Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Winland Holdings Corporation $0.98, price $3.29, upside -70.2%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Winland Holdings Corporation for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.30 – $6.75 · fair‑value band $0.8100 – $1.24 · the $3.29 price screens above the $0.9800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Winland Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Winland Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Winland Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides critical condition monitoring devices to the security industry. Its products are used to protect against loss of assets due to damage from water, excess humidity, extremes of temperature, and loss of power.
Show more
Winland Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides critical condition monitoring devices to the security industry. Its products are used to protect against loss of assets due to damage from water, excess humidity, extremes of temperature, and loss of power. The company offers EnviroAlert, which monitors temperature, humidity, and/or water presence in critical environments; TempAlert, a temperature monitoring device for residential and commercial environments through security systems; WaterBug, a water presence and leak detection system; and Power-Out Alert, a power outage detector. It also provides INSIGHT, an automated cloud-based platform that offers early alerting, reporting, and logging services designed to ensure regulatory compliance. The company offers its products through a network of distributors, dealers, security installers, and integrators for industries including health and medical, grocery and food services, and commercial and industrial, as well as agriculture and residential. Winland Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Mankato, Minnesota.
Stock analysis
Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) currently trades at $3.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9800, implying the stock looks roughly 235.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.69 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $3.29 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.7300, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.8100 (bear) to $1.24 (bull), the price of $3.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Winland Holdings Corporation reported revenue of $5.8M in FY2025 versus $6.3M in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$518K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $16.7M · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 4.53 · EPS (TTM) $0.1700 · Net margin −8.9% · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% · Operating margin −8.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −70%, WELX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8100Fair Value $0.9800Bull $1.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1248 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.7% (2019) → 4.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.3% a year for the price.
Compare Winland Holdings Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 159 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9800 versus a price of $3.29, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WELX?
Our model-based fair value for Winland Holdings Corporation is $0.9800 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.29.
What is the quality score of WELX?
Winland Holdings Corporation has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9800 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8100, optimistic scenario $1.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Winland Holdings Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9800, about −70% upside versus a price of $3.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.8100, optimistic scenario $1.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
Winland Holdings Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Winland Holdings Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +53.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WELX use?
Our models discount Winland Holdings Corporation at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Winland Holdings Corporation that is +53.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Winland Holdings Corporation grew +9.3 % a year. The price currently implies +53.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Winland Holdings Corporation (+53.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.52 %: that much free cash flow Winland Holdings Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Winland Holdings Corporation it is $0.9800 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.29. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Winland Holdings Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WELX trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.29, fair value $0.9800, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WELX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9800). For Winland Holdings Corporation the two are $2.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Winland Holdings Corporation worth?
The market values Winland Holdings Corporation at about $16.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.29; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WELX?
Our models span a range for Winland Holdings Corporation: cautious scenario $0.8100, base $0.9800, optimistic $1.24 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WELX?
Winland Holdings Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.9800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Winland Holdings Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WELX from its 52-week high?
Winland Holdings Corporation trades at $3.29, about 25% below its 52-week high of $4.40 and 83% above the low of $1.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Winland Holdings Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Winland Holdings Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.29, calculated fair value $0.9800 (−70%), Quality Score 38/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WELX calculated?
We run Winland Holdings Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Winland Holdings Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $3.29. Our model-based fair value is $0.9800, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Winland Holdings Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) come from?
Earnings per share at Winland Holdings Corporation grew +37.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.8 %, EBIT margin +0.1 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +37.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Winland Holdings Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The market capitalisation of Winland Holdings Corporation is $16.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Winland Holdings Corporation is 4.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
Earnings per share at Winland Holdings Corporation are $0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The net margin of Winland Holdings Corporation is −8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Winland Holdings Corporation is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Winland Holdings Corporation is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
The operating margin of Winland Holdings Corporation is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX)?
Revenue at Winland Holdings Corporation is growing −26.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Winland Holdings Corporation (WELX) hold?
Winland Holdings Corporation holds more cash than debt, $2.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Winland Holdings Corporation in the live analysis
One click puts Winland Holdings Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Some data
Sep 23, 2026