Xtant Medical Holdings (XTNT) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $61.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +13.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 49% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4930). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3500 – $2.00 · fair‑value band $0.4930 – $0.8330 · the $0.4442 price screens below the $0.6630 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Xtant Medical Holdings (XTNT) currently trades at $0.4442, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6630, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Xtant Medical Holdings generated revenue of $122M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 36.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at $11.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4930 (bear case) to $0.8330 (bull case); at $0.4442, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 49%, XTNT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.14) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc. provides regenerative medicine products and medical devices for orthopedic and neurological surgeons in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc. provides regenerative medicine products and medical devices for orthopedic and neurological surgeons in the United States and internationally. It offers OsteoSponge, a natural scaffold for cellular in-growth; OsteoSelect DBM Putty, a moldable demineralized bone matrix; OsteoSelect PLUS DBM Putty to deliver handling properties and ensure patient safety through validated and terminal sterilization; 3Demin, a family of allografts that maximizes osteoconductivity and the osteoinductive potential of human bone; OsteoFactor Pro, a processed allograft that contains retained growth factors found within the endosteum layer of allograft bone; OsteoVive Plus, an aseptically processed and viable bone allograft; and nanOss products that provide osteoconductive nano-structured hydroxyapatite and an engineered extracellular matrix bioscaffold collagen carrier. It also provides sports allografts for anterior and posterior cruciate ligament repairs, anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction, and meniscal repair; milled spinal allografts for cortical bone milled to desired shapes and dimensions; and traditional allografts for orthopedics, neurology, podiatry, oral/maxillofacial, genitourinary, and plastic/reconstructive applications. In addition, it offers cervical products comprising Spider cervical plating, Streamline OCT system, and CervAlign systems; thoracolumbar products, such as of Axle-X interspinous fusion, Streamline MIS spinal fixation, Streamline TL spinal fixation, and HPS 2.0 hybrid performance systems; Silex sacroiliac joint fusion systems; interbody products comprising Calix for cervical and thoracolumbar applications, Irix-C Cervical and Irix-A lumbar integrated dusion systems, and Fortilink implants; Contact ALP (Anterior Lumbar Plate) System; and interlaminar stabilization products, such as Coflex device for lumbar spinal stenosis; and CoFix implants for back and disc pain. The company is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xtant Medical Holdings reported revenue of $134M in FY2025 versus $55.3M in FY2021, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Medical Devices · 352 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories, ABT | $100.68 | $74.79 | -26% |
| Stryker Corporation SYK | $316.44 | $186.28 | -41% |
| Medtronic plc MDT | $83.56 | $65.57 | -22% |
| Boston Scientific Corporation BSX | $43.04 | $38.44 | -11% |
| Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW | $85.73 | $41.02 | -52% |
| Siemens Healthineers AG SHL | €34.59 | €33.87 | -2% |
| Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 | ¥149.43 | ¥147.63 | -1% |
| Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 | ¥109.00 | ¥43.60 | -60% |
| Demant A/S DEMANT | kr 276.60 | kr 161.17 | -42% |
| Getinge AB GETIB | kr 206.80 | kr 192.14 | -7% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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