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Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Falcon Energy Materials plc stock C$0.66, price C$0.96, that is 31.3% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · Based in United Arab Emirates

FE Falcon Energy Materials plc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Falcon Energy Materials plc

FLCN · V
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 46/100
Fair value C$0.6600 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 3/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$1.16 C$0.3800 Fair Value C$0.6600 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.3800 – C$1.16 · fair‑value band C$0.4900 – C$0.8200 · the C$0.9600 price screens above the C$0.6600 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Falcon Energy Materials plc engages in the mineral development business in Africa. The company is involved in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. It primarily explores for graphite deposits.

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The company was formerly known as SRG Mining Inc. and changed its name to Falcon Energy Materials plc in July 2024. Falcon Energy Materials plc was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Abu Dhabi, the United Arab Emirates.

Stock analysis

Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN) currently trades at C$0.9600, while our estimate is C$0.6600, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: C$0.4900 (bear) to C$0.8200 (bull), the price of C$0.9600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Falcon Energy Materials plc reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$7.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$158M (≈ $111M) Micro · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0500 · Return on equity −43.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −87.6% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −C$7.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 3 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −31%, FLCN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear C$0.4900 Fair Value C$0.6600 Bull C$0.8200
Price C$0.9600 · Downside -31.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 97
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 59
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 73
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 20
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FLCN screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Compare Falcon Energy Materials plc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −31.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −149.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 26.84× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs FLCN
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs FLCN
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs FLCN
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs FLCN
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs FLCN
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs FLCN
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs FLCN
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs FLCN
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs FLCN
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs FLCN

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Falcon Energy Materials plc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Falcon Energy Materials plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLCN

Frequently asked questions

Is Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is C$0.6600 versus a price of C$0.9600, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLCN?
Our estimate for Falcon Energy Materials plc is C$0.6600 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.9600.
What is the quality score of FLCN?
Falcon Energy Materials plc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of C$0.6600 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario C$0.4900, optimistic scenario C$0.8200. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Falcon Energy Materials plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at C$0.6600, about 31% lower versus a price of C$0.9600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.4900, optimistic scenario C$0.8200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Falcon Energy Materials plc it is C$0.6600 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$0.9600.
Is Falcon Energy Materials plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, FLCN trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.9600, fair value C$0.6600, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FLCN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.9600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.6600). For Falcon Energy Materials plc the two are C$0.3000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Falcon Energy Materials plc worth?
The market values Falcon Energy Materials plc at about C$158M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$0.9600; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.6600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FLCN?
Our models span a range for Falcon Energy Materials plc: cautious scenario C$0.4900, base C$0.6600, optimistic C$0.8200 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$0.9600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Falcon Energy Materials plc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −43.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FLCN from its 52-week high?
Falcon Energy Materials plc trades at C$0.9600, about 17% below its 52-week high of C$1.16 and 55% above the low of C$0.6200 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.6600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Falcon Energy Materials plc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Falcon Energy Materials plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$0.9600, calculated fair value C$0.6600 (−31%), Quality Score 46/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Falcon Energy Materials plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was C$0.9600. Our estimate is C$0.6600, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Falcon Energy Materials plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.8200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Falcon Energy Materials plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
The market capitalisation of Falcon Energy Materials plc is C$158M (≈ $111M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
Earnings per share at Falcon Energy Materials plc are C$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Falcon Energy Materials plc is −43.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Falcon Energy Materials plc is −87.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Falcon Energy Materials plc (FLCN) generate?
The free cash flow of Falcon Energy Materials plc is −C$7.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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