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United Overseas Bank Limited (U11) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SG · Market cap 72.9B SGD

UO United Overseas Bank Limited U11 · SG
Price43.58 SGD
Fair Value36.85 SGD
Upside-15.4%
Quality60/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 39.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.52% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range 27.64 SGD – 46.06 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 36.83 SGD to 36.85 SGD (+0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.95 SGD 19.87 SGD Fair Value 36.85 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 19.87 SGD – 44.95 SGD · fair‑value band 27.64 SGD – 46.06 SGD · the 43.58 SGD price screens above the 36.85 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

United Overseas Bank Limited (U11) currently trades at 43.58 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.85 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 15.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, United Overseas Bank Limited generated revenue of 11.6B SGD at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27.64 SGD (bear case) to 46.06 SGD (bull case); at 43.58 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -15%, U11 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 19.86 SGD 20.03 SGD 20.27 SGD 80
Residual Income 26.90 SGD 29.41 SGD 37.38 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 43.99 SGD 50.75 SGD 58.77 SGD 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 19.85 SGD 20.05 SGD 20.35 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 48.95 SGD 66.52 SGD 93.96 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 28.85 SGD 37.18 SGD 48.21 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 40.12 SGD 58.61 SGD 80.86 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 44.63 SGD 67.20 SGD 91.58 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 25.17 SGD 32.03 SGD 41.92 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 32.86 SGD 47.04 SGD 67.23 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 35.75 SGD 53.06 SGD 75.54 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 19.28 SGD 64.97 SGD 87.07 SGD 54
Lynch FV 14.82 SGD 21.18 SGD 27.53 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 14.82 SGD 21.18 SGD 27.53 SGD 46
EPV 42.14 SGD 45.91 SGD 49.21 SGD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 21.02 SGD 43.70 SGD 69.33 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 21.02 SGD 36.06 SGD 45.87 SGD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 42.52 SGD 56.69 SGD 70.87 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 15.67 SGD 20.90 SGD 26.12 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 36.14 SGD 48.19 SGD 60.24 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 61.40 SGD 75.36 SGD 89.32 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 54.37 SGD 65.98 SGD 77.60 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 34.16 SGD 40.43 SGD 46.70 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.51 SGD 20.79 SGD 31.03 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 19.86 SGD 20.03 SGD 20.27 SGD 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 26.90 SGD 29.41 SGD 37.38 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 43.99 SGD 50.75 SGD 58.77 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.38 SGD 51.97 SGD 67.56 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (51.97 SGD) versus Growth DCF (20.03 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.6B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.4%
Net margin 39.8%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow 46.0M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 52.7%
EPS (TTM) 2.75 SGD
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

United Overseas Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services worldwide. It operates through three segments: Group Retail, Group Wholesale Banking, and Global Markets.

Full company description

United Overseas Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services worldwide. It operates through three segments: Group Retail, Group Wholesale Banking, and Global Markets. The company offers deposit products; loan products, including overdraft, cash credit, short term, and long-term loans; and buyers credit, structured trade finance, ECBs, SGD bonds, loan syndication, and M and A services. It provides forex, documentary collection, credit, export and import finance services. In addition, the company offers inward and outward remittances, FX" spot and forward, current account, and time deposit services; letter of credit advising and negotiation/discounting services; and import and export services comprising of inward and outward bill collection services, bank guarantee, as well as standby letter of credit. Further, it provides interest rate, credit, commodities, equities, and structured investment products; private, commercial and corporate, and investment banking services; and is involved in property, insurance, and investment management activities. Additionally, the company offers corporate finance, treasury, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management, insurance, stockbroking, cash management, and wealth management services; and engages in capital market, credit card, and private residential home loan businesses. The company was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

United Overseas Bank Limited reported revenue of 13.8B SGD in FY2025 versus 9.8B SGD in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7B SGD in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.8B SGD
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+6.8%
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 9.8B SGD
FY22 11.6B SGD
FY23 13.9B SGD
FY24 14.3B SGD
FY25 13.8B SGD
Net income +3.5%/yr
FY21 4.1B SGD
FY22 4.6B SGD
FY23 5.7B SGD
FY24 6.0B SGD
FY25 4.7B SGD

U11 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Overseas Bank Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/U11

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1,239.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 37 · sector 41
HEALTH 71 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United Overseas Bank Limited (U11) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 36.85 SGD versus a price of 43.58 SGD, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of U11?
Our model-based fair value for United Overseas Bank Limited is 36.85 SGD (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 43.58 SGD.
What is the quality score of U11?
United Overseas Bank Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United Overseas Bank Limited (U11)?
United Overseas Bank Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.6B SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of U11?
The net profit margin of United Overseas Bank Limited is about 39.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does United Overseas Bank Limited pay a dividend?
United Overseas Bank Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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