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Volex plc (VLXGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Volex plc $4.51, price $8.58, upside -47.4%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Volex plc
VLXGF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $4.51 · Strongly overvalued (−47.4%)
!Quality 48/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +23.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.7% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 47/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.36 – $9.43 · fair‑value band $2.48 – $6.45 · the $8.58 price screens above the $4.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Volex plc manufactures and sells power and connectivity in North America, Europe, and Asia.
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Volex plc manufactures and sells power and connectivity in North America, Europe, and Asia. It provides integrated manufacturing services, such as PCB assembly, box build, and complex cable assemblies; electric vehicle charging solutions; consumer cable harness and power products; copper interconnect cables and data transfer cables; and data center power cables and power cords. The company also offers plugs, connectors, and receptacles, custom ruggedised wiring harnesses and battery cables, as well as Integrated Manufacturing Services, such as high level assembly, box builds, electromechanical assemblies and systems, printed circuit board assemblies, video display systems, and embedded systems. Its products are used in complex industrial technology, consumer electricals, electric vehicle, medical, and off-highway. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, contract equipment manufacturers, and distributors. Volex plc was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Basingstoke, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Volex plc (VLXGF) currently trades at $8.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.51, 47.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $5.20 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $8.58 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.6600, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2.48 (bear) to $6.45 (bull), the price of $8.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Volex plc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $468M in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was $47.9M in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6B · P/E ratio 28.6 · P/S ratio 1.26 · EPS (TTM) $0.3000 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −47%, VLXGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.48
Fair Value $4.51
Bull $6.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2400 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.96
$3.20
$4.89
79
Growth DCF
$1.97
$3.04
$4.39
78
Owner Earnings
$2.44
$3.91
$5.91
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.96
$3.20
$4.89
79
Owner Earnings
$2.44
$3.91
$5.91
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$2.73
$4.97
$7.85
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$3.83
$7.05
$10.86
74
5Y P/E Exit
$2.57
$4.67
$6.89
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$2.27
$4.13
$6.67
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$3.02
$5.46
$8.78
66
10Y P/E Exit
$2.29
$3.94
$5.99
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.77
$5.88
$7.86
64
Lynch FV
$1.33
$1.90
$2.46
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.33
$1.90
$2.46
57
EPV
$2.28
$2.68
$3.01
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.4100
$0.7400
$1.02
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.4100
$0.6600
$0.7900
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$4.11
$5.48
$6.85
63
P/S Multiple
$3.33
$4.43
$5.54
58
P/B Multiple
$3.33
$4.43
$5.54
55
EV/EBIT
$5.09
$7.00
$8.92
66
EV/EBITDA
$5.79
$7.94
$10.09
67
EV/Revenue
$3.44
$5.20
$6.96
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.9800
$1.32
$1.97
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.97
$3.04
$4.39
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$2.73
$4.95
$7.53
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.78
$2.05
$2.72
76
ROIC Compounder
$2.35
$2.99
$3.74
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.47
$4.96
$6.45
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Profitability
52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
51
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+22.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 8%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.4%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.8% a year for the price and +4.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.8%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 540 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 | ¥291.11 | ¥695.24 | +139% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 79.62 | CHF 30.01 | −62% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA | 263.00 THB | 38.64 THB | −85% |
| Vertiv Holdings VRT | $244.04 | $178.68 | −27% |
| Prysmian S.p.A PRY | €129.80 | €75.63 | −42% |
| Legrand SA LR | €144.55 | €82.77 | −43% |
| nVent Electric plc NVT | $164.41 | $43.51 | −74% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥84.21 | ¥185.48 | +120% |
| Hubbell Incorporated HUBB | $465.72 | $293.28 | −37% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 205,500 KRW | 29,518 KRW | −86% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Volex plc (VLXGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.51 versus a price of $8.58, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VLXGF?
Our model-based fair value for Volex plc is $4.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.58.
What is the quality score of VLXGF?
Volex plc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.48, optimistic scenario $6.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Volex plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.51, about −47% upside versus a price of $8.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.48, optimistic scenario $6.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Volex plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Volex plc pay a dividend?
Volex plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Volex plc (VLXGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Volex plc would have to grow free cash flow by +35.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VLXGF use?
Our models discount Volex plc at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Volex plc that is +35.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Volex plc (VLXGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Volex plc grew +23.2 % a year. The price currently implies +35.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Volex plc (VLXGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Volex plc (+35.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.94 %: that much free cash flow Volex plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Volex plc it is $4.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.58. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Volex plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VLXGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.58, fair value $4.51, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VLXGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.51). For Volex plc the two are $4.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Volex plc worth?
The market values Volex plc at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.58; our models calculate a fair value of $4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VLXGF?
Our models span a range for Volex plc: cautious scenario $2.48, base $4.51, optimistic $6.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VLXGF?
Volex plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Volex plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.1%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VLXGF from its 52-week high?
Volex plc trades at $8.58, about 9% below its 52-week high of $9.43 and 79% above the low of $4.78 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Volex plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Volex plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.58, calculated fair value $4.51 (−47%), Quality Score 48/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VLXGF calculated?
We run Volex plc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Volex plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $8.58. Our model-based fair value is $4.51, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Volex plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($2.48 to $6.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Volex plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The market capitalisation of Volex plc is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Volex plc is 1.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Earnings per share at Volex plc are $0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The dividend yield of Volex plc is 0.7% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The net margin of Volex plc is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Volex plc is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Volex plc is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Volex plc (VLXGF)?
The operating margin of Volex plc is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Revenue at Volex plc is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Volex plc (VLXGF)?
Earnings per share at Volex plc are growing +46.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Volex plc (VLXGF) carry?
The net debt of Volex plc is $175M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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