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Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cazaly Resources Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.02, that is 20.0% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000CAZ6

CR Cazaly Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Cazaly Resources Ltd

CAZ · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 20% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 47/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +36.1 %/yr in AUD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Revenue last quarter 10% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0128 · Overvalued
Loss-making · -62.6% net margin (FY2026)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0490 A$0.0110 Fair Value A$0.0128 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.0490 · the A$0.0160 price screens above the A$0.0128 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Cazaly Resources Limited engages in mineral exploration and development activities in Australia, Namibia, and Canada. It explores for rare earth elements, lithium, silver, copper, nicke, zinc, gold, iron ore, cobalt, and base metals deposits.

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The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) currently trades at A$0.0160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0128, 20% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Cazaly Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$1.0M in FY2026 versus A$221K in FY2022, a compound +46.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$630K in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$9.4M (≈ $6.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 41.8 · Net margin −62.6% · Return on equity −5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1,219% · Revenue growth (YoY) −10.4% · Free cash flow −A$1.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −20%, CAZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 97
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 84
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+250.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−624.7% (2021) → −74.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CAZ screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −20.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −62.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −10.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 41.85× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.35× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)7 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs CAZ
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs CAZ
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs CAZ
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs CAZ
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs CAZ
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs CAZ
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs CAZ
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs CAZ
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs CAZ
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs CAZ

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Cazaly Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cazaly Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0128 versus a price of A$0.0160, about 20% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAZ?
Our model-based fair value for Cazaly Resources Ltd is A$0.0128 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0160.
What is the quality score of CAZ?
Cazaly Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0128 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cazaly Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0128, about 20% lower versus a price of A$0.0160 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cazaly Resources Ltd it is A$0.0128 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0160. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Cazaly Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, CAZ trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0160, fair value A$0.0128, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0160); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0128). For Cazaly Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0032 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cazaly Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Cazaly Resources Ltd at about A$9.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0160; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0128 per share.
What is the PEG ratio of CAZ?
The PEG ratio of Cazaly Resources Ltd is 0.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cazaly Resources Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −5.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAZ from its 52-week high?
Cazaly Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0160, about 56% below its 52-week high of A$0.0360 and 14% above the low of A$0.0140 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0128 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cazaly Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cazaly Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0160, calculated fair value A$0.0128 (−20%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAZ calculated?
We run Cazaly Resources Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0128 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Cazaly Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0160. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0128, about 20% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cazaly Resources Ltd right now?
Weak quality (47/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Cazaly Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
The market capitalisation of Cazaly Resources Ltd is A$9.4M (≈ $6.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cazaly Resources Ltd is 41.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
The net margin of Cazaly Resources Ltd is −62.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cazaly Resources Ltd is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cazaly Resources Ltd is −7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
The operating margin of Cazaly Resources Ltd is −1,219% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
Revenue at Cazaly Resources Ltd is growing −10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) generate?
The free cash flow of Cazaly Resources Ltd is −A$1.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) hold?
Cazaly Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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