Watts SA (WATTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Watts SA CLP 1,104, price CLP 706, upside +56.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 394.60 CLP – 974.11 CLP · fair‑value band 681.98 CLP – 1,598 CLP · the 705.55 CLP price screens below the 1,104 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Watt's S.A. manufactures and sells food products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, and internationally. It operates in Food Business and Wine Business segments.
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Watt's S.A. manufactures and sells food products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, and internationally. It operates in Food Business and Wine Business segments. The company offers liquid and powdered milk, cheese, yogurt, manjar, butter, milk drinks and creams, lactose free and soymilk, oils, margarine and butter, frozen fruits and vegetables, liquid juices, nectars, marmalade, jams, fruit and dairy-based beverages, desserts, and canned and packaged tomato products. It also owns and operates wine-producing valleys. The company was formerly known as Empresas Santa Carolina S.A. and changed its name to Watt's S.A. in June 2004. The company was founded in 1930 and is based in San Bernardo, Chile. Watt's S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Chacabuco S.A.
Stock analysis
Watts SA (WATTS) currently trades at 705.55 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,104 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 36.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,208 CLP per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the 705.55 CLP price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 338.20 CLP, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 681.98 CLP (bear) to 1,598 CLP (bull), the price of 705.55 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Watts SA reported revenue of 633B CLP in FY2025 versus 499B CLP in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 21.6B CLP in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 241B CLP (≈ $251M) · P/E ratio 8.2 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) 86.23 CLP · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 56%, WATTS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 681.98 CLPFair Value 1,104 CLPBull 1,598 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (33.94 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Profit margin 2018 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+57% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Watts SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WATTS
Frequently asked questions
Is Watts SA (WATTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,104 CLP versus a price of 705.55 CLP, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WATTS?
Our model-based fair value for Watts SA is 1,104 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 705.55 CLP.
What is the quality score of WATTS?
Watts SA has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Watts SA (WATTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,104 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 681.98 CLP, optimistic scenario 1,598 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Watts SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,104 CLP, about +56% upside versus a price of 705.55 CLP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 681.98 CLP, optimistic scenario 1,598 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Watts SA (WATTS)?
Watts SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 643B CLP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Watts SA pay a dividend?
Watts SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Watts SA (WATTS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Watts SA would have to grow free cash flow by +3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WATTS use?
Our models discount Watts SA at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Watts SA that is +3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Watts SA (WATTS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Watts SA grew +6.1 % a year. The price currently implies +3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Watts SA (WATTS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Watts SA (+3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.44 %: that much free cash flow Watts SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Watts SA (WATTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Watts SA it is 1,104 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 705.55 CLP. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Watts SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WATTS trades below its calculated fair value: price 705.55 CLP, fair value 1,104 CLP, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WATTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (705.55 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,104 CLP). For Watts SA the two are 398.33 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Watts SA worth?
The market values Watts SA at about 241B CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 705.55 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 1,104 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WATTS?
Our models span a range for Watts SA: cautious scenario 681.98 CLP, base 1,104 CLP, optimistic 1,598 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 705.55 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WATTS?
Watts SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,104 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Watts SA (WATTS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Watts SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WATTS from its 52-week high?
Watts SA trades at 705.55 CLP, about 10% below its 52-week high of 786.12 CLP and 11% above the low of 637.68 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,104 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Watts SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Watts SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 705.55 CLP, calculated fair value 1,104 CLP (+56%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WATTS calculated?
We run Watts SA through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,104 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Watts SA currently trades 56 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 705.55 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 1,104 CLP, about +56% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Watts SA right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (681.98 CLP to 1,598 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Watts SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The market capitalisation of Watts SA is 241B CLP (≈ $251M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Watts SA is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Watts SA (WATTS)?
Earnings per share at Watts SA are 86.23 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The dividend yield of Watts SA is 5.7% (payout 46.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The net margin of Watts SA is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Watts SA is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Watts SA (WATTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Watts SA is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Watts SA (WATTS)?
The operating margin of Watts SA is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Watts SA (WATTS)?
Revenue at Watts SA is growing +6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Watts SA (WATTS)?
Earnings per share at Watts SA are growing +322% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Watts SA (WATTS) carry?
The net debt of Watts SA is 182B CLP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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