Medline Inc. Class A (MDLN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Medline Inc. Class A stock $28.64, price $39.76, that is 28.0% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Medline Inc. Class A
MDLN · USOur calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.
Risks from the AI analysis
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range $31.64 – $49.99 · fair‑value band $15.89 – $36.33 · the $39.76 price screens above the $28.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
Medline Inc. manufactures med-surg products serving the hospital, surgery centers, physician offices, post-acute facilities, and nursing home sites of care in the United States and Internationally. It operates through two segments: Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions.
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The Medline Brand segment procures and manufactures products from three product categories include surgical solutions, front line care, and laboratory and diagnostics.
Its front line care offers med-surg products for patient-facing needs, including wound care products, exam gloves, skin care and incontinence products, environment cleaning supplies, textiles, hand sanitizer, durable medical equipment, patient plastics, and decolonization and infection control products.
Its surgical solutions provide operating room and perioperative environment product solutions, including surgical procedure trays, drapes and gowns, personal protective equipment, sterile wraps, surgical instruments, surgeon's gloves, procedure kits, and orthopedic implants.
Its laboratory and diagnostics offer laboratory and diagnostic product solutions, including point of care testing, analyzers and instrumentation, lab and diagnostic consumables, diagnostic instruments, vital signs monitors, and anatomic pathology and phlebotomy products.
It provides its products to domestic and international consumers. The Supply Chain Solutions segment procures and distributes a variety of third-party products from national brands. It provides logistics and supply chain optimization services to domestic and international consumers.
It also provides supply chain optimization services, such as consulting engagements, outsourced warehouse and technology management, put-away-ready packaging, third-party logistics, inventory rationalization, and route planning. The company was founded in 1966 and is based in Northfield, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Medline Inc. Class A (MDLN) currently trades at $39.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.64, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $29.06 per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the $39.76 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $12.29, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.89 (bear) to $36.33 (bull), the price of $39.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Medline Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $28.4B in FY2025 versus $21.4B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $54.3B Large · P/E ratio 91.7 · P/S ratio 1.18 · EPS (TTM) $0.4400 · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −57% fair-value upside, at −28%, MDLN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 22 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $170,750, on Jun 5, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $3.7M.
- SaleGIC Private Ltd10% owner3× since Aug 7, 2026: 29,085,901 shares, avg. $34.98$1.0BOct 8, 2026
- SaleHux Investment Pte. Ltd.10% owner2× since Aug 5, 2026: 3,848,612 shares, avg. $35.66$137.3MAug 14, 2026
- SaleDouglas P GolwasChief Commercial Officer, 10% owner100,000 shares at $36.77$3.7MJun 16, 202610b5-1 plan
- BuyJessi L CorcoranPrincipal Accounting Officer5,000 shares at $34.15$170,750Jun 5, 2026
- SaleBX Mozart ML-2 Holdco GP L.L.C.10% owner33,317,824 shares at $36.54$1.2BMay 28, 2026
- SaleBCP 8 Holdings Mozart Manager L.L.C.10% owner33,317,824 shares at $36.54$1.2BMay 28, 2026
- SaleMend Partners II, L.P.10% owner31,868,237 shares at $36.54$1.2BMay 28, 2026
- SaleMozart Aggregator II UNLV Holdco L.P.10% owner27,852,986 shares at $40.51$1.1BMar 10, 2026
- SaleBlackstone Group Management L.L.C.10% owner27,852,986 shares at $40.51$1.1BMar 10, 2026
- SaleHFCP X (Parallel-A), L.P.10% owner2× since Dec 18, 2025: 32,219,608 shares, avg. $38.22$1.2BMar 10, 2026
Plus 11 more entries from the last 12 months.
Plus 19 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
MDLN screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →
Earlier news
- What Capital Group Core Equity ETF (CGUS) Bought: Medline Leads on Thursday
- Medline to construct new distribution facility near Detroit
- Medical Textile Market Global Report 2026: A $39.53 Billion Revenue Surge to $64.28 Billion by 2030 at 26.9% CAGR, Benchmark 3M, Medline Ind
- Medline (MDLN) Could Be 29% Undervalued As Its Pullback Tests Sentiment
Compare Medline Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Instruments & Supplies · 181 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Return on assets by industry
- Fair value gap by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solventum Corporation SOLV | $87.18 | $131.06 | +50% | vs MDLN |
| EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme EL | €191.95 | €196.22 | +2% | vs MDLN |
| Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG | $468.52 | $353.90 | −24% | vs MDLN |
| Alcon Inc ALC | CHF 62.78 | CHF 33.91 | −46% | vs MDLN |
| Straumann Holding STMN | CHF 105.85 | CHF 45.50 | −57% | vs MDLN |
| Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX | $213.55 | $82.34 | −61% | vs MDLN |
| West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST | $392.48 | $139.22 | −65% | vs MDLN |
| Repligen Corporation RGEN | $168.48 | $43.94 | −74% | vs MDLN |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM | €224.20 | €54.82 | −76% | vs MDLN |
| Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft SRT | €227.00 | €42.50 | −81% | vs MDLN |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Medline Inc. Class A Common Stock
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