Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Assurant, Inc. stock $156, price $307, that is 49.1% below the price, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $99.46 – $308.52 · fair‑value band $125.03 – $227.42 · the $306.87 price screens above the $156.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Assurant, Inc. provides protection services to connected devices, homes, and automobiles in North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Global Lifestyle and Global Housing segments.
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The Global Lifestyle segment offers mobile device solutions, and extended service contracts and related services for consumer electronics and appliances, and credit and other insurance products; and vehicle protection, commercial equipment protection, and other related services.
The Global Housing segment provides lender-placed homeowners, manufactured housing, and flood insurance; renters insurance and other products; and voluntary manufactured housing, and condominium and homeowners insurance products.
The company was formerly known as Fortis, Inc. and changed its name to Assurant, Inc. in February 2004. Assurant, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) currently trades at $306.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $156.23, 49% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $230.01 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $306.87 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $53.55, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $125.03 (bear) to $227.42 (bull), the price of $306.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Assurant, Inc. reported revenue of $12.8B in FY2025 versus $10.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $873M in FY2025, compounding −10.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $15.3B Large · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) $20.89 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 18.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −49%, AIZ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$125.03Fair Value $156.23Bull$227.42
Price $306.87 · Downside -49.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($14.82 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $10.4M and none bought.
SaleNair BijuEVP, Pres, Global Conn Living3,931 shares at $302.46$1.2MAug 6, 2026
SaleRobert LonerganEVP, CSTO7,000 shares at $262.71$1.8MJun 22, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleDimitry DiRienzoSVP, CAO, Controller2× since Mar 20, 2026: 2,750 shares, avg. $243.49$669,595May 26, 2026
SaleKeith MeierEVP, Chief Financial Officer25,000 shares at $254.31$6.4MMay 15, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJay RosenblumEVP, Chief Legal Officer2,000 shares at $251.77$503,540May 14, 2026
SaleSubhashish SenguptaEVP, Chief People Officer1,900 shares at $210.58$400,096Mar 20, 2026
Plus 12 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+21.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.0% vs 10.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.5% a year for the price and +3.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Assurant's main strength is the new Compass partnership extending home warranty reach into real estate transactions alongside device and auto programs, while its main weak point remains thin public signals of durable advantage and sparse data on margin trends.
Main risk: Loss of one or more major clients such as mobile carriers or mortgage servicers in its B2B2C model could materially reduce revenues and margins in the Global Lifestyle and Global Housing segments.
Bull case: By deepening integrations with remaining key clients through its AI-enabled platforms and expanding the Compass partnership, Assurant could offset client losses with higher attachment rates and fee-based services.
Bear case: If key mobile or housing clients reduce business or switch providers amid competition, Assurant could see sustained revenue declines and margin pressure in its core protection segments.
Assurant has launched home warranty coverage integrated into real estate transactions through a partnership with Compass and its affiliated brokerages. This extends its protection offerings into a new distribution channel alongside its device and auto programs. Will the added reach in housing lift segment margins enough to ease pressure on overall results, or will claims costs and integration challenges cap the gains?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Property & Casualty · 100 stocks
P/B2.60× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.14× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow9.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA9.0× · Pricier than median
PEG2.16× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)47· sector 26
PAST (return on equity)73· sector 62
HEALTH (low debt)81· sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 49
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Assurant, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIZ
Frequently asked questions
Is Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $156.23 versus a price of $306.87, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIZ?
Our model-based fair value for Assurant, Inc. is $156.23 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $306.87.
What is the quality score of AIZ?
Assurant, Inc. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $156.23 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $125.03, optimistic scenario $227.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Assurant, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $156.23, about 49% lower versus a price of $306.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $125.03, optimistic scenario $227.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Assurant, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Assurant, Inc. pay a dividend?
Assurant, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Assurant, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -10.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.9 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIZ use?
Our models discount Assurant, Inc. at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Assurant, Inc. that is -10.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Assurant, Inc. grew +5.9 % a year. The price currently implies -10.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Assurant, Inc. (-10.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.45 %: that much free cash flow Assurant, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Assurant, Inc. it is $156.23 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $306.87. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Assurant, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, AIZ trades above its calculated fair value: price $306.87, fair value $156.23, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($306.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($156.23). For Assurant, Inc. the two are $150.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Assurant, Inc. worth?
The market values Assurant, Inc. at about $15.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $306.87; our models calculate a fair value of $156.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIZ?
Our models span a range for Assurant, Inc.: cautious scenario $125.03, base $156.23, optimistic $227.42 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $306.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AIZ?
Assurant, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $156.23 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 14.4. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 2.6, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
What is the PEG ratio of AIZ?
The PEG ratio of Assurant, Inc. is 2.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Assurant, Inc. (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 18.3%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIZ from its 52-week high?
Assurant, Inc. trades at $306.87, about 1% below its 52-week high of $308.52 and 45% above the low of $211.14 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $156.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Assurant, Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Chubb Limited, The Progressive Corporation, The Travelers Companies, Inc, The Allstate Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Assurant, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $306.87, calculated fair value $156.23 (−49%), Quality Score 59/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIZ calculated?
We run Assurant, Inc. through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $156.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Assurant, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $306.87. Our model-based fair value is $156.23, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Assurant, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($227.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($125.03 to $227.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) come from?
Earnings per share at Assurant, Inc. grew +10.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Assurant, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The market capitalisation of Assurant, Inc. is $15.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Assurant, Inc. is 1.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Earnings per share at Assurant, Inc. are $20.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The dividend yield of Assurant, Inc. is 1.1% (payout 16.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The net margin of Assurant, Inc. is 7.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Assurant, Inc. is 18.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Assurant, Inc. is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
The operating margin of Assurant, Inc. is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Revenue at Assurant, Inc. is growing +9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Assurant, Inc. (AIZ)?
Earnings per share at Assurant, Inc. are growing +30.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) carry?
The net debt of Assurant, Inc. is $373M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026