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XOMA Royalty Corporation (XOMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $745M

XR XOMA Royalty Corporation logo XOMA Royalty Corporation XOMA · US
Price$40.17
Fair Value$10.34
Upside-74.3%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 69.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range $6.58 – $20.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.58 to $20.75). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$45.00 $13.82 Fair Value $10.34 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.82 – $45.00 · fair‑value band $6.58 – $20.75 · the $40.17 price screens above the $10.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

XOMA Royalty Corporation (XOMA) currently trades at $40.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.34, implying the stock looks roughly 74.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, XOMA Royalty Corporation generated revenue of $48.6M at a net margin of 69.6%. Revenue declined 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.2%. Net debt stands at $48.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.58 (bear case) to $20.75 (bull case); at $40.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -74%, XOMA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.30 $2.81 $5.18 80
Residual Income $11.25 $16.41 $128.73 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.86 $10.19 $21.26 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.44 $2.46 $5.50 38
Owner Earnings $9.30 $20.09 $40.11 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.28 $8.82 $18.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.83 $11.96 $24.01 41
5Y P/E Exit $20.38 $52.65 $97.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $3.12 $9.53 $14.16 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.38 $12.58 $27.47 37
10Y P/E Exit $14.09 $41.15 $87.81 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.20 $85.07 $119.38 54
Lynch FV $43.95 $62.78 $81.62 50
PEG = 1.0 $43.95 $62.78 $81.62 46
EPV $3.87 $4.50 $5.03 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.40 $4.33 $5.97 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.40 $3.96 $4.63 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.60 $39.46 $49.33 63
P/S Multiple $7.74 $10.32 $12.91 58
P/B Multiple $19.85 $26.46 $33.08 55
EV/EBIT $7.44 $10.18 $12.92 53
EV/EBITDA $7.76 $10.60 $13.44 54
EV/Revenue $5.09 $7.61 $10.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.94 $3.94 $5.88 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.30 $2.81 $5.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.86 $10.19 $21.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.25 $16.41 $128.73 76
ROIC Compounder $3.87 $4.50 $5.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $58.34 $83.34 $108.34 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($83.34) versus Growth DCF ($2.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $48.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net margin 69.6%
Return on equity 34.2%
Free cash flow $2.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.8
More key figures
Operating margin -3.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.57
EPS growth (YoY) +208%
Net debt $48.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

XOMA Royalty Corporation operates as a biotech royalty aggregator in the United States, Switzerland, the Asia Pacific, and Australia. It has a portfolio of economic rights to future potential milestone and royalty payments associated with commercial products and pre-commercial therapeutic candidates.

Full company description

XOMA Royalty Corporation operates as a biotech royalty aggregator in the United States, Switzerland, the Asia Pacific, and Australia. It has a portfolio of economic rights to future potential milestone and royalty payments associated with commercial products and pre-commercial therapeutic candidates. The company also focuses on early to mid-stage clinical assets primarily in Phase 1 and 2 with commercial sales potential that are licensed to sponsors or developers; and acquires milestone and royalty revenue streams on late-stage clinical assets and commercial assets. It has a portfolio with various assets. The company was formerly known as XOMA Corporation and changed its name to XOMA Royalty Corporation in July 2024. XOMA Royalty Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

XOMA Royalty Corporation reported revenue of $52.1M in FY2025 versus $38.2M in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $31.7M in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$52.1M
Latest YoY
+83.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+105.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+5.0%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 $38.2M
FY22 $6.0M
FY23 $4.8M
FY24 $28.5M
FY25 $52.1M
Net income +19.0%/yr
FY21 $15.8M
FY22 −$17.1M
FY23 −$40.8M
FY24 −$13.8M
FY25 $31.7M

XOMA screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XOMA Royalty Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XOMA

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 70% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Below median
Revenue growth -23% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 15.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 259.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 91.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 54 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is XOMA Royalty Corporation (XOMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.34 versus a price of $40.17, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XOMA?
Our model-based fair value for XOMA Royalty Corporation is $10.34 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $40.17.
What is the quality score of XOMA?
XOMA Royalty Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of XOMA Royalty Corporation (XOMA)?
XOMA Royalty Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $48.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XOMA?
The net profit margin of XOMA Royalty Corporation is about 69.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 69.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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