Travere Therapeutics Inc (TVTX) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $5.3B · ISIN US89422G1076
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +18.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 2,709% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.9860 to $3.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.26 – $67.52 · fair‑value band $0.9860 – $3.68 · the $65.67 price screens above the $2.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Travere Therapeutics Inc (TVTX) currently trades at $65.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.34, implying the stock looks roughly 96.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Travere Therapeutics Inc generated revenue of $536M at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue grew 55.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -69.4%. Net debt stands at $236M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.9860 (bear case) to $3.68 (bull case); at $65.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 373% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -96%, TVTX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($15.24) versus Asset-Based ($0.8300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Travere Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, identifies, develops, and delivers therapies to people living with rare kidney and metabolic diseases in the United States.
Full company description
Travere Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, identifies, develops, and delivers therapies to people living with rare kidney and metabolic diseases in the United States. The company's products include FILSPARI (sparsentan), a once-daily, oral medication designed to target two critical pathways in the disease progression of IgA Nephropathy (endothelin 1 and angiotensin-II); and Thiola and Thiola EC (tiopronin tablets) for the treatment of cystinuria, a rare genetic cystine transport disorder that causes high cystine levels in the urine and the formation of recurring kidney stones. Its clinical-stage programs consist of Sparsentan, a novel investigational product candidate, which has been granted Orphan Drug Designation for the treatment of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis in the U.S. and Europe; and Pegtibatinase, a novel investigational human enzyme replacement candidate being evaluated for the treatment of classical homocystinuria. It has a collaboration agreement with PharmaKrysto Limited for the pre-clinical activities associated with the cystinuria program. Travere Therapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as Retrophin, Inc. and changed its name to Travere Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2020. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Travere Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $491M in FY2025 versus $132M in FY2021, a compound +38.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$25.5M in FY2025.
TVTX screens 2,709% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 640 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $547.55 | $278.78 | -49% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $807.71 | $594.40 | -26% |
| argenx SE ARGX | €877.60 | €292.84 | -67% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,594,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -34% |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY | $228.61 | $51.70 | -77% |
| Royalty Pharma plc RPRX | $60.58 | $24.22 | -60% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 190,700 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -61% |
| BeOne Medicines AG ONC | $362.51 | $111.35 | -69% |
| BioNTech SE BNTX | $111.40 | $45.66 | -59% |
| Incyte Corporation INCY | $128.12 | $115.79 | -10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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