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Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co (301051) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY

SX Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co 301051 · SHE
Price¥17.27
Fair Value¥3.99
Upside-76.9%
Quality26/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -16.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.98 – ¥5.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −23.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.98 to ¥5.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.31 ¥11.34 Fair Value ¥3.99 Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range ¥11.34 – ¥42.31 · fair‑value band ¥2.98 – ¥5.95 · the ¥17.27 price screens above the ¥3.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co (301051) currently trades at ¥17.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.99, implying the stock looks roughly 76.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of -16.5%. Revenue declined 29.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.3%. Net debt stands at 635M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.98 (bear case) to ¥5.95 (bull case); at ¥17.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -77%, 301051 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.50 ¥4.69 ¥7.00 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.50 ¥4.69 ¥7.00 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -29.0%
Net margin -16.5%
Return on equity -13.3%
Free cash flow −587M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -15.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.8800
EPS growth (YoY) -92.2%
Net debt 635M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of precision optical components and module field in China.

Full company description

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of precision optical components and module field in China. The company offers glass covers and capacitive touch screen modules for use in smartphones/tablets/laptop/smart wearable devices, medical/special industry, and Internet of vehicles terminal applications. Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2013 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥301M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
−0.2%
Revenue −3.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥1.6B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income
FY21 ¥156M
FY22 −¥152M
FY23 ¥40.5M
FY24 −¥353M
FY25 −¥301M

301051 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301051

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co (301051) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.99 versus a price of ¥17.27, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301051?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co is ¥3.99 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.27.
What is the quality score of 301051?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co (301051)?
Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301051?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co is about -16.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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