Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd ¥3.77, price ¥19.13, upside -80.3%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.34 – ¥42.31 · fair‑value band ¥2.81 – ¥5.63 · the ¥19.13 price screens above the ¥3.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of precision optical components and module field in China.
Show more
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of precision optical components and module field in China. The company offers glass covers and capacitive touch screen modules for use in smartphones/tablets/laptop/smart wearable devices, medical/special industry, and Internet of vehicles terminal applications. Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2013 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) currently trades at ¥19.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.77, implying the stock looks roughly 407.9% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥2.81 (bear) to ¥5.63 (bull), the price of ¥19.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −301M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.4B CNY (≈ $812M) · P/S ratio 3.09 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.8800 · Net margin −18.3% · Return on equity −13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% · Operating margin −15.9% · Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −80%, 301051 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.81Fair Value ¥3.77Bull ¥5.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.9/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.9% (2020) → −25.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−16% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−29% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.54× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.77 versus a price of ¥19.13, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301051?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is ¥3.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.13.
What is the quality score of 301051?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.81, optimistic scenario ¥5.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.77, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥19.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.81, optimistic scenario ¥5.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd it is ¥3.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥19.13. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301051 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.13, fair value ¥3.77, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301051?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.77). For Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd the two are ¥15.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd at about 5.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.13; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301051?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.81, base ¥3.77, optimistic ¥5.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥19.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −13.3%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301051 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd trades at ¥19.13, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥23.48 and 56% above the low of ¥12.28 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥19.13, calculated fair value ¥3.77 (−80%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301051 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥19.13. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.77, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥2.81 to ¥5.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is 5.4B CNY (≈ $812M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is 3.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd are ¥−0.8800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −18.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is growing −29.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd are growing −92.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is −587M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd (301051) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd is 635M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co. Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
