PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk (TUGU) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · ID · Market cap 4.4T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 2,380 IDR to 2,490 IDR (+4.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 101% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,868 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 448.09 IDR – 1,349 IDR · fair‑value band 1,868 IDR – 3,112 IDR · the 1,240 IDR price screens below the 2,490 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk (TUGU) currently trades at 1,240 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,490 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 100.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 4.3T IDR at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue declined 33.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 428B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,868 IDR (bear case) to 3,112 IDR (bull case); at 1,240 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 101%, TUGU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2,600 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (1,395 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk engages in the general insurance, reinsurance, and sharia insurance businesses in Indonesia. It operates through General Insurance, Reinsurance, Rental and Related Business, and Others segments.
Full company description
PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk engages in the general insurance, reinsurance, and sharia insurance businesses in Indonesia. It operates through General Insurance, Reinsurance, Rental and Related Business, and Others segments. The company offers corporate insurance services, such as energy, fire and property, satellite and aviation, engineering, liability, health, and miscellaneous; marine insurance services, including builder's risk, marine cargo, protection and indemnity, marine hull and machinery, marine war risks, marine operation all risks, marine hull loss of hire, and stock throughput; and credit and guarantee services comprising credit, surety, bank guarantee cons, and payment bond insurance services. It also provides retail insurance for houses, motorized vehicles, and persona safety. In addition, the company offers Sharia insurance services for business interruption, robbery, money, liability suit, fire, heavy equipment, accident, motorcycle, and car. Further, it provides real estate development and trading; brokerage and reinsurance consultancy; and risk management, surveyor, and valuation services. Additionally, it invests in mutual funds. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Pertamina (Persero).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 10.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +29.4%/yr. Reported net income was 711B IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +19.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB | 8,562 MXN | 10,844 MXN | +27% |
| Allianz SE ALV | €421.00 | €369.31 | -12% |
| Zurich Insurance Group ZURN | CHF 624.40 | CHF 619.80 | -1% |
| AXA SA AXAN | 888.28 MXN | 1,249 MXN | +41% |
| Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G | €42.90 | €12.18 | -72% |
| Sun Life Financial Inc SLF | C$114.20 | C$87.83 | -23% |
| BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 | R$40.71 | R$60.39 | +48% |
| Tryg A/S TRYG | kr 154.00 | kr 116.45 | -24% |
| PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA | 20,625 IDR | 4,176 IDR | -80% |
| Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A CXSE3 | R$21.77 | R$18.60 | -15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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