 $542.00 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $538.22 $699.02 $1,797 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($758.79) versus Asset-Based ($363.14). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.2%
Net margin 38.8%
Return on equity 15.0%
Free cash flow $8.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.7
More key figures
Operating margin 49.2%
EPS (TTM) $2.61
Dividend yield 7.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net debt $21.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TISCO Financial Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services for individuals and businesses in Thailand. The company operates through four segments: Commercial Banking Business, Securities Business, Asset Management Business, and Support Business.

Full company description

TISCO Financial Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services for individuals and businesses in Thailand. The company operates through four segments: Commercial Banking Business, Securities Business, Asset Management Business, and Support Business. It accepts deposit products, such as special and standard current accounts, savings accounts, and term and recurring deposit products. The company also provides personal loans, such as home loan, new and used car loans, and loans against inheritance pension, and refinance home loans; and corporate loans, including project and long-term loans, short term loans, and guarantee products. In addition, it offers investment services, such as brokerage services, derivative brokerage, provident funds, and mutual funds, as well as global trade services; and insurance products comprising life, health and critical illness, personal accident, car, lifestyle, and home insurance. Further, the company provides investment banking services, including financial advisory services for merger and acquisition, company valuation, tender offer, and financial advisory and underwriting service for the initial public offering, privatization advisory and implementation, project financing, debt restructuring, feasibility study, project valuation, and general advisory services; and cash management, private banking, and wealth and asset management services. Additionally, it offers promptpay, atm card, alert, bill payment, cross-bank bill payment, assets for sale, car auction, and hire purchase services. TISCO Financial Group Public Company Limited was founded in 1969 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TISCO Financial Group reported revenue of $24.0B in FY2025 versus $21.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $6.7B in FY2025, compounding −0.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$24.0B
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+6.8%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY21 $21.1B
FY22 $20.4B
FY23 $23.0B
FY24 $24.7B
FY25 $24.0B
Net income −0.5%/yr
FY21 $6.8B
FY22 $7.2B
FY23 $7.3B
FY24 $6.9B
FY25 $6.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TISCO Financial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSCFY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.7× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 39.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 39
FUTURE 11 · sector 44
PAST 60 · sector 41
HEALTH 83 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TISCO Financial Group (TSCFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.11 versus a price of $30.50, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TSCFY?
Our model-based fair value for TISCO Financial Group is $32.11 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.50.
What is the quality score of TSCFY?
TISCO Financial Group has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TISCO Financial Group (TSCFY)?
TISCO Financial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TSCFY?
The net profit margin of TISCO Financial Group is about 38.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TISCO Financial Group pay a dividend?
TISCO Financial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.68% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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