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Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 11.2B TRY

YA Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. YYLGD · IS
Price10.27 TRY
Fair Value16.53 TRY
Upside+61.0%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range 10.60 TRY – 21.82 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (10.60 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (10.60 TRY to 21.82 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

24.07 TRY 5.41 TRY Fair Value 16.53 TRY May 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range 5.41 TRY – 24.07 TRY · fair‑value band 10.60 TRY – 21.82 TRY · the 10.27 TRY price screens below the 16.53 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) currently trades at 10.27 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.53 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 26.1B TRY at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 30.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.7%. Net debt stands at 9.9B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.60 TRY (bear case) to 21.82 TRY (bull case); at 10.27 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 61%, YYLGD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 45.45 TRY 91.19 TRY 166.14 TRY 80
Residual Income 9.98 TRY 10.44 TRY 10.99 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 27.52 TRY 46.25 TRY 85.75 TRY 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 48.38 TRY 76.70 TRY 166.88 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 25.04 TRY 40.25 TRY 71.77 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 27.05 TRY 44.30 TRY 77.98 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 22.41 TRY 42.89 TRY 69.36 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 31.58 TRY 61.65 TRY 77.98 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 33.74 TRY 65.96 TRY 118.79 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 30.36 TRY 55.97 TRY 94.73 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.65 TRY 39.41 TRY 55.31 TRY 54
Lynch FV 20.36 TRY 29.09 TRY 37.81 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 20.36 TRY 29.09 TRY 37.81 TRY 46
EPV 11.80 TRY 13.93 TRY 15.80 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13.09 TRY 17.45 TRY 21.82 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 10.60 TRY 14.13 TRY 17.66 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 10.60 TRY 14.13 TRY 17.66 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 20.69 TRY 27.91 TRY 35.14 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 18.24 TRY 24.65 TRY 31.06 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 14.48 TRY 21.11 TRY 27.74 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.21 TRY 8.32 TRY 12.42 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 45.45 TRY 91.19 TRY 166.14 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 27.52 TRY 46.25 TRY 85.75 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.98 TRY 10.44 TRY 10.99 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 11.80 TRY 16.38 TRY 21.87 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 26.63 TRY 38.05 TRY 49.46 TRY 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (55.97 TRY) versus Asset-Based (8.32 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 26.1B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.4%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 14.7%
Free cash flow 3.2B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin 13.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.5000 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -30.0%
Net debt 9.9B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells various food and grains in Turkey and internationally. It involved in the supply of food products, including paddy, bulgur, pulses, and shelled lentils; production of packaged ready to cook mix food, such as rice and bulgur mixed with various super and natural foods, such as dried tomatoes, dried …

Full company description

Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells various food and grains in Turkey and internationally. It involved in the supply of food products, including paddy, bulgur, pulses, and shelled lentils; production of packaged ready to cook mix food, such as rice and bulgur mixed with various super and natural foods, such as dried tomatoes, dried mushrooms, and eggplant and other vegetables; production of rice, wheat, black beans, maize, beans, chickpeas, kidney beans, bulgur, paddy, lentils, and corn; ready to eat products, which includes pilaki, meaty dried beans and chickpeas, soups, bulgur and rice pilafs, pasta, compotes, legume and olive oil dishes, and grain and legum salads; and engages in trading of unprocessed cereals, grains, and pulses such as wheat, corn, barley, rice, paddy, and lentils as commercial goods. It also provides boiled products comprising boiled chickpeas, beans, ashura wheat, mexican beans, peas, quinoa, and grain corn; and seeds, such as red, black, white, and mixed quinoa, bulghur, chia, white chia, white chia seeds, beluga lentils, mung beans, basmati, sushi, black, and risotto rice, buckwheat, teff, amaranth, and flaxseed. In addition, it offers ezogelin soup with einkorn bulgur; lentil soup with quinoa; gourmet lentil soup; and Ala Çiftçi gourmet fit products. It serves hotels, restaurants, catering companies, restaurants, cafes, cafeterias, education, and health institutions. Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Kahramankazan, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 22.5B TRY in FY2025 versus 4.5B TRY in FY2021, a compound +49.7%/yr. Reported net income was 903M TRY in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
22.5B TRY
Latest YoY
+44.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+64.8%
Revenue +49.7%/yr
FY21 4.5B TRY
FY22 23.1B TRY
FY23 23.6B TRY
FY24 15.5B TRY
FY25 22.5B TRY
Net income +21.2%/yr
FY21 418M TRY
FY22 484M TRY
FY23 665M TRY
FY24 1.4B TRY
FY25 903M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YYLGD

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 651 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 59 · sector 27
HEALTH 94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 79.00 TWD 68.72 TWD -13%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.53 TRY versus a price of 10.27 TRY, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YYLGD?
Our model-based fair value for Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 16.53 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10.27 TRY.
What is the quality score of YYLGD?
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YYLGD?
The net profit margin of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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