United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of United Tractors Tbk PT stock IDR 49,695, price IDR 24,600, upside +102.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10,726 IDR – 30,863 IDR · fair‑value band 37,271 IDR – 62,545 IDR · the 24,600 IDR price screens below the 49,695 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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PT United Tractors Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides coal mining services in Indonesia. The company operates in five segments: Construction Machinery, Mining Contracting, Thermal and Metallurgical Coal Mining, Gold and Other Mineral Mining, and Other segments.
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It also distributes heavy equipment, trucks, cranes, and buses under the Komatsu, UD Trucks, Scania, Bomag, Tadano, and United Tractors names for mining, agriculture, construction, forestry, material handling, and transportation applications; and offers after sale services.
In addition, it sells and leases farm tractors, generators, forklifts, and mini excavators, as well as sells commodity parts.
Further, the company offers mining services that supports coal companies, such as mining design and implementation, initial assessment and feasibility study, mining infrastructure and facilities development, land removal and waste management, production and transportation of mining materials, expansion of mine/facility, reclamation and re-vegetation, and shipping and marketing; and technical and construction services for building, civil, and maritime work, as well as owns interests in various coal mine concessions.
Additionally, it engages in the engineering, planning, assembling, and manufacturing components of machinery, tools, parts, and heavy equipment; provision of vessel construction and related repair services; provision of vessel charter and shipping; exploration, mining, and mineral processing of gold and silver; ship manufacturing, construction, and repair business; fishery business; remanufacturing of heavy equipment components; operating hydro and solar power plants; and trading and rental of used heavy equipment, as well as trades in spare parts.
The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia. PT United Tractors Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk.
Stock analysis
United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) currently trades at 24,600 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49,695 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 50% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 68,268 IDR per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the 24,600 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 18,394 IDR, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 37,271 IDR (bear) to 62,545 IDR (bull), the price of 24,600 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
United Tractors Tbk PT reported revenue of 131T IDR in FY2025 versus 79.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was 14.8T IDR in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 87.9T IDR (≈ $4.8B) Mid · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) 2,195 IDR · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 102%, UNTR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear37,271 IDRFair Value 49,695 IDRBull62,545 IDR
Price 24,600 IDR · Upside +102.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (954.47 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF48,258 IDR70,334 IDR100,831 IDR80
Growth DCF47,890 IDR67,729 IDR93,595 IDR79
Owner Earnings16,215 IDR21,593 IDR29,023 IDR77
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF48,258 IDR70,334 IDR100,831 IDR80
Owner Earnings16,215 IDR21,593 IDR29,023 IDR77
5Y Revenue Exit41,398 IDR61,820 IDR88,235 IDR72
5Y EBITDA Exit46,971 IDR72,818 IDR103,812 IDR75
5Y P/E Exit47,172 IDR73,214 IDR101,618 IDR71
10Y Revenue Exit42,908 IDR61,260 IDR86,878 IDR67
10Y EBITDA Exit46,893 IDR68,144 IDR97,820 IDR68
10Y P/E Exit47,008 IDR68,392 IDR96,279 IDR64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd29,332 IDR116,492 IDR158,270 IDR64
Lynch FV40,253 IDR57,504 IDR74,755 IDR61
PEG = 1.040,253 IDR57,504 IDR74,755 IDR57
EPV42,808 IDR47,437 IDR51,228 IDR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM16,304 IDR27,970 IDR36,978 IDR68
DDM Multi-Stage16,304 IDR26,212 IDR30,026 IDR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple45,292 IDR60,389 IDR75,487 IDR63
P/S Multiple34,417 IDR45,889 IDR57,362 IDR58
P/B Multiple27,594 IDR36,792 IDR45,990 IDR55
EV/EBIT50,144 IDR66,210 IDR82,276 IDR66
EV/EBITDA46,858 IDR61,829 IDR76,800 IDR67
EV/Revenue34,067 IDR47,834 IDR61,601 IDR54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)13,727 IDR18,394 IDR27,454 IDR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF47,890 IDR67,729 IDR93,595 IDR79
Rev-Margin DCF41,398 IDR61,897 IDR87,207 IDR73
Economic Profit
Residual Income26,224 IDR30,904 IDR40,807 IDR76
ROIC Compounder45,612 IDR54,586 IDR64,840 IDR72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E40,926 IDR58,465 IDR76,005 IDR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.2% vs 11.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 17%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.4% a year for the price and −0.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 14/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+102.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)6.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)19.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 49,695 IDR versus a price of 24,600 IDR, about +102% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UNTR?
Our model-based fair value for United Tractors Tbk PT is 49,695 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24,600 IDR.
What is the quality score of UNTR?
United Tractors Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 49,695 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37,271 IDR, optimistic scenario 62,545 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the United Tractors Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 49,695 IDR, about +102% upside versus a price of 24,600 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 37,271 IDR, optimistic scenario 62,545 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
United Tractors Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 121T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does United Tractors Tbk PT pay a dividend?
United Tractors Tbk PT currently shows a dividend yield of 4.46% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
United Tractors Tbk PT pays a dividend of 1,096 IDR per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 6, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2004. The payout ratio is 49.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.64 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, United Tractors Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by -9.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UNTR use?
Our models discount United Tractors Tbk PT at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For United Tractors Tbk PT that is -9.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at United Tractors Tbk PT grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -9.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into United Tractors Tbk PT (-9.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.58 %: that much free cash flow United Tractors Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For United Tractors Tbk PT it is 49,695 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 24,600 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is United Tractors Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, UNTR trades below its calculated fair value: price 24,600 IDR, fair value 49,695 IDR, a gap of about +102% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UNTR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24,600 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (49,695 IDR). For United Tractors Tbk PT the two are 25,095 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is United Tractors Tbk PT worth?
The market values United Tractors Tbk PT at about 87.9T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 24,600 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 49,695 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UNTR?
Our models span a range for United Tractors Tbk PT: cautious scenario 37,271 IDR, base 49,695 IDR, optimistic 62,545 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 24,600 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UNTR?
United Tractors Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 49,695 IDR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 7.6. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 2.6.
What is the PEG ratio of UNTR?
The PEG ratio of United Tractors Tbk PT is 0.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
Balance-sheet figures for United Tractors Tbk PT (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 7.4%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UNTR from its 52-week high?
United Tractors Tbk PT trades at 24,600 IDR, about 20% below its 52-week high of 30,863 IDR and 20% above the low of 20,530 IDR (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 49,695 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to United Tractors Tbk PT?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is United Tractors Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 24,600 IDR, calculated fair value 49,695 IDR (+102%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UNTR calculated?
We run United Tractors Tbk PT through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 49,695 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. United Tractors Tbk PT currently trades 50% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was 24,600 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 49,695 IDR, about +102% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with United Tractors Tbk PT right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (37,271 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) come from?
Earnings per share at United Tractors Tbk PT grew +16.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.8 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of United Tractors Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The market capitalisation of United Tractors Tbk PT is 87.9T IDR (≈ $4.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of United Tractors Tbk PT is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
Earnings per share at United Tractors Tbk PT are 2,195 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The dividend yield of United Tractors Tbk PT is 4.5% (payout 49.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The net margin of United Tractors Tbk PT is 6.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of United Tractors Tbk PT is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of United Tractors Tbk PT is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
The operating margin of United Tractors Tbk PT is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
Revenue at United Tractors Tbk PT is growing +0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR)?
Earnings per share at United Tractors Tbk PT are growing +10.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does United Tractors Tbk PT (UNTR) hold?
United Tractors Tbk PT holds more cash than debt, 6.7T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 10, 2026