Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Advanced Energy Industries Inc stock $81.76, price $186, that is 56.0% below the price, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $68.41 – $388.93 · fair‑value band $56.13 – $106.29 · the $185.66 price screens above the $81.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. provides precision power conversion, measurement, and control solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally.
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The company's plasma power products offer solutions to enable innovation for semiconductor and thin film plasma processes, such as dry etch and deposition.
It also provides high and low voltage power products used in a range of applications, such as semiconductor equipment, industrial production, medical and life science equipment, data centers computing, networking, and telecommunications.
In addition, the company supplies sensing, controls, and instrumentation products for advanced measurement and calibration of power and temperature. Further, it provides calibration, conversions, upgrades, and refurbishments and used equipment to companies, as well as repair and maintenance services.
The company offers its products through direct sales force, direct and indirect sales channels, and distributors, as well as provides warranty and non-warranty repair services. Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Stock analysis
Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) currently trades at $185.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $81.76, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $103.75 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $185.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.76, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $56.13 (bear) to $106.29 (bull), the price of $185.66 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Advanced Energy Industries Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $148M in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.5B Mid · P/E ratio 26.6 · P/S ratio 4.68 · EPS (TTM) $6.98 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 10.8% · Return on equity 16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −56%, AEIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$56.13Fair Value $81.76Bull$106.29
Price $185.66 · Downside -56.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.59 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors sold shares worth $9.3M and none bought.
SaleAnne DelSantoDirector9× since Nov 17, 2025: 2,245 shares, avg. $290.67$652,549Oct 5, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleElizabeth Karpinski VonneEVP, General Counsel5× since Feb 23, 2026: 4,377 shares, avg. $324.58$1.4MSep 8, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleEduardo Bernal AcebedoEVP and COO24,771 shares at $315.48$7.8MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleBrian ShirleyDirector2× since Mar 13, 2026: 2,468 shares, avg. $341.27$842,254Jun 15, 202610b5-1 plan
SalePaul R OldhamEVP, CFO2× since Nov 19, 2025: 12,488 shares, avg. $242.10$3.0MMar 18, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleStephen Douglas KelleyPresident and CEO, Director50,000 shares at $316.62$15.8MMar 10, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJohn A RoushDirector10,225 shares at $323.56$3.3MMar 4, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleBernard Raymond Colpitts JrSVP, Chief Accounting Officer2× since Nov 18, 2025: 3,511 shares, avg. $237.31$833,208Mar 3, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleLanesha MinnixDirector1,000 shares at $316.63$316,630Feb 13, 2026
SaleTina DonikowskiDirector2,257 shares at $210.33$474,715Dec 4, 202510b5-1 plan
Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.8% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.9% vs 5.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+27.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.9% a year for the price and +24.6% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Precision power solutions for AI data centers and semiconductor manufacturing form the main strength, while insufficient public data across categories leaves only moderate durability with low confidence as the chief weakness.
Main risk: A significant portion of revenue comes from just three customers, so the loss or sharp reduction in orders from any one of them could materially reduce overall sales and margins.
Bull case: By securing additional design wins with new hyperscalers and expanding its defense and industrial platforms, the company could diversify its customer base and reduce reliance on any single segment or region.
Bear case: If key customers reduce orders sharply or switch suppliers amid competition and trade restrictions, revenue concentration could lead to sustained lower volumes, margin compression and limited ability to fund new product development.
Advanced Energy provides precision power solutions that benefit from rising complexity in semiconductor manufacturing and AI data center demand. It recently expanded into rugged mission-critical applications with the DF150 launch for defense and extreme environments. Does the established AI and chip exposure deliver more lasting momentum than these newer platforms bring through added diversification?
Compare Advanced Energy Industries Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 560 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−56.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)10.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)17.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)30.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)26.6× · Pricier than median
P/B7.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.68× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow75.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA26.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.77× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)65· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advanced Energy Industries Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEIS
Frequently asked questions
Is Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $81.76 versus a price of $185.66, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AEIS?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Energy Industries Inc is $81.76 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $185.66.
What is the quality score of AEIS?
Advanced Energy Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $81.76 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $56.13, optimistic scenario $106.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Energy Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $81.76, about 56% lower versus a price of $185.66 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $56.13, optimistic scenario $106.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Advanced Energy Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Advanced Energy Industries Inc pay a dividend?
Advanced Energy Industries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advanced Energy Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +35.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AEIS use?
Our models discount Advanced Energy Industries Inc at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.37, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advanced Energy Industries Inc that is +35.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advanced Energy Industries Inc grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies +35.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advanced Energy Industries Inc (+35.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.60 %: that much free cash flow Advanced Energy Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Energy Industries Inc it is $81.76 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $185.66. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advanced Energy Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, AEIS trades above its calculated fair value: price $185.66, fair value $81.76, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AEIS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($185.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($81.76). For Advanced Energy Industries Inc the two are $103.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Energy Industries Inc worth?
The market values Advanced Energy Industries Inc at about $9.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $185.66; our models calculate a fair value of $81.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AEIS?
Our models span a range for Advanced Energy Industries Inc: cautious scenario $56.13, base $81.76, optimistic $106.29 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $185.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AEIS?
Advanced Energy Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $81.76 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 38.1 (reported for FY2025: 48.4). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 9 of the years ex one-offs: 25.6. Other multiples: PEG 2.8, P/B 7.0, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 26.4.
What is the PEG ratio of AEIS?
The PEG ratio of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 2.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advanced Energy Industries Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 16.3%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AEIS from its 52-week high?
Advanced Energy Industries Inc trades at $185.66, about 52% below its 52-week high of $388.93 and at the low of $185.66 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $81.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Energy Industries Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Energy Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $185.66, calculated fair value $81.76 (−56%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AEIS calculated?
We run Advanced Energy Industries Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $81.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Energy Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $185.66. Our model-based fair value is $81.76, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Energy Industries Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($106.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($56.13 to $106.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) come from?
Earnings per share at Advanced Energy Industries Inc grew +3.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.1 %, EBIT margin −8.6 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Advanced Energy Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is $9.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 4.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Energy Industries Inc are $6.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The dividend yield of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 0.2% (payout 4.5%, on adjusted earnings, reported 5.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The net margin of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 10.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
The operating margin of Advanced Energy Industries Inc is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Revenue at Advanced Energy Industries Inc is growing +30.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Energy Industries Inc are growing +93.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS) hold?
Advanced Energy Industries Inc holds more cash than debt, $112M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026