Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock ¥21.19, price ¥92.06, that is 77.0% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Negative free cash flow over the last twelve months›
Trails peers(4/14)›
Main risks:
🚩Price drop: Doubts over AI spending duration and US trade restrictions🚩US trade restrictions threaten new AI optics lines🚩Dependence on few large customers🚩Competition from peers in optical modules
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.35 – ¥275.80 · fair‑value band ¥13.01 – ¥27.62 · the ¥92.06 price screens above the ¥21.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells computer, communication, and other electronic equipment components in China and internationally.
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It operates through three segments: Electronic Circuit, Photoelectric Display, and Precision Manufacturing.
The company offers electronic circuit, including flexible circuit, flexible circuit assembly, rigid printed circuit boards, rigid-flex PCB, and PCB assembly and box build for automotive, telecom equipment, consumer electronics, high-reliability systems, telecommunications infrastructure, and consumer technologies applications.
It also provides photoelectric display, such as light-emitting diode encapsulation and liquid crystal module for commercial lighting, consumer electronics, and electronics applications; and precision manufacturing products comprising communication equipment components and new energy vehicles for automotive, communication base station, and medical treatment applications.
In addition, the company engages in business and investment activities. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Suzhou Dongshan Sheet Metal Liability Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. in January 2007.
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) currently trades at ¥92.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.19, 77% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥27.58 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥92.06 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.42, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥13.01 (bear) to ¥27.62 (bull), the price of ¥92.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd reported revenue of 40.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 31.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 184B CNY (≈ $27.5B) Large · P/E ratio 31.7 · P/S ratio 3.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.98 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 22.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −77%, 002384 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥3.25 to ¥59.62). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥13.01Fair Value ¥21.19Bull¥27.62
Price ¥92.06 · Downside -77.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥2.58 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.0% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.0% vs 34.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+59.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+49.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.4% a year for the price and +46.9% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Expansion into optical modules and high-speed chips for AI data centers forms the main strength while low margins, weak returns and high debt mark the core weakness.
Main risk: A material adverse change at its largest customers, which accounted for up to 46.5 percent of revenue in 2025 and 30.1 percent in the first half of 2026, could sharply reduce orders for PCBs and optical modules.
Bull case: By leveraging synergies between its PCB and optical module businesses and winning additional cloud service providers as customers, the company could broaden its base and sustain growth in AI infrastructure demand.
Bear case: If its largest customers cut orders amid shifting supply chains or if peers erode margins through superior offerings, revenue from both traditional PCBs and newer optical products could decline materially.
Dongshan is channeling proceeds from its Hong Kong listing into new capacity for optical modules and high-speed chips aimed at AI data centers, on top of already robust first-half revenue and profit growth. The shares have nevertheless fallen sharply amid doubts over how long AI capital spending will last and whether US trade restrictions could hit the new business lines. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will the move into higher-margin AI optics deliver more upside than the regulatory and demand risks subtract?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 691 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−77.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)22.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)9.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)18.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)73.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002384
Frequently asked questions
Is Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.19 versus a price of ¥92.06, about 77% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002384?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is ¥21.19 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥92.06.
What is the quality score of 002384?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥21.19 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥13.01, optimistic scenario ¥27.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥21.19, about 77% lower versus a price of ¥92.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥13.01, optimistic scenario ¥27.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 58.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What growth is priced into Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +59.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 11, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002384 use?
Our models discount Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.37, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd that is +59.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +59.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (+59.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.55 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd it is ¥21.19 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of ¥92.06. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 002384 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥92.06, fair value ¥21.19, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002384?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥92.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥21.19). For Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd the two are ¥70.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd worth?
The market values Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd at about 184B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is ¥92.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥21.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002384?
Our models span a range for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥13.01, base ¥21.19, optimistic ¥27.62 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price ¥92.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002384?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.7 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥21.19 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings: 26.4. Other multiples: P/B 8.6, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 19.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Balance-sheet figures for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 22.9%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002384 from its 52-week high?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd trades at ¥92.06, about 67% below its 52-week high of ¥275.80 and 43% above the low of ¥64.35 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥21.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price ¥92.06, calculated fair value ¥21.19 (−77%), Quality Score 43/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002384 calculated?
We run Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥21.19 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was ¥92.06. Our model-based fair value is ¥21.19, about 77% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥27.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥13.01 to ¥27.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) come from?
Earnings per share at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd grew +49.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +24.3 %, EBIT margin +20.9 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The market capitalisation of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 184B CNY (≈ $27.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 3.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Earnings per share at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd are ¥2.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The dividend yield of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 7.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The net margin of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 22.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
The operating margin of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Revenue at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is growing +73.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Earnings per share at Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd are growing +411% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) carry?
The net debt of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 6.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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