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ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS stock TRY 1.82, price TRY 14.90, that is 87.8% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive TR · ISIN TRAERSUW91A4

EM ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS

ERSU · IS
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 88% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +53.8 %/yr in TRY)
Revenue last quarter 62% below a year ago.
Fair value 1.82 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−87.8%)
Quality 32/100
Loss-making · -13.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 13/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

51.90 TRY 3.19 TRY Fair Value 1.82 TRY Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.19 TRY – 51.90 TRY · fair‑value band 1.20 TRY – 2.27 TRY · the 14.90 TRY price screens above the 1.82 TRY fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Ersu Meyve ve Gida Sanayii A.S. manufactures and sells concentrates and pulp juices from fruits in Turkey. The company offers concentrate products; puree concentrate; puree/pulp; NFC fruits juice; tomato paste; organic products; fruit juices; fruit nectars; fruit juice drinks; and flavored drinks.

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It exports its products. The company serves retail sales points, as well as military facilities, hospital cafes, schools and sport complexes, catering, etc. The company was founded in 1968 and is based in Konya, Turkey.

Stock analysis

ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU) currently trades at 14.90 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.82 TRY, 88% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 1.20 TRY (bear) to 2.27 TRY (bull), the price of 14.90 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS reported revenue of 162M TRY in FY2025 versus 24.9M TRY in FY2021, a compound +59.8%/yr. Reported net income was −123M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 536M TRY (≈ $10.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 6.09 · EPS (TTM) −0.9200 TRY · Net margin −75.9% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −21.4% · Revenue (TTM) 100M TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −88%, ERSU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.20 TRY Fair Value 1.82 TRY Bull 2.27 TRY
Price 14.90 TRY · Downside -87.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 1.20 TRY 1.82 TRY 2.27 TRY 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.20 TRY 1.82 TRY 2.27 TRY 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 67
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 28
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 52
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 11
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +24.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.3% (2020) → −20.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ERSU screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

Compare ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 627 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −23.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −13.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −21.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −62.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.26× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 5.36× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs ERSU
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs ERSU
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs ERSU
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs ERSU
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs ERSU
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs ERSU
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs ERSU
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs ERSU
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs ERSU
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs ERSU

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ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ERSU

Frequently asked questions

Is ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.82 TRY versus a price of 14.90 TRY, about 88% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ERSU?
Our model-based fair value for ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is 1.82 TRY (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.90 TRY.
What is the quality score of ERSU?
ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.82 TRY (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.20 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.27 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.82 TRY, about 88% lower versus a price of 14.90 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.20 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.27 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 100M TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS it is 1.82 TRY per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 14.90 TRY. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, ERSU trades above its calculated fair value: price 14.90 TRY, fair value 1.82 TRY, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ERSU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.90 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.82 TRY). For ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS the two are 13.08 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS worth?
The market values ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS at about 536M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 14.90 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.82 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ERSU?
Our models span a range for ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 1.20 TRY, base 1.82 TRY, optimistic 2.27 TRY per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 14.90 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
Balance-sheet figures for ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −2.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ERSU from its 52-week high?
ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS trades at 14.90 TRY, about 50% below its 52-week high of 29.80 TRY and 26% above the low of 11.79 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.82 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 14.90 TRY, calculated fair value 1.82 TRY (−88%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ERSU calculated?
We run ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1.82 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 14.90 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.82 TRY, about 88% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.27 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.20 TRY to 2.27 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
The market capitalisation of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is 536M TRY (≈ $10.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is 6.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
Earnings per share at ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS are −0.9200 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
The net margin of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is −75.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
The operating margin of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is −21.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
Revenue at ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is growing −62.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU)?
Earnings per share at ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS are growing −37.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU) generate?
The free cash flow of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is −86.7M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS (ERSU) carry?
The net debt of ERSU Meyve ve Gida Sanayi AS is 1.2M TRY (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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