Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 17.09, price TRY 8.70, upside +96.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range 5.41 TRY – 24.07 TRY · fair‑value band 11.96 TRY – 22.22 TRY · the 8.70 TRY price screens below the 17.09 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells various food and grains in Turkey and internationally.
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Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells various food and grains in Turkey and internationally. It involved in the supply of food products, including paddy, bulgur, pulses, and shelled lentils; production of packaged ready to cook mix food, such as rice and bulgur mixed with various super and natural foods, such as dried tomatoes, dried mushrooms, and eggplant and other vegetables; production of rice, wheat, black beans, maize, beans, chickpeas, kidney beans, bulgur, paddy, lentils, and corn; ready to eat products, which includes pilaki, meaty dried beans and chickpeas, soups, bulgur and rice pilafs, pasta, compotes, legume and olive oil dishes, and grain and legum salads; and engages in trading of unprocessed cereals, grains, and pulses such as wheat, corn, barley, rice, paddy, and lentils as commercial goods. It also provides boiled products comprising boiled chickpeas, beans, ashura wheat, mexican beans, peas, quinoa, and grain corn; and seeds, such as red, black, white, and mixed quinoa, bulghur, chia, white chia, white chia seeds, beluga lentils, mung beans, basmati, sushi, black, and risotto rice, buckwheat, teff, amaranth, and flaxseed. In addition, it offers ezogelin soup with einkorn bulgur; lentil soup with quinoa; gourmet lentil soup; and Ala Çiftçi gourmet fit products. It serves hotels, restaurants, catering companies, restaurants, cafes, cafeterias, education, and health institutions. Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Kahramankazan, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) currently trades at 8.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.09 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 49.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 52.70 TRY per share, and 22 of the 23 models we run sit above the 8.70 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 8.32 TRY, and 1 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.96 TRY (bear) to 22.22 TRY (bull), the price of 8.70 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 22.5B TRY in FY2025 versus 4.5B TRY in FY2021, a compound +49.7%/yr. Reported net income was 903M TRY in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.2B TRY (≈ $228M) · P/E ratio 17.4 · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) 0.5000 TRY · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9% · Operating margin 13.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 96%, YYLGD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.96 TRYFair Value 17.09 TRYBull 22.22 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3699 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+44.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+34.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.4% a year for the price.
Compare Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+96.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth30.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YYLGD
Frequently asked questions
Is Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.09 TRY versus a price of 8.70 TRY, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YYLGD?
Our model-based fair value for Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 17.09 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.70 TRY.
What is the quality score of YYLGD?
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 17.09 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.96 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.22 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 17.09 TRY, about +96% upside versus a price of 8.70 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 11.96 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.22 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +64.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of YYLGD use?
Our models discount Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. grew +64.8 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.72 %: that much free cash flow Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 17.09 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 8.70 TRY. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, YYLGD trades below its calculated fair value: price 8.70 TRY, fair value 17.09 TRY, a gap of about +96% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YYLGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.70 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (17.09 TRY). For Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 8.39 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 11.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 8.70 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 17.09 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YYLGD?
Our models span a range for Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 11.96 TRY, base 17.09 TRY, optimistic 22.22 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 8.70 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of YYLGD?
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 17.09 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 14.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YYLGD from its 52-week high?
Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 8.70 TRY, about 39% below its 52-week high of 14.25 TRY and 2% above the low of 8.50 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 17.09 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 8.70 TRY, calculated fair value 17.09 TRY (+96%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YYLGD calculated?
We run Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 17.09 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. currently trades 96 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 8.70 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 17.09 TRY, about +96% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (11.96 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (11.96 TRY to 22.22 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The market capitalisation of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 11.2B TRY (≈ $228M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Earnings per share at Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are 0.5000 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The net margin of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
The operating margin of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Revenue at Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing +30.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD)?
Earnings per share at Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −30.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (YYLGD) carry?
The net debt of Yayla Agro Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 9.9B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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