Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Expro Group Holdings NV stock $10.12, price $13.19, that is 23.3% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.91 – $24.83 · fair‑value band $8.88 – $12.71 · the $13.19 price screens above the $10.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Expro Group Holdings N.V. provides energy services in North and Latin America, Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific.
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It provides well construction products and services, such as technology solutions in tubular running services, tubular products, cementing, drilling, and wellbore cleanup; and well management services comprising well flow management, subsea well access, and well intervention and integrity solutions.
The company serves exploration and production companies in onshore and offshore environments. Expro Group Holdings N.V. was founded in 1938 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) currently trades at $13.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.12, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.73 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the $13.19 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.29, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $8.88 (bear) to $12.71 (bull), the price of $13.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Expro Group Holdings NV reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $826M in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $51.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.5B Small · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −23%, XPRO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$8.88Fair Value $10.12Bull$12.71
Price $13.19 · Downside -23.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0085 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.3% (2020) → 7.2% (2025)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.1% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
Compare Expro Group Holdings NV with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 166 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−23.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)5.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.95× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.4× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Expro Group Holdings NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XPRO
Frequently asked questions
Is Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.12 versus a price of $13.19, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XPRO?
Our model-based fair value for Expro Group Holdings NV is $10.12 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.19.
What is the quality score of XPRO?
Expro Group Holdings NV has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.12 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.88, optimistic scenario $12.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Expro Group Holdings NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.12, about 23% lower versus a price of $13.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.88, optimistic scenario $12.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Expro Group Holdings NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Expro Group Holdings NV pay a dividend?
Expro Group Holdings NV currently shows a dividend yield of 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Expro Group Holdings NV has a dividend yield of 0.8%.
What growth is priced into Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Expro Group Holdings NV would have to grow free cash flow by +6.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.9 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XPRO use?
Our models discount Expro Group Holdings NV at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Expro Group Holdings NV that is +6.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Expro Group Holdings NV grew +18.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Expro Group Holdings NV (+6.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.48 %: that much free cash flow Expro Group Holdings NV produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Expro Group Holdings NV it is $10.12 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $13.19. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Expro Group Holdings NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, XPRO trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.19, fair value $10.12, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XPRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.12). For Expro Group Holdings NV the two are $3.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Expro Group Holdings NV worth?
The market values Expro Group Holdings NV at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $13.19; our models calculate a fair value of $10.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XPRO?
Our models span a range for Expro Group Holdings NV: cautious scenario $8.88, base $10.12, optimistic $12.71 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $13.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of XPRO?
The PEG ratio of Expro Group Holdings NV is 0.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Expro Group Holdings NV (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XPRO from its 52-week high?
Expro Group Holdings NV trades at $13.19, about 30% below its 52-week high of $18.96 and 5% above the low of $12.52 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Expro Group Holdings NV?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, Halliburton Company, Tenaris S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Expro Group Holdings NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $13.19, calculated fair value $10.12 (−23%), Quality Score 53/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XPRO calculated?
We run Expro Group Holdings NV through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $10.12 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Expro Group Holdings NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $13.19. Our model-based fair value is $10.12, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Expro Group Holdings NV right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Expro Group Holdings NV
How large is the market capitalisation of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The market capitalisation of Expro Group Holdings NV is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Expro Group Holdings NV is 0.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Earnings per share at Expro Group Holdings NV are $0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The dividend yield of Expro Group Holdings NV is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The net margin of Expro Group Holdings NV is 0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Expro Group Holdings NV is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Expro Group Holdings NV is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
The operating margin of Expro Group Holdings NV is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Revenue at Expro Group Holdings NV is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Earnings per share at Expro Group Holdings NV are growing −88.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) carry?
The net debt of Expro Group Holdings NV is $27.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026