Equifax Inc (EFX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Equifax Inc stock $109, price $194, that is 43.8% below the price, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $137.24 – $301.14 · fair‑value band $66.45 – $147.53 · the $193.84 price screens above the $109.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.
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Equifax Inc. operates as a data, analytics, and technology company. The company operates through three segments: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International.
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The Workforce Solutions segment offers services that enables customers to verify income, employment, educational history, criminal justice data, healthcare professional licensure, and sanctions of people in the United States; and employer customers with services that that assist them in complying with and automating certain payroll-related and human resource management processes throughout the entire cycle of the employment relationship.
The U.S. Information Solutions segment provides consumer and commercial information services, such as credit information and credit scoring, credit modeling and portfolio analytics, locate, fraud detection and prevention, identity verification, and other consulting services; mortgage services; financial marketing services; identity management services; and credit monitoring products.
The International segment offers information service products, which include consumer and commercial services comprising credit and financial information, and credit scoring and modeling; and credit and other marketing products and services, as well as information, technology, and services to support debt collections and recovery management.
The company also provides information solutions for businesses, governments and consumers; and human resources business process automation and outsourcing services for employers.
It operates in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Honduras, India, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Portugal, Spain, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, and the United States.
The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Equifax Inc (EFX) currently trades at $193.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $109.01, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $116.66 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $193.84 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $26.83, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $66.45 (bear) to $147.53 (bull), the price of $193.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Equifax Inc reported revenue of $6.1B in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $660M in FY2025, compounding −2.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $23.1B Large · P/E ratio 31.4 · P/S ratio 3.51 · EPS (TTM) $6.18 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 11.3% · Return on equity 15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −44%, EFX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$66.45Fair Value $109.01Bull$147.53
Price $193.84 · Downside -43.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.40 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $15.4M and none bought.
SaleJohn W Gamble JrEVP, CFO & COO5× since Nov 20, 2025: 19,000 shares, avg. $188.22$3.6MOct 29, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMark W BegorCEO, Director4× since Feb 10, 2026: 151,165 shares, avg. $182.31$27.6MOct 23, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleChad M BortonEVP, Pres Workforce Solutions2× since Feb 12, 2026: 4,990 shares, avg. $182.84$912,352May 7, 202610b5-1 plan
BuyCecilia MaoEVP, Chief Product Officer2,400 shares at $193.72$464,928Feb 18, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJamil FarshchiEVP, Chief Technology Officer7,380 shares at $196.45$1.4MFeb 11, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 12 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.7% vs 4.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.6% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Equifax's data assets and AI tools support growth in credit decisioning, but elevated total debt and operational risks from score errors limit its position.
Main risk: Rivals such as Argyle, Truv and Truework offer cheaper employment and income verification services that could erode margins or customer share in Equifax's Workforce Solutions segment.
Bull case: Equifax could defend its position by combining its scale, instant hit rates, FCRA certifications and proprietary data moat with selective partnerships or integrations that incorporate fintech capabilities.
Bear case: If lower-cost fintech verification gains broader GSE accreditation and lender adoption, Equifax could lose significant volume in its high-margin verification business as customers shift to alternatives for price-sensitive use cases.
Equifax is rolling out Mortgage Score Select to support dual scoring in mortgages alongside faster VantageScore 4.0 adoption. Its data and AI tools continue to support growth even with elevated rates, though a proposed settlement over past score errors highlights ongoing operational risks. Will these product expansions strengthen its position in credit decisioning more than legacy challenges constrain it?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consulting Services · 74 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−43.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.4% · Above median
Return on assets5.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)11.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)21.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.88× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)31.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.02× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)3.51× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow20.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA13.3× · Pricier than median
PEG1.51× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)48· sector 18
PAST (return on equity)62· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)56· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equifax Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EFX
Frequently asked questions
Is Equifax Inc (EFX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $109.01 versus a price of $193.84, about 44% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EFX?
Our model-based fair value for Equifax Inc is $109.01 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $193.84.
What is the quality score of EFX?
Equifax Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $109.01 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $66.45, optimistic scenario $147.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Equifax Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $109.01, about 44% lower versus a price of $193.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $66.45, optimistic scenario $147.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Equifax Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
Does Equifax Inc pay a dividend?
Equifax Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Equifax Inc (EFX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Equifax Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +14.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EFX use?
Our models discount Equifax Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Equifax Inc that is +14.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Equifax Inc (EFX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Equifax Inc grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +14.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Equifax Inc (EFX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Equifax Inc (+14.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.91 %: that much free cash flow Equifax Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Equifax Inc it is $109.01 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of $193.84. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Equifax Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, EFX trades above its calculated fair value: price $193.84, fair value $109.01, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EFX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($193.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($109.01). For Equifax Inc the two are $84.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Equifax Inc worth?
The market values Equifax Inc at about $23.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is $193.84; our models calculate a fair value of $109.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EFX?
Our models span a range for Equifax Inc: cautious scenario $66.45, base $109.01, optimistic $147.53 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price $193.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EFX?
Equifax Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.4 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $109.01 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 ex one-offs: 38.9. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 5.0, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 13.3.
What is the PEG ratio of EFX?
The PEG ratio of Equifax Inc is 1.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Equifax Inc (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 15.4%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EFX from its 52-week high?
Equifax Inc trades at $193.84, about 14% below its 52-week high of $224.92 and 41% above the low of $137.24 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $109.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Equifax Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisk Analytics, Inc, SGS SA, Bureau Veritas SA, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Equifax Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price $193.84, calculated fair value $109.01 (−44%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EFX calculated?
We run Equifax Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $109.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Equifax Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $193.84. Our model-based fair value is $109.01, about 44% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Equifax Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($147.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($66.45 to $147.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Equifax Inc (EFX) come from?
Earnings per share at Equifax Inc grew +3.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.1 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Equifax Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The market capitalisation of Equifax Inc is $23.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Equifax Inc is 3.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Earnings per share at Equifax Inc are $6.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The dividend yield of Equifax Inc is 1.1% (payout 35.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The net margin of Equifax Inc is 11.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Equifax Inc is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Equifax Inc is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The operating margin of Equifax Inc is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Revenue at Equifax Inc is growing +9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Earnings per share at Equifax Inc are growing +38.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Equifax Inc (EFX) carry?
The net debt of Equifax Inc is $4.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 2, 2026