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Zenta Group (ZGM) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $19.5M

ZG Zenta Group logo Zenta Group ZGM · US
Price$2.95
Fair Value$1.73
Upside-41.4%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 31.7% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range $1.30 – $2.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $3.86 to $1.73 (−55.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +99.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

$4.17 $1.23 Fair Value $1.73 Sep 2025 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $1.23 – $4.17 · fair‑value band $1.30 – $2.31 · the $2.95 price screens above the $1.73 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Zenta Group (ZGM) currently trades at $2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.73, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zenta Group generated revenue of $3.2M at a net margin of 31.7%. Revenue declined 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.30 (bear case) to $2.31 (bull case); at $2.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 171% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -41%, ZGM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $5.90 $8.42 $10.95 68
ROIC Compounder $2.04 $2.75 $3.14 67
P/E Multiple $2.90 $3.86 $4.83 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.77 $5.25 $9.59 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.25 $8.73 $12.25 54
Lynch FV $4.51 $6.44 $8.37 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.51 $6.44 $8.37 46
EPV $1.72 $1.91 $2.05 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.90 $3.86 $4.83 63
P/S Multiple $0.8700 $1.16 $1.45 58
P/B Multiple $2.35 $3.13 $3.91 55
EV/EBIT $3.35 $4.40 $5.46 53
EV/EBITDA $3.45 $4.54 $5.62 54
EV/Revenue $0.9200 $1.24 $1.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6300 $0.8500 $1.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.12 $1.30 $2.33 61
ROIC Compounder $2.04 $2.75 $3.14 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.90 $8.42 $10.95 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.42) versus Asset-Based ($0.8500). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -27.0%
Net margin 31.7%
Return on equity 23.4%
Free cash flow −$3.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.5
More key figures
Operating margin 31.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -78.0%
Net cash $320K FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zenta Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of industrial park consultation and business investment consultation services; and sale of fintech products and services in Macau and the People's Republic of China. It offers fintech services to customers by offering algorithm and big data models and a blockchain system.

Full company description

Zenta Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of industrial park consultation and business investment consultation services; and sale of fintech products and services in Macau and the People's Republic of China. It offers fintech services to customers by offering algorithm and big data models and a blockchain system. The company's industrial park consultation services include project development consultation services; agency services of sales and leasing; property management and financial advisory services; advisory on operation improvement services; advisory on selection of suppliers/builders process services; and feasibility study report services. Its business investment consultation services comprise mergers and acquisitions consultation services; and administrative services, such as handling and managing corporate documents, maintaining and updating corporate changes and registrations, providing registered offices, and filing income tax returns. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Macau.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zenta Group reported revenue of $3.2M in FY2025 versus $172K in FY2022, a compound +164.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.2M
Latest YoY
+55.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+164.1%
Revenue +164.1%/yr
FY22 $172K
FY23 $863K
FY24 $2.0M
FY25 $3.2M
Net income
FY22 −$65.2K
FY23 $420K
FY24 $799K
FY25 $1.0M

ZGM screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zenta Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZGM

Peer Group

Consulting Services · 82 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −41% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -27% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 94 · sector 40
HEALTH 0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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SGS SA SGSN CHF 94.68 CHF 68.96 -27%
Equifax Inc EFX $177.08 $101.34 -43%
Bureau Veritas SA BVI €27.20 €27.81 +2%
ALS Limited ALQ A$21.96 A$11.02 -50%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $63.94 $120.62 +89%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 67.60 CHF 64.81 -4%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $156.86 $171.64 +9%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.06 ¥11.90 -15%
GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 ¥16.56 ¥11.69 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zenta Group (ZGM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.73 versus a price of $2.95, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZGM?
Our model-based fair value for Zenta Group is $1.73 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.95.
What is the quality score of ZGM?
Zenta Group has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zenta Group (ZGM)?
Zenta Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZGM?
The net profit margin of Zenta Group is about 31.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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