Upexi Inc. (UPXI) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $55.5M · ISIN US39959A2050
What is Upexi Inc. really worth?
Upexi Inc.
UPXI · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 282% above our fair value of $0.2805.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +28.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3485). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1870 to $0.3485) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5650 – $157.20 · fair‑value band $0.1870 – $0.3485 · the $1.07 price screens above the $0.2805 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Upexi Inc. (UPXI) currently trades at $1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2805, implying the stock looks roughly 281.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $26.1M. Revenue grew 44.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $24.8M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1870 (bear case) to $0.3485 (bull case); at $1.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −74%, UPXI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.5300 per share, which is 188.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Upexi, Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of consumer products. It offers nail grinder and healthy all-natural pet supplements under the LuckyTail brand; energy solutions under the PRAX brand; functional mushrooms under the Cure Mushrooms brand; cannabinoid under the Moonwlkr brand; and gummies and other products under the Gumi …
Full company description
Upexi, Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of consumer products. It offers nail grinder and healthy all-natural pet supplements under the LuckyTail brand; energy solutions under the PRAX brand; functional mushrooms under the Cure Mushrooms brand; cannabinoid under the Moonwlkr brand; and gummies and other products under the Gumi Labs brand name. The company sells its products through direct-to-consumer network, wholesale partnerships, and third-party platform. It also focuses on cryptocurrency industry and management of cash assets. The company was formerly known as Grove, Inc. and changed its name to Upexi, Inc. in August 2022. Upexi, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Upexi Inc. reported revenue of $15.8M in FY2025 versus $24.1M in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.7M in FY2025.
UPXI screens 282% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 156 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 22/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $340.65 | $145.14 | −57% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $571.10 | $534.91 | −6% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$455.20 | HK$449.03 | −1% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $547.51 | $211.87 | −61% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $153.29 | $39.59 | −74% |
| Baidu, Inc 89888 | HK$79.10 | HK$28.84 | −64% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 | HK$34.50 | HK$63.28 | +83% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 215,500 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +7% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$35.14 | HK$66.77 | +90% |
| REA Group REA | A$177.42 | A$88.53 | −50% |
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