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Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock ¥3.77, price ¥13.54, that is 72.2% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE100004Q64

SX Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd

301051 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 72% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.2 %/yr in CNY)
Revenue last quarter 22% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥3.77 · Strongly overvalued (−72.2%)
Quality 30/100
Loss-making · -14.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥42.31 ¥11.34 Fair Value ¥3.77 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.34 – ¥42.31 · fair‑value band ¥2.81 – ¥5.63 · the ¥13.54 price screens above the ¥3.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of precision optical components and module field in China.

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The company offers glass covers and capacitive touch screen modules for use in smartphones/tablets/laptop/smart wearable devices, medical/special industry, and Internet of vehicles terminal applications.

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2013 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) currently trades at ¥13.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.77, 72% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥2.81 (bear) to ¥5.63 (bull), the price of ¥13.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −301M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.8B CNY (≈ $577M) Small · P/S ratio 2.61 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7000 · Net margin −14.2% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −24.3% · Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −72%, 301051 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.81 Fair Value ¥3.77 Bull ¥5.63
Price ¥13.54 · Downside -72.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.31 ¥4.43 ¥6.62 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.31 ¥4.43 ¥6.62 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 46
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 30
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 39
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 41
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 9/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.9% (2020) → −25.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

301051 screens overvalued: fair value 72% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 651 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −14.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −24.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −21.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 2.71× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 70
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 224.50 TWD 292.29 TWD +30% vs 301051
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,310 TWD 2,541 TWD +10% vs 301051
TE Connectivity plc TEL $207.01 $224.30 +8% vs 301051
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥70.49 ¥66.42 −6% vs 301051
Amphenol Corporation APH $74.59 $69.74 −7% vs 301051
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,055 TWD 519.57 TWD −51% vs 301051
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥50.05 ¥18.44 −63% vs 301051
Corning Incorporated GLW $106.13 $33.72 −68% vs 301051
Elite Material Co 2383 3,820 TWD 782.39 TWD −80% vs 301051
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 870,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −80% vs 301051

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Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301051

Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.77 versus a price of ¥13.54, about 72% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301051?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is ¥3.77 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.54.
What is the quality score of 301051?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.77 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.81, optimistic scenario ¥5.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.77, about 72% lower versus a price of ¥13.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.81, optimistic scenario ¥5.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd it is ¥3.77 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥13.54. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 301051 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.54, fair value ¥3.77, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301051?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.77). For Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd the two are ¥9.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd at about 3.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.54; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301051?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.81, base ¥3.77, optimistic ¥5.63 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥13.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −11.5%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301051 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd trades at ¥13.54, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥23.48 and 11% above the low of ¥12.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥13.54, calculated fair value ¥3.77 (−72%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301051 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥3.77 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥13.54. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.77, about 72% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥2.81 to ¥5.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is 3.8B CNY (≈ $577M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is 2.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd are ¥−0.7000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −14.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is growing −21.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd are growing −92.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −587M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is 635M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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