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ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ARVERNE GROUP stock €4.33, price €5.96, that is 27.3% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Utilities FR

AG ARVERNE GROUP logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

ARVERNE GROUP

ARVEN · PA
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 27% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +45.7 %/yr in EUR)
Revenue last quarter 20% below a year ago.
Fair value €4.33 · Overvalued
Quality 35/100
Loss-making · -142.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€11.25 €3.74 Fair Value €4.33 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.74 – €11.25 · fair‑value band €3.24 – €5.41 · the €5.96 price screens above the €4.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Arverne Group S.A. produces and sells geothermal energy in France. The company offers geothermal for heating and cooling; and geothermal lithium. It also provides drilling and well construction services. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Pau, France.

Stock analysis

ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN) currently trades at €5.96, while our estimate is €4.33, 27% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: €3.24 (bear) to €5.41 (bull), the price of €5.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ARVERNE GROUP reported revenue of €18.0M in FY2025 versus €13.0M in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€20.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €288M Small · P/S ratio 17.8 · EPS (TTM) €−0.5100 · Net margin −142% · Return on equity −16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −208% · Revenue (TTM) €16.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −27%, ARVEN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear €3.24 Fair Value €4.33 Bull €5.41
Price €5.96 · Downside -27.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 62
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 32
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 38
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.6% (2021) → −143.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARVEN screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 214 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −8.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −142.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −19.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 17.82× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $30.08 $72.13 +140% vs ARVEN
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.55 ¥17.01 +9% vs ARVEN
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.67 ¥32.21 +9% vs ARVEN
VERBUND AG VER €72.40 €66.45 −8% vs ARVEN
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.33 €11.12 −52% vs ARVEN
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.92 ¥4.45 −59% vs ARVEN
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.86 €6.43 −73% vs ARVEN
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.81 €3.67 −73% vs ARVEN
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 144.70 kr 33.25 −77% vs ARVEN
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,449 ₹170.50 −88% vs ARVEN

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ARVERNE GROUP: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ARVERNE GROUP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARVEN

Frequently asked questions

Is ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is €4.33 versus a price of €5.96, about 27% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARVEN?
Our estimate for ARVERNE GROUP is €4.33 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.96.
What is the quality score of ARVEN?
ARVERNE GROUP has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of €4.33 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario €3.24, optimistic scenario €5.41. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the ARVERNE GROUP stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at €4.33, about 27% lower versus a price of €5.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.24, optimistic scenario €5.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
ARVERNE GROUP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €16.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ARVERNE GROUP it is €4.33 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of €5.96.
Is ARVERNE GROUP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ARVEN trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.96, fair value €4.33, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARVEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.33). For ARVERNE GROUP the two are €1.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ARVERNE GROUP worth?
The market values ARVERNE GROUP at about €288M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is €5.96; our models calculate a fair value of €4.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARVEN?
Our models span a range for ARVERNE GROUP: cautious scenario €3.24, base €4.33, optimistic €5.41 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price €5.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for ARVERNE GROUP (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −16.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARVEN from its 52-week high?
ARVERNE GROUP trades at €5.96, about 46% below its 52-week high of €11.00 and 30% above the low of €4.58 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ARVERNE GROUP?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ARVERNE GROUP stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price €5.96, calculated fair value €4.33 (−27%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. ARVERNE GROUP itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was €5.96. Our estimate is €4.33, about 27% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ARVERNE GROUP right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of ARVERNE GROUP

How large is the market capitalisation of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
The market capitalisation of ARVERNE GROUP is €288M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ARVERNE GROUP is 17.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
Earnings per share at ARVERNE GROUP are €−0.5100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
The net margin of ARVERNE GROUP is −142% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ARVERNE GROUP is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ARVERNE GROUP is −12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
The operating margin of ARVERNE GROUP is −208% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN)?
Revenue at ARVERNE GROUP is growing −19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN) generate?
The free cash flow of ARVERNE GROUP is −€51.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ARVERNE GROUP (ARVEN) hold?
ARVERNE GROUP holds more cash than debt, €41.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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