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UFP Technologies, Inc (UFPT) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.9B

UT UFP Technologies, Inc logo UFP Technologies, Inc UFPT · US
Price$314.01
Fair Value$166.08
Upside-47.1%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $97.11 – $234.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +24.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($234.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($97.11 to $234.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$358.42 $50.06 Fair Value $166.08 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $50.06 – $358.42 · fair‑value band $97.11 – $234.83 · the $314.01 price screens above the $166.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

UFP Technologies, Inc (UFPT) currently trades at $314.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $166.08, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, UFP Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $609M at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at $134M. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $97.11 (bear case) to $234.83 (bull case); at $314.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -47%, UFPT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $89.39 $143.98 $219.51 80
Residual Income $52.85 $69.57 $202.81 76
Rev-Margin DCF $91.04 $160.49 $246.69 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $90.17 $150.44 $238.27 38
Owner Earnings $84.36 $141.24 $224.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $91.04 $161.45 $254.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $110.50 $200.17 $309.57 41
5Y P/E Exit $107.37 $193.95 $289.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit $86.32 $148.39 $238.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $100.93 $173.80 $279.00 37
10Y P/E Exit $99.06 $169.72 $264.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $60.04 $245.36 $334.07 54
Lynch FV $61.56 $87.94 $114.32 50
PEG = 1.0 $61.56 $87.94 $114.32 46
EPV $67.53 $78.54 $87.73 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.69 $3.04 $4.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.69 $2.77 $3.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $145.69 $194.25 $242.81 63
P/S Multiple $112.58 $150.10 $187.63 58
P/B Multiple $112.58 $150.10 $187.63 55
EV/EBIT $138.90 $189.62 $240.34 53
EV/EBITDA $138.04 $188.47 $238.90 54
EV/Revenue $95.34 $141.88 $188.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.39 $36.71 $54.79 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $89.39 $143.98 $219.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF $91.04 $160.49 $246.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $52.85 $69.57 $202.81 76
ROIC Compounder $71.46 $92.80 $119.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $109.55 $156.49 $203.44 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($161.45) versus Dividend Discount ($2.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $609M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net margin 11.3%
Return on equity 17.2%
Free cash flow $79.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.7
More key figures
Operating margin 15.1%
EPS (TTM) $8.77
EPS growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net debt $134M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

UFP Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures solutions for medical devices, sterile packaging, and other engineered custom products in the United States.

Full company description

UFP Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures solutions for medical devices, sterile packaging, and other engineered custom products in the United States. The company provides protective drapes for robotic surgery, patient handling and comfort, advanced wound care, infection prevention, disposables for surgical and endoscopic procedures, packaging for medical devices, orthopedic implants, components for cardiac implants, dispenser coils for catheters, and biopharma drug manufacturing. It also offers equipment protection and packaging for firearms, unmanned aerial vehicles/drones, weapon systems, electronic devices communications equipment, and tools and repair kits; cushion and protective packaging; acoustic and thermal insulation components for automotive, aerospace, consumer, and industrial; filtration for small engines, air conditioners, humidifiers, refrigerators, electronic air cleaners, forced air appliances and industrial compressors; fluid management; and seals and gaskets for automotive manufacturing chemical processing, building and construction applications. In addition, the company provides uniform and tactical gear, such as backpack straps and padding, uniform knee and elbow pads, duty belts, holsters, and helmet padding and others; sports and leisure including custom helmet linings, athletic braces, and shoe insoles; and trim and structural components, consist of load floors, sunshades, package trays, back panel, and seat backs. The company serves the medical, aerospace and defence, automotive, consumer, electronics, and industrial markets. It markets and sells its products through a direct sales force. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Newburyport, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

UFP Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $603M in FY2025 versus $206M in FY2021, a compound +30.7%/yr. Reported net income was $68.3M in FY2025, compounding +44.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$603M
Latest YoY
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+9.4%
Revenue +30.7%/yr
FY21 $206M
FY22 $354M
FY23 $400M
FY24 $504M
FY25 $603M
Net income +44.0%/yr
FY21 $15.9M
FY22 $41.8M
FY23 $44.9M
FY24 $59.0M
FY25 $68.3M

UFPT screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UFP Technologies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UFPT

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 23.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 21 · sector 27
PAST 69 · sector 8
HEALTH 86 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is UFP Technologies, Inc (UFPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $166.08 versus a price of $314.01, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UFPT?
Our model-based fair value for UFP Technologies, Inc is $166.08 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $314.01.
What is the quality score of UFPT?
UFP Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of UFP Technologies, Inc (UFPT)?
UFP Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $609M (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UFPT?
The net profit margin of UFP Technologies, Inc is about 11.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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