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Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Abcellera Biologics Inc stock $7.94, price $12.46, that is 36.3% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Healthcare US · Home Canada · ISIN CA00288U1066

AB Abcellera Biologics Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Abcellera Biologics Inc

ABCL · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 36% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 44/100
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Insiders bought $1.6M (6M)
Revenue last quarter 76% below a year ago.
Fair value $7.94 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.3 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -194.9% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$21.34 $1.93 Fair Value $7.94 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.93 – $21.34 · fair‑value band $5.96 – $9.93 · the $12.46 price screens above the $7.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States.

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Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor symptoms; and ABCL575, a fully human, half-life extended monoclonal antibody, which is in in a Phase 1 clinical trial for treating T-cell-mediated autoimmune conditions, such as atopic dermatitis.

The company has a research collaboration and license agreement with Eli Lilly and Company; AbbVie Inc.; and partnership agreement with Viking Global Investors & ArrowMark Partners and Biogen Inc. AbCellera Biologics Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL) currently trades at $12.46, while our estimate is $7.94, 36% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $5.96 (bear) to $9.93 (bull), the price of $12.46 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Abcellera Biologics Inc reported revenue of $75.1M in FY2025 versus $11.6M in FY2021, a compound +59.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$146M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.8B Mid · P/S ratio 59.6 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5400 · Return on equity −17.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1,550% · Revenue (TTM) $66.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) −76.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 348% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −36%, ABCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $5.96 Fair Value $7.94 Bull $9.93
Price $12.46 · Downside -36.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 83
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 8
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 92
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 90
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 61
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $1.6M, most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyMichael R HaydenDirector2× since Aug 12, 2026: 100,000 shares, avg. $10.51$1.1MAug 24, 2026
  • BuyJohn S. MontalbanoDirector3× since Nov 26, 2025: 80,000 shares, avg. $4.80$384,200Aug 18, 2026
  • BuyAndrew BoothChief Financial Officer2× since Feb 27, 2026: 79,800 shares, avg. $6.64$529,596Aug 14, 2026
  • BuyThermopylae Holdings Ltd.10% owner2× since Feb 26, 2026: 215,457 shares, avg. $3.30$711,004Feb 27, 2026

Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+160.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−46.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
66.9% (2020) → −289.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ABCL screens overvalued: fair value 36% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 849 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside −36.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −194.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −76.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 57.54× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $916.06 $1,275 +39% vs ABCL
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,468,000 KRW 1,661,000 KRW +13% vs ABCL
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.89 $601.80 +10% vs ABCL
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 3,581 kr 3,880 +8% vs ABCL
argenx SE ARGX $971.55 $908.40 −7% vs ABCL
CSL Limited CSL A$201.68 A$181.40 −10% vs ABCL
Moderna, Inc MRNA $250.83 $158.70 −37% vs ABCL
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$252.20 HK$152.80 −39% vs ABCL
Celltrion, Inc 068270 203,000 KRW 74,945 KRW −63% vs ABCL
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $69.45 $19.01 −73% vs ABCL

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Abcellera Biologics Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abcellera Biologics Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABCL

Frequently asked questions

Is Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $7.94 versus a price of $12.46, about 36% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABCL?
Our estimate for Abcellera Biologics Inc is $7.94 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.46.
What is the quality score of ABCL?
Abcellera Biologics Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $7.94 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $5.96, optimistic scenario $9.93. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Abcellera Biologics Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $7.94, about 36% lower versus a price of $12.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.96, optimistic scenario $9.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Abcellera Biologics Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abcellera Biologics Inc it is $7.94 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $12.46.
Is Abcellera Biologics Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ABCL trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.46, fair value $7.94, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.94). For Abcellera Biologics Inc the two are $4.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abcellera Biologics Inc worth?
The market values Abcellera Biologics Inc at about $3.8B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $12.46; our models calculate a fair value of $7.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABCL?
Our models span a range for Abcellera Biologics Inc: cautious scenario $5.96, base $7.94, optimistic $9.93 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $12.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abcellera Biologics Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −17.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABCL from its 52-week high?
Abcellera Biologics Inc trades at $12.46, about 16% below its 52-week high of $14.82 and 348% above the low of $2.78 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abcellera Biologics Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Moderna, Inc, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abcellera Biologics Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $12.46, calculated fair value $7.94 (−36%), Quality Score 44/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Abcellera Biologics Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $12.46. Our estimate is $7.94, about 36% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Abcellera Biologics Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Abcellera Biologics Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
The market capitalisation of Abcellera Biologics Inc is $3.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abcellera Biologics Inc is 59.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Earnings per share at Abcellera Biologics Inc are $−0.5400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abcellera Biologics Inc is −17.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abcellera Biologics Inc is −8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
The operating margin of Abcellera Biologics Inc is −1,550% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Revenue at Abcellera Biologics Inc is growing −76.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −46.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL)?
Earnings per share at Abcellera Biologics Inc are growing +45.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Abcellera Biologics Inc is −$174M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Abcellera Biologics Inc (ABCL) carry?
The net debt of Abcellera Biologics Inc is $14.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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