United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc $69.51, price $65.05, upside +6.9%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $16.32 – $66.00 · fair‑value band $67.42 – $86.04 · the $65.05 price screens below the $69.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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United Bancorporation of Alabama, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for United Bank that provides banking services in the United States.
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United Bancorporation of Alabama, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for United Bank that provides banking services in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts; business solutions, including merchant and lockbox services, cash management, business online banking, remote deposit capture, web payment capture, and advantage prepaid cards. It provides lending services, such as personal, mortgage, credit advantage, business, farm real estate, farm and timber land, and farm equipment loans, as well as small business programs, credit cards, working capital LOC/CORP production, FarmerMac, and insurance. In addition, the company offers personal convenience services comprising online/mobile banking, mobile check deposit, debit cards, overdraft services, safe deposit boxes, personal storage compartments, and estatement services; and investment/brokerage, financial education, and community advantage programs. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Atmore, Alabama.
Stock analysis
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB) currently trades at $65.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.51, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $83.72 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the $65.05 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $24.62, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $67.42 (bear) to $86.04 (bull), the price of $65.05 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc reported revenue of $70.9M in FY2025 versus $52.3M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $19.7M in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $199M · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 3.22 · EPS (TTM) $5.61 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 27.8% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 7%, UBAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $67.42Fair Value $69.51Bull $86.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.10 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Profit margin 2014 to 2018 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 40%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.8% a year for the price.
Compare United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)39% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UBAB
Frequently asked questions
Is United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.51 versus a price of $65.05, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UBAB?
Our model-based fair value for United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is $69.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $65.05.
What is the quality score of UBAB?
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $67.42, optimistic scenario $86.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.51, about +7% upside versus a price of $65.05 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $67.42, optimistic scenario $86.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $71.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc pay a dividend?
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -4.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UBAB use?
Our models discount United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc that is -4.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc grew +11.6 % a year. The price currently implies -4.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (-4.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.80 %: that much free cash flow United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc it is $69.51 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $65.05. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UBAB trades below its calculated fair value: price $65.05, fair value $69.51, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UBAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($65.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($69.51). For United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc the two are $4.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc worth?
The market values United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc at about $199M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $65.05; our models calculate a fair value of $69.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UBAB?
Our models span a range for United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc: cautious scenario $67.42, base $69.51, optimistic $86.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $65.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UBAB?
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $69.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.4%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UBAB from its 52-week high?
United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc trades at $65.05, about 1% below its 52-week high of $66.00 and 33% above the low of $49.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $69.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $65.05, calculated fair value $69.51 (+7%), Quality Score 66/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UBAB calculated?
We run United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $69.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $65.05. Our model-based fair value is $69.51, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($67.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The market capitalisation of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is $199M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is 3.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
Earnings per share at United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc are $5.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The dividend yield of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is 4.1% (payout 47.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The net margin of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is 27.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
The operating margin of United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is 38.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
Revenue at United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc is growing +11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc (UBAB)?
Earnings per share at United Bancorporation of Alabama Inc are growing +26.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Sep 23, 2026