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Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Water Intelligence plc $11.82, price $3.86, upside +206.2%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN GB00BZ973D04

Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Water Intelligence plc

WTLLF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $11.82 · Strongly undervalued (+206.2%)

✓Quality 66/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.5 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.5% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Narrow moat 41/100

26 models, one by oneBear $6.00 to bull $17.87 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 66/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0007 – $16.89 · fair‑value band $6.00 – $17.87 · the $3.86 price screens below the $11.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Water Intelligence plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides leak detection and remediation services for potable and non-potable water in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Franchise Royalty Income, Franchise-Related Activities, US Corporate Operated Locations, and International Corporate Operated Locations segments. It also offers water leak and repair solutions for residential, commercial, and municipal customers. In addition, it provides clean water and waste-water solutions; solutions for large-diameter pipes used to convey municipal water and wastewater; and water management consultancy services. The company has a strategic partnership with Lookout Labs, Inc. to provide preventive maintenance solutions. Water Intelligence plc was incorporated in 2000 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) currently trades at $3.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.82, implying the stock looks roughly 67.3% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $13.75 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $3.86 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $2.46, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $6.00 (bear) to $17.87 (bull), the price of $3.86 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Water Intelligence plc reported revenue of $92.4M in FY2025 versus $54.5M in FY2021, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was $5.1M in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $68.0M · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) $0.2800 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 206%, WTLLF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.00 Fair Value $11.82 Bull $17.87

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2117 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $7.63 $11.12 $21.31 75

EPV $2.08 $2.46 $2.77 74

Growth DCF $7.08 $12.08 $19.90 74

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $7.63 $11.12 $21.31 75

Owner Earnings $6.52 $13.83 $26.59 70

5Y Revenue Exit $5.43 $9.42 $17.72 67

5Y EBITDA Exit $7.80 $14.21 $26.76 69

5Y P/E Exit $5.08 $10.97 $18.69 66

10Y Revenue Exit $6.07 $12.68 $16.36 64

10Y EBITDA Exit $7.71 $17.03 $32.88 62

10Y P/E Exit $6.01 $12.04 $21.32 59

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $2.04 $14.24 $19.99 61

Lynch FV $7.36 $10.51 $13.66 59

PEG = 1.0 $7.36 $10.51 $13.66 55

EPV $2.08 $2.46 $2.77 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple $4.73 $6.31 $7.88 63

P/S Multiple $3.83 $5.11 $6.38 58

P/B Multiple $3.83 $5.11 $6.38 55

EV/EBIT $5.83 $8.12 $10.41 66

EV/EBITDA $7.88 $10.86 $13.84 67

EV/Revenue $3.86 $5.96 $8.07 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $2.03 $2.72 $4.06 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $7.08 $12.08 $19.90 74

Rev-Margin DCF $6.06 $10.93 $21.17 66

Economic Profit

Residual Income $2.99 $3.04 $3.27 68

ROIC Compounder $2.08 $2.46 $2.77 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $9.62 $13.75 $17.87 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 52

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 57

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 72

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 55

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 75

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 32

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 53

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 41

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 96

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+11.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+19.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.5% a year

Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+32.2%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+9.0%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+8.9%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.9% vs 20.6%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 10%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−0.2%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 235 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside +36.9% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 7.7% · Below median

Return on assets 4.7% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 5.5% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 8.2% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 8.7% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.35× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheaper than median

P/B 0.89× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 5.9× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS	$197.74	$188.06	−5%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI	$99.36	$70.79	−29%
Copart, Inc CPRT	$27.14	$31.02	+14%
Global Payments Inc GPN	$83.33	$88.43	+6%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL	€67.82	€98.05	+45%
Brambles Limited BXB	A$18.55	A$18.66	+1%
RB Global, Inc RBA	C$116.74	C$128.41	+10%
Aramark ARMK	$54.92	$23.06	−58%
UL Solutions Inc ULS	$66.05	$33.46	−49%
Rentokil Initial plc RTO	$20.64	$19.63	−5%

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Water Intelligence plc · Fair Value
$11.82 +67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Water Intelligence plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WTLLF

Frequently asked questions

Is Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.82 versus a price of $3.86, about +206% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of WTLLF?

Our model-based fair value for Water Intelligence plc is $11.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.86.

What is the quality score of WTLLF?

Water Intelligence plc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.00, optimistic scenario $17.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Water Intelligence plc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $11.82, about +206% upside versus a price of $3.86 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.00, optimistic scenario $17.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Water Intelligence plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $90.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Water Intelligence plc pay a dividend?

Water Intelligence plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Water Intelligence plc would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WTLLF use?

Our models discount Water Intelligence plc at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.98, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Water Intelligence plc that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Water Intelligence plc grew +19.5 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Water Intelligence plc (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.16 %: that much free cash flow Water Intelligence plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Water Intelligence plc it is $11.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.86. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Water Intelligence plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, WTLLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.86, fair value $11.82, a gap of about +206% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of WTLLF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.82). For Water Intelligence plc the two are $7.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Water Intelligence plc worth?

The market values Water Intelligence plc at about $68.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.86; our models calculate a fair value of $11.82 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WTLLF?

Our models span a range for Water Intelligence plc: cautious scenario $6.00, base $11.82, optimistic $17.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of WTLLF?

Water Intelligence plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 6.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Water Intelligence plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is WTLLF from its 52-week high?

Water Intelligence plc trades at $3.86, about 20% below its 52-week high of $4.81 and 36% above the low of $2.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.82 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Water Intelligence plc?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Water Intelligence plc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.86, calculated fair value $11.82 (+206%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of WTLLF calculated?

We run Water Intelligence plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Water Intelligence plc currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.86. Our model-based fair value is $11.82, about +206% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Water Intelligence plc right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($6.00 to $17.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Where does the earnings growth of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) come from?

Earnings per share at Water Intelligence plc grew +21.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +20.5 %, EBIT margin −0.2 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Water Intelligence plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The market capitalisation of Water Intelligence plc is $68.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Water Intelligence plc is 0.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Earnings per share at Water Intelligence plc are $0.2800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The dividend yield of Water Intelligence plc is 0.1% (payout 0.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The net margin of Water Intelligence plc is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Water Intelligence plc is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Water Intelligence plc is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

The operating margin of Water Intelligence plc is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Revenue at Water Intelligence plc is growing +8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF)?

Earnings per share at Water Intelligence plc are growing +39.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Water Intelligence plc (WTLLF) carry?

The net debt of Water Intelligence plc is $27.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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