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Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $60.9M

BF Bridgford Foods Corporation logo Bridgford Foods Corporation BRID · US
Price$6.22
Fair Value$3.52
Upside-43.4%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -6.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.32 – $4.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.32 to $4.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.88 $6.20 Fair Value $3.52 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.20 – $20.88 · fair‑value band $2.32 – $4.40 · the $6.22 price screens above the $3.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) currently trades at $6.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.52, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bridgford Foods Corporation generated revenue of $233M at a net margin of -6.1%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.2%. Net debt stands at $5.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.32 (bear case) to $4.40 (bull case); at $6.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -43%, BRID screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $6.36 $8.53 $12.73 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.36 $8.53 $12.73 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $233M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin -6.1%
Return on equity -12.2%
Free cash flow −$9.3M FY2025
Operating margin 3.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.56
EPS growth (YoY) -23.7%
Net debt $5.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bridgford Foods Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of frozen and snack food products in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Frozen Food Products and Snack Food Products.

Full company description

Bridgford Foods Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of frozen and snack food products in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Frozen Food Products and Snack Food Products. It offers biscuits, bread dough items, roll dough items, and dry sausage and beef jerky products, as well as non-refrigerated snack food products. It provides setting up, maintaining the display, and restocking services. The company sells frozen food products to food service and retail customers through wholesalers, cooperatives, and distributors; and snack food items to supermarkets, mass merchandise, and convenience retail stores through customer-owned distribution centers and direct store delivery network. Bridgford Foods Corporation was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Bridgford Foods Corporation is a subsidiary of Bridgford Industries Incorporated.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bridgford Foods Corporation reported revenue of $231M in FY2025 versus $240M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$231M
Latest YoY
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Revenue −1.0%/yr
FY21 $240M
FY22 $266M
FY23 $252M
FY24 $224M
FY25 $231M
Net income
FY21 −$5.5M
FY22 $45.1M
FY23 $3.5M
FY24 −$3.4M
FY25 −$13.4M

BRID screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bridgford Foods Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRID

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.74× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 57 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.52 versus a price of $6.22, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRID?
Our model-based fair value for Bridgford Foods Corporation is $3.52 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.22.
What is the quality score of BRID?
Bridgford Foods Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)?
Bridgford Foods Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $233M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRID?
The net profit margin of Bridgford Foods Corporation is about -6.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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