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Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bridgford Foods Corporation stock $3.52, price $5.41, that is 34.9% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US

BF Bridgford Foods Corporation logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Bridgford Foods Corporation

BRID · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 49/100
Insiders bought $3,430 (6M)
Revenue last quarter 10% below a year ago.
Fair value $3.52 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −4.6 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -6.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.45 $5.27 Fair Value $3.52 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.27 – $15.45 · fair‑value band $2.32 – $4.40 · the $5.41 price screens above the $3.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Bridgford Foods Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of frozen and snack food products in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Frozen Food Products and Snack Food Products.

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It offers biscuits, bread dough items, roll dough items, and dry sausage and beef jerky products, as well as non-refrigerated snack food products. It provides setting up, maintaining the display, and restocking services.

The company sells frozen food products to food service and retail customers through wholesalers, cooperatives, and distributors; and snack food items to supermarkets, mass merchandise, and convenience retail stores through customer-owned distribution centers and direct store delivery network.

Bridgford Foods Corporation was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Bridgford Foods Corporation is a subsidiary of Bridgford Industries Incorporated.

Stock analysis

Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) currently trades at $5.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.52, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $2.32 (bear) to $4.40 (bull), the price of $5.41 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Bridgford Foods Corporation reported revenue of $231M in FY2025 versus $240M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $49.1M Micro · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) $−1.57 · Net margin −6.4% · Return on equity −12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −7.1% · Revenue (TTM) $228M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −35%, BRID screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.32 Fair Value $3.52 Bull $4.40
Price $5.41 · Downside -34.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $2.32 $3.52 $4.40 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.32 $3.52 $4.40 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $3,430, on Jun 15, 2026.

  • BuyRichard Eugene BridgfordVice President2× since Jun 15, 2026: 500 shares, avg. $6.19$3,097Sep 18, 2026
  • BuyAllan Bridgford Jr.Consultant8× since Jun 12, 2026: 4,824 shares, avg. $6.17$29,745Sep 17, 2026
  • BuyBaron BridgfordPresident, BFI473 shares at $6.15$2,909Aug 28, 2026
  • BuyCindy Matthews-MoralesCFO, Secretary500 shares at $6.86$3,430Jun 15, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.6% (2020) → −8.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BRID screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 627 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −6.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −7.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.74× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs BRID
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.14 ¥41.84 +34% vs BRID
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs BRID
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.26 ¥39.22 +11% vs BRID
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs BRID
Danone S.A BN €67.66 €50.65 −25% vs BRID
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 86.13 CHF 59.51 −31% vs BRID
Kerry Group KRZ €97.15 €60.33 −38% vs BRID
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,298 ₹724.74 −44% vs BRID
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.14 ¥12.21 −53% vs BRID

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Bridgford Foods Corporation: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bridgford Foods Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRID

Frequently asked questions

Is Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.52 versus a price of $5.41, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRID?
Our model-based fair value for Bridgford Foods Corporation is $3.52 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.41.
What is the quality score of BRID?
Bridgford Foods Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.52 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.32, optimistic scenario $4.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bridgford Foods Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.52, about 35% lower versus a price of $5.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.32, optimistic scenario $4.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Bridgford Foods Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $228M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bridgford Foods Corporation it is $3.52 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $5.41. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Bridgford Foods Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, BRID trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.41, fair value $3.52, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRID?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.52). For Bridgford Foods Corporation the two are $1.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bridgford Foods Corporation worth?
The market values Bridgford Foods Corporation at about $49.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $5.41; our models calculate a fair value of $3.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRID?
Our models span a range for Bridgford Foods Corporation: cautious scenario $2.32, base $3.52, optimistic $4.40 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $5.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BRID?
The PEG ratio of Bridgford Foods Corporation is 0.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bridgford Foods Corporation (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −12.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRID from its 52-week high?
Bridgford Foods Corporation trades at $5.41, about 36% below its 52-week high of $8.50 and 3% above the low of $5.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bridgford Foods Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bridgford Foods Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $5.41, calculated fair value $3.52 (−35%), Quality Score 49/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRID calculated?
We run Bridgford Foods Corporation through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.52 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Bridgford Foods Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.41. Our model-based fair value is $3.52, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bridgford Foods Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($2.32 to $4.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Bridgford Foods Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
The market capitalisation of Bridgford Foods Corporation is $49.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bridgford Foods Corporation is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Earnings per share at Bridgford Foods Corporation are $−1.57. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
The net margin of Bridgford Foods Corporation is −6.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bridgford Foods Corporation is −12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bridgford Foods Corporation is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
The operating margin of Bridgford Foods Corporation is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Revenue at Bridgford Foods Corporation is growing −9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Earnings per share at Bridgford Foods Corporation are growing −23.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) generate?
The free cash flow of Bridgford Foods Corporation is −$9.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) carry?
The net debt of Bridgford Foods Corporation is $5.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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