Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd stock ¥66.91, price ¥54.35, upside +23.1%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥29.62 – ¥70.66 · fair‑value band ¥53.50 – ¥98.23 · the ¥54.35 price screens below the ¥66.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. provides financial products and services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Life and Health Insurance; Property and Casualty Insurance; Banking; Asset Management; and Finance Enablement segments.
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The company offers life insurance products, including term, whole-life, endowment, annuity, investment-linked, universal life, and health care and medical insurance; property and casualty insurance, such as auto insurance, non-auto insurance, accident, and health insurance.
It also undertakes loan and intermediary business with corporate customers and retail customers.
In addition, the company provides wealth management and credit card services to individual customers; trust services, brokerage services, trading services, investment banking services, investment management services, finance lease business, and other asset management services; and financial and daily-life services through internet platforms comprising financial transaction information service platform, and health care service platform.
Further, it is involved in the real estate investment and management; expressway operation; production and sale of consumer chemicals; logistics and real estate activities; consulting services; warehousing; IT services; infant products; and hospital management.
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) currently trades at ¥54.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥66.91, implying the stock looks roughly 19% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥72.68 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥54.35 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥34.78, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥53.50 (bear) to ¥98.23 (bull), the price of ¥54.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd reported revenue of 1.1T CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3T CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 135B CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 984B CNY (≈ $148B) Large · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) ¥4.99 · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin 10.9% · Return on equity 8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 23%, 601318 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥53.50Fair Value ¥66.91Bull¥98.23
Price ¥54.35 · Upside +23.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥1.91 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.5% vs 9.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2018 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−25.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−9.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −26.4% a year for the price and −10.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (83 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Resilient growth in the core life, health and property-casualty businesses forms the main strength, while thin evidence and high leverage relative to equity remain the central weakness.
Main risk: New bancassurance regulations introduced in March 2026 could disrupt Ping An's primary growth channel and reduce new business value growth.
Bull case: Ping An could leverage its AI-driven operations and diversified distribution to adapt quickly to the new rules and sustain or even expand its bancassurance reach.
Bear case: If the regulatory tightening persists or intensifies, bancassurance sales could remain suppressed, weighing on overall new business volumes and margins for years.
Ping An's reported net profit fell sharply in the first nine months as investment income dropped with equity market swings. Operating profit however grew with steady gains in its life and health insurance and property casualty businesses plus improved underwriting. Our models see the shares as undervalued. Does resilient core insurance performance outweigh the effects of investment volatility going forward?
Compare Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 77 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+23.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.6% · Below median
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)10.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)16.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.35× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601318
Frequently asked questions
Is Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥66.91 versus a price of ¥54.35, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601318?
Our model-based fair value for Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is ¥66.91 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥54.35.
What is the quality score of 601318?
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥66.91 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥53.50, optimistic scenario ¥98.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥66.91, about +23% upside versus a price of ¥54.35 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥53.50, optimistic scenario ¥98.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 904B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd pay a dividend?
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 5.02% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -25.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.3 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601318 use?
Our models discount Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd that is -25.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd grew -4.3 % a year. The price currently implies -25.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (-25.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 47.69 %: that much free cash flow Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd it is ¥66.91 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥54.35. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 601318 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥54.35, fair value ¥66.91, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601318?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥54.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥66.91). For Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd the two are ¥12.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd worth?
The market values Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd at about 984B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥54.35; our models calculate a fair value of ¥66.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601318?
Our models span a range for Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd: cautious scenario ¥53.50, base ¥66.91, optimistic ¥98.23 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥54.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601318?
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥66.91 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.3. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 601318?
The PEG ratio of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 0.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 8.6%, debt of 1.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601318 from its 52-week high?
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd trades at ¥54.35, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥70.66 and 17% above the low of ¥46.41 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥66.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Life Insurance Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, MetLife, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥54.35, calculated fair value ¥66.91 (+23%), Quality Score 61/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601318 calculated?
We run Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥66.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd currently trades 19% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥54.35. Our model-based fair value is ¥66.91, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd right now?
Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥53.50 to ¥98.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) come from?
Earnings per share at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd grew +9.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The market capitalisation of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 984B CNY (≈ $148B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 1.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Earnings per share at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd are ¥4.99 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The dividend yield of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 5.0% (payout 54.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The net margin of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 10.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
The operating margin of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Revenue at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is growing +16.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318)?
Earnings per share at Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd are growing −93.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd (601318) carry?
The net debt of Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd is 1.2T CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026