TDK Corp (TTDKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TDK Corp stock $16.77, price $17.45, upside -3.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.17 – $25.63 · fair‑value band $11.74 – $24.20 · the $17.45 price screens above the $16.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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TDK Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of electronic components in Japan, Europe, China, Asia, the Americas, and internationally.
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The company operates through Passive Components, Sensor Application Products, Magnetic Application Products, Energy Application Products, and Others segments.
The Passive Components segment offers ceramic capacitors, aluminum electrolytic capacitors, film capacitors, high-frequency components, piezoelectric material products, and circuit protection components, as well as inductive devices, including ferrite cores, coils, and transformers.
The Sensor Application Products segment provides temperature and pressure, magnetic, and MEMS sensors. The Magnetic Application Products segment offers hard disk drives(HDD) heads, HDD suspension assemblies, and magnets.
The Energy Application Products segment provides energy devices comprising rechargeable batteries and power supplies. The Other segment offers mechatronics production equipment and camera module micro actuators for smartphones and other products.
It also engages in the provision of insurance and real estate agency services; research and development of semiconductor products; and development, manufacture, and sale of rechargeable battery cells.
Its products are used in information and communication technology, automotive, micromobility, industrial and energy, consumer electronics/home appliances, AI eco system, and medical and healthcare applications.
The company was formerly known as Tokyo Denki Kagaku Kogyo K.K. and changed its name to TDK Corporation in 1983. TDK Corporation was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
TDK Corp (TTDKY) currently trades at $17.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.77, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $19.50 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the $17.45 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.49, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $11.74 (bear) to $24.20 (bull), the price of $17.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TDK Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥2.7T in FY2026 versus ¥1.9T in FY2022, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥207B in FY2026, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $33.2B Large · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) $1.18 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −4%, TTDKY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$11.74Fair Value $16.77Bull$24.20
Price $17.45 · Upside -3.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5365 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−5.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.4% vs −4.4%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.1% a year for the price and +5.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Strong double-digit margins from the recovering magnetic heads business stand against average financial ratios and limited signals of durable advantage.
Main risk: Fielding bids for the magnetic heads unit risks losing its strong margins and cash flows if expansion in sensors and batteries yields lower returns.
TDK's magnetic heads business now delivers strong double-digit margins as HDD demand rebounds and customers like Seagate and Western Digital increase reliance on its supply. The company is simultaneously fielding bids for this unit from those same competitors, with proceeds eyed for faster expansion in passive components, sensors and batteries tied to AI. Will reallocating capital from the recovering HDD segment create more value than keeping the cash flows in place?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 645 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−9.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.6% · Above median
Return on assets4.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)38.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.77 versus a price of $17.45, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TTDKY?
Our model-based fair value for TDK Corp ADR is $16.77 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.45.
What is the quality score of TTDKY?
TDK Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.77 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.74, optimistic scenario $24.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TDK Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.77, about −4% upside versus a price of $17.45 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $11.74, optimistic scenario $24.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
TDK Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.7T (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does TDK Corp ADR pay a dividend?
TDK Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of 1.31% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TDK Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +8.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.4 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TTDKY use?
Our models discount TDK Corp ADR at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TDK Corp ADR that is +8.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TDK Corp (TTDKY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TDK Corp ADR grew +12.4 % a year. The price currently implies +8.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TDK Corp (TTDKY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TDK Corp ADR (+8.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.26 %: that much free cash flow TDK Corp ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TDK Corp ADR it is $16.77 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of $17.45. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TDK Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, TTDKY trades above its calculated fair value: price $17.45, fair value $16.77, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTDKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.77). For TDK Corp ADR the two are $0.6800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TDK Corp ADR worth?
The market values TDK Corp ADR at about $33.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is $17.45; our models calculate a fair value of $16.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTDKY?
Our models span a range for TDK Corp ADR: cautious scenario $11.74, base $16.77, optimistic $24.20 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price $17.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TTDKY?
TDK Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.77 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 2.5, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
What is the PEG ratio of TTDKY?
The PEG ratio of TDK Corp ADR is 0.94 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 22, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for TDK Corp ADR (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 11.6%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTDKY from its 52-week high?
TDK Corp ADR trades at $17.45, about 32% below its 52-week high of $25.63 and 44% above the low of $12.12 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TDK Corp ADR?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TDK Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price $17.45, calculated fair value $16.77 (−4%), Quality Score 47/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTDKY calculated?
We run TDK Corp ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. TDK Corp ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was $17.45. Our model-based fair value is $16.77, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TDK Corp ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($11.74 to $24.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of TDK Corp (TTDKY) come from?
Earnings per share at TDK Corp ADR grew −6.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.3 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TDK Corp ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The market capitalisation of TDK Corp ADR is $33.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TDK Corp ADR is 1.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
Earnings per share at TDK Corp ADR are $1.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The dividend yield of TDK Corp ADR is 1.3% (payout 19.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The net margin of TDK Corp ADR is 7.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TDK Corp ADR is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TDK Corp ADR is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
The operating margin of TDK Corp ADR is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
Revenue at TDK Corp ADR is growing +38.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TDK Corp (TTDKY)?
Earnings per share at TDK Corp ADR are growing +94.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does TDK Corp (TTDKY) hold?
TDK Corp ADR holds more cash than debt, ¥228B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 22, 2026