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Data-driven stock valuation

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group stock $38.31, price $108, that is 64.6% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services US

LL Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group logo Thin data Nov 1, 2026

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group

LLYVK · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 65% below what the stock costs today.

Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Fair value $38.31 · Strongly overvalued (−64.6%)
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −98.4 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -108.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 13/100 · thin data
Thin data

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩EU antitrust scrutiny on media rights🚩High leverage at MotoGP restricting cash

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$110.35 $30.10 Fair Value $38.31 Aug 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range $30.10 – $110.35 · fair‑value band $27.07 – $49.55 · the $108.34 price screens above the $38.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients.

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In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

Stock analysis

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) currently trades at $108.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.31, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 86/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $27.07 (bear) to $49.55 (bull), the price of $108.34 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock reported revenue of $382M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −$87.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $10.0B Mid · P/S ratio 22.5 · EPS (TTM) $−4.79 · Net margin −108% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin −0.6% · Revenue (TTM) $407M · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −65%, LLYVK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $27.07 Fair Value $38.31 Bull $49.55
Price $108.34 · Downside -64.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA $27.07 $38.31 $49.55 62
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $27.07 $38.31 $49.55 62

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 60
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 50
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 74
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • BuyJohn C Malone10% owner28,333 shares at $102.53$2.9MSep 24, 2026
  • SaleJohn C Malone10% owner29,593 shares at $98.16$2.9MSep 24, 2026
  • SaleBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC10% owner330,518 shares at $82.86$27.4MJan 16, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LLYVK screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Formula 1 commercial rights with recent extensions form the core strength supporting sponsorship and media revenue, while ongoing losses and negative equity remain the central weakness.
Main risk: EU regulators could impose conditions on the bundling of Formula 1 and MotoGP broadcasting rights, limiting licensing revenue or forcing changes to commercial agreements.
Bull case: Liberty could leverage its Formula 1 playbook to renegotiate favourable media deals and integrate MotoGP sponsorships, easing regulatory concerns through demonstrated competition benefits.
Bear case: Regulatory conditions or persistent high leverage could constrain media rights monetisation and cash flows, limiting investment in new events and eroding the commercial appeal of both series.
Liberty Live's value rests on Formula 1 commercial rights, where recent extensions for the Las Vegas Grand Prix and key supplier deals point to steady sponsorship and media revenue. Adding MotoGP brings fresh growth avenues but layers in new operational demands and a schedule still vulnerable to external disruptions. Does the diversification add more resilience than complexity to the tracking stock?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 223 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −108.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 24.48× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)31 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Netflix, Inc NFLX $65.56 $73.03 +11% vs LLYVK
Fox Corporation FOX $59.99 $65.92 +10% vs LLYVK
Universal Music Group UMG €17.78 €18.82 +6% vs LLYVK
Formula One Group FWONK $106.52 $108.82 +2% vs LLYVK
The Walt Disney Company DIS $117.22 $101.07 −14% vs LLYVK
News Corporation NWS $28.97 $17.05 −41% vs LLYVK
TKO Group TKO $189.14 $87.52 −54% vs LLYVK
Roku, Inc ROKU $160.37 $71.66 −55% vs LLYVK
Warner Music Group WMG $31.92 $10.61 −67% vs LLYVK
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $181.25 $48.10 −73% vs LLYVK

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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLYVK

Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.31 versus a price of $108.34, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LLYVK?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is $38.31 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $108.34.
What is the quality score of LLYVK?
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $38.31 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.07, optimistic scenario $49.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $38.31, about 65% lower versus a price of $108.34 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.07, optimistic scenario $49.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $407M (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock it is $38.31 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of $108.34. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, LLYVK trades above its calculated fair value: price $108.34, fair value $38.31, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LLYVK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($108.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($38.31). For Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock the two are $70.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock worth?
The market values Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock at about $10.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is $108.34; our models calculate a fair value of $38.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LLYVK?
Our models span a range for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock: cautious scenario $27.07, base $38.31, optimistic $49.55 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price $108.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock (as of Nov 1, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LLYVK from its 52-week high?
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock trades at $108.34, about 2% below its 52-week high of $110.35 and 40% above the low of $77.33 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $38.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price $108.34, calculated fair value $38.31 (−65%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LLYVK calculated?
We run Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $38.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $108.34. Our model-based fair value is $38.31, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($27.07 to $49.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
The market capitalisation of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is $10.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is 22.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
Earnings per share at Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock are $−4.79. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
The net margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −108% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
The operating margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK)?
Revenue at Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) generate?
The free cash flow of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −$29.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) carry?
The net debt of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock is $612M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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