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Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited THB 0.34, price THB 0.47, upside -27.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · TH · ISIN TH6052010001

VP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited

VPO · BK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 0.3400 THB · Overvalued (−28%)
!Quality 55/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

2.58 THB 0.3900 THB Fair Value 0.3400 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3900 THB – 2.58 THB · fair‑value band 0.2800 THB – 0.5300 THB · the 0.4700 THB price screens above the 0.3400 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited engages in palm plantation and palm oil extraction in Thailand. The company operates in two segments: Crude Palm Oil and Kernel Production, and Kidney Dialysis.

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Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited engages in palm plantation and palm oil extraction in Thailand. The company operates in two segments: Crude Palm Oil and Kernel Production, and Kidney Dialysis. It offers crude palm oil for palm oil refineries to be used in the food industries, such as in the production of biscuits, creamers, and ice cream, as well as for the shampoo manufacturing industry, and in the production of fatty acids and methyl ester. The company also provides palm kernel oils that are used as ingredients in the production of margarine, bread, fats for food, cosmetics, and health supplements; raw materials for the oleochemicals industry; and seed residue is used as an ingredient in animal food. In addition, it offers by-products, such as seeds, palm shells, empty bunches, decanter cakes, and fibers. Further, the company is also involved in energy production by using wastewater; and produces and sells biogas, as well as offers transportation services. Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO) currently trades at 0.4700 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3400 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 38.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.74 THB per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the 0.4700 THB price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.3300 THB, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.2800 THB (bear) to 0.5300 THB (bull), the price of 0.4700 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited reported revenue of 2.3B THB in FY2025 versus 1.4B THB in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was 27.3M THB in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 442M THB (≈ $13.3M) · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) 0.0300 THB · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin −12.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −28%, VPO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.2800 THB Fair Value 0.3400 THB Bull 0.5300 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0220 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 1.00 THB 1.74 THB 2.96 THB 74
EPV 0.3300 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4200 THB 74
ROIC Compounder 0.3300 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4200 THB 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1.00 THB 1.74 THB 2.96 THB 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2000 THB 0.8800 THB 1.21 THB 64
Lynch FV 0.2300 THB 0.3300 THB 0.4300 THB 61
PEG = 1.0 0.2300 THB 0.3300 THB 0.4300 THB 57
EPV 0.3300 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4200 THB 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.4600 THB 0.6100 THB 0.7600 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.3700 THB 0.4900 THB 0.6200 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.3700 THB 0.4900 THB 0.6200 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.5600 THB 0.7400 THB 0.9300 THB 66
EV/EBITDA 1.35 THB 1.80 THB 2.24 THB 67
EV/Revenue 0.4000 THB 0.5700 THB 0.7400 THB 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2900 THB 0.3900 THB 0.5800 THB 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.4400 THB 0.4400 THB 0.4100 THB 71
ROIC Compounder 0.3300 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4200 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3700 THB 0.5300 THB 0.6900 THB 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10% vs −13%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

VPO screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)22 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.09 CHF 59.49 −23%
Danone S.A BN €60.90 €50.81 −17%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.00 $29.20 +22%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.45 $34.66 −2%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.42 $51.01 +3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3400 THB versus a price of 0.4700 THB, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VPO?
Our model-based fair value for Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 0.3400 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4700 THB.
What is the quality score of VPO?
Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3400 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2800 THB, optimistic scenario 0.5300 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3400 THB, about −28% upside versus a price of 0.4700 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2800 THB, optimistic scenario 0.5300 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited it is 0.3400 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.4700 THB. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VPO trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.4700 THB, fair value 0.3400 THB, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VPO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4700 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3400 THB). For Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited the two are 0.1300 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited at about 442M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.4700 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3400 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VPO?
Our models span a range for Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.2800 THB, base 0.3400 THB, optimistic 0.5300 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.4700 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VPO?
Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3400 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VPO from its 52-week high?
Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited trades at 0.4700 THB, about 38% below its 52-week high of 0.7600 THB and 21% above the low of 0.3900 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3400 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.4700 THB, calculated fair value 0.3400 THB (−28%), Quality Score 55/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VPO calculated?
We run Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3400 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.4700 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.3400 THB, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.2800 THB to 0.5300 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
The market capitalisation of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 442M THB (≈ $13.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 0.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Earnings per share at Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited are 0.0300 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
The net margin of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
The operating margin of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is −12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Revenue at Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is growing +30.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO)?
Earnings per share at Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited are growing +47.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO) generate?
The free cash flow of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is −73.8M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited (VPO) carry?
The net debt of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public Company Limited is 153M THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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