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Exotic Food Public Company (XO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 8.1B THB

EF Exotic Food Public Company XO · BK
Price18.20 THB
Fair Value20.68 THB
Upside+13.6%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 23.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.64% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 88/100
Evidence: High Range 14.87 THB – 25.56 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 23.71 THB to 20.68 THB (−12.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 14.87 THB (bear) to 25.56 THB (bull), base 20.68 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

30.73 THB 9.57 THB Fair Value 20.68 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.57 THB – 30.73 THB · fair‑value band 14.87 THB – 25.56 THB · the 18.20 THB price screens below the 20.68 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Exotic Food Public Company (XO) currently trades at 18.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.68 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Exotic Food Public Company generated revenue of 2.2B THB at a net margin of 23.8%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 501M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.87 THB (bear case) to 25.56 THB (bull case); at 18.20 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 14%, XO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 15.64 THB 22.82 THB 32.93 THB 80
Residual Income 7.02 THB 8.77 THB 31.41 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 9.53 THB 13.37 THB 17.99 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 15.52 THB 23.87 THB 36.51 THB 38
Owner Earnings 14.25 THB 21.86 THB 33.39 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 9.53 THB 13.22 THB 17.78 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 14.72 THB 23.17 THB 33.13 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 17.03 THB 27.60 THB 38.92 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 11.45 THB 15.37 THB 20.47 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 14.87 THB 22.22 THB 32.20 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 16.33 THB 25.27 THB 36.62 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.04 THB 28.11 THB 37.79 THB 54
Lynch FV 6.54 THB 9.35 THB 12.15 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 6.54 THB 9.35 THB 12.15 THB 46
EPV 11.96 THB 13.67 THB 15.14 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.31 THB 12.57 THB 19.03 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 6.31 THB 10.82 THB 13.26 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 18.63 THB 24.84 THB 31.05 THB 63
P/S Multiple 6.03 THB 8.04 THB 10.05 THB 58
P/B Multiple 15.08 THB 20.11 THB 25.14 THB 55
EV/EBIT 18.08 THB 23.71 THB 29.35 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 15.81 THB 20.68 THB 25.56 THB 54
EV/Revenue 6.45 THB 8.71 THB 10.97 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.17 THB 2.91 THB 4.34 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 15.64 THB 22.82 THB 32.93 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 9.53 THB 13.37 THB 17.99 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.02 THB 8.77 THB 31.41 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 12.69 THB 15.40 THB 18.36 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 16.06 THB 22.94 THB 29.82 THB 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (22.94 THB) versus Asset-Based (2.91 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net margin 23.8%
Return on equity 30.4%
Free cash flow 552M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 15.6
More key figures
Operating margin 26.0%
EPS (TTM) 1.22 THB
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net cash 501M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 88
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 3
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Exotic Food Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes various food products in Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Seasoning and Dipping Sauces and Cooking Paste.

Full company description

Exotic Food Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes various food products in Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Seasoning and Dipping Sauces and Cooking Paste. It offers dipping and cooking marinade sauces, salad and dressing oils, wok sauces, cooking pastes and essentials, herbs and spices, fruits and vegetables, heat and serve canned food and soup, noodles, stir fry and curry sauces, snacks, and Japanese and service range of products. The company offers its products under the Exotic Food, Thai Pride, and Coco-Loto brands. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Exotic Food Public Company reported revenue of 2.2B THB in FY2025 versus 1.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 507M THB in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B THB
Latest YoY
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 1.5B THB
FY22 1.5B THB
FY23 2.5B THB
FY24 2.5B THB
FY25 2.2B THB
Net income +2.3%/yr
FY21 462M THB
FY22 340M THB
FY23 785M THB
FY24 791M THB
FY25 507M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +23.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.4 pp

of which total revenue +13.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp

EBIT margin +12.2 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Exotic Food Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XO

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.71× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 28
FUTURE 33 · sector 20
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 73 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Exotic Food Public Company (XO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.68 THB versus a price of 18.20 THB, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XO?
Our model-based fair value for Exotic Food Public Company is 20.68 THB (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 18.20 THB.
What is the quality score of XO?
Exotic Food Public Company has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Exotic Food Public Company (XO)?
Exotic Food Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XO?
The net profit margin of Exotic Food Public Company is about 23.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Exotic Food Public Company pay a dividend?
Exotic Food Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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