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VEF AB (VEFAB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SE · Market cap 2.1B SEK

VA VEF AB VEFAB · ST
Pricekr 1.82
Fair Valuekr 1.43
Upside-21.6%
Quality77/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 79.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range kr 1.07 – kr 1.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +1.6% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 6.30 kr 1.53 Fair Value kr 1.43 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.53 – kr 6.30 · fair‑value band kr 1.07 – kr 1.79 · the kr 1.82 price screens above the kr 1.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

VEF AB (VEFAB) currently trades at kr 1.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.43, implying the stock looks roughly 21.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, VEF AB generated revenue of 70.7M SEK at a net margin of 79.5%. Revenue declined 19.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.7%. Net debt stands at 15.1M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1.07 (bear case) to kr 1.79 (bull case); at kr 1.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -22%, VEFAB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple kr 0.2700 kr 0.3600 kr 0.4500 55
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2100 kr 0.2900 kr 0.4300 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple kr 0.2700 kr 0.3600 kr 0.4500 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2100 kr 0.2900 kr 0.4300 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 0.3600) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.2900). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 70.7M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.3%
Net margin 79.5%
Return on equity 14.7%
Free cash flow 25.8M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 6.1
More key figures
Operating margin 117%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.2900
EPS growth (YoY) -18.2%
Net debt 15.1M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

VEF AB (publ) is a venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth and growth capital investments. The firm primarily invests in modern financial services and fintech sector. The financial services sector includes payments providers, Credit, mobile money and all forms of financial marketplaces.

Full company description

VEF AB (publ) is a venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth and growth capital investments. The firm primarily invests in modern financial services and fintech sector. The financial services sector includes payments providers, Credit, mobile money and all forms of financial marketplaces. It seeks to invest in Asia/Pacific, Africa/Middle East, European Emerging Market, Mexico, Brazil and Colombia. It typically invests in the emerging and frontier markets. It prefers to take a minority stakes and board representation. VEF AB (publ) was founded in 2015 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

VEF AB reported revenue of kr 394K in FY2025 versus −kr 33.6M in FY2021. Reported net income was kr 85.4M in FY2025, compounding −25.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
394K SEK
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.2%
Revenue
FY21 −kr 33.6M
FY22 kr 431K
FY23 kr 74.9M
FY24 −kr 290K
FY25 kr 394K
Net income −25.4%/yr
FY21 kr 276M
FY22 −kr 377M
FY23 kr 60.1M
FY24 −kr 89.9M
FY25 kr 85.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +2.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.0 pp

of which total revenue +4.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −10.3 pp

EBIT margin +10.2 pp
Tax rate +0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

VEFAB screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VEF AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VEFAB

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 79% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 117% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.07× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 5 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 59 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is VEF AB (VEFAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.43 versus a price of kr 1.82, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VEFAB?
Our model-based fair value for VEF AB is kr 1.43 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.82.
What is the quality score of VEFAB?
VEF AB has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of VEF AB (VEFAB)?
VEF AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 70.7M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VEFAB?
The net profit margin of VEF AB is about 79.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 79.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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