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Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited stock ₹55.59, price ₹153, that is 63.6% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive IN · ISIN INE036B01030

GA Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited logo Broad data Nov 11, 2026

Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited

GAEL · NSE
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 64% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Broad data
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +24%, profit +171%.
Quality 58/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.0 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 6.9% net margin (TTM)
0.2% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 46/100 · thin data
Fair value ₹55.59 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Watch Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹204.89 ₹75.08 Fair Value ₹55.59 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹75.08 – ₹204.89 · fair‑value band ₹54.02 – ₹63.01 · the ₹152.74 price screens above the ₹55.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited primarily engages in the agro processing activities in India and internationally. It operates through the Agro, Spinning, Maize, and Power segments.

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The company offers starch derivatives, including maize starch, liquid glucose, dextrose monohydrate powder, maltodextrin, sorbitol 70% solution, dextrose anhydrous powder, pregelatinized starch, maltitol syrup, glucose syrup solids, high maltose corn syrup and dextrose syrup; soya derivatives that consist of defatted soya flour/flakes/grits, full fat soya flour/flakes/grits, liquid soya lecithin, and soya granules and soya nuggets; feed ingredients, such as corn gluten meal, cattle feed, rapeseed extraction meal, soybean meal, maize germ, corn steep liquor, maize fiber, and CSL fiber; edible oils, which include filtered groundnut, filtered mustard, refined corn, refined cotton seed, refined palm, refined soybean, and refined sunflower oils; and agro based products comprising bakery shortening, Vanaspati ghee, and wheat flour.

The company also manufactures cotton and polyester yarn. In addition, it operates windmills with a capacity of 10 megawatts, solar plants with a capacity of 10 megawatts, biogas engines with a capacity of 8 megawatts, and rice husk boilers with a capacity of 16 megawatts.

The company serves the pharmaceuticals, confectionery, bakery, animal feed, paint, baby food, cosmetic, toothpaste, paper, edible oil, textile, and industrial adhesive industries. Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited was founded in 1986 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.

Stock analysis

Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) currently trades at ₹152.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹55.59, 64% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹124.28 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹152.74 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹29.39, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹54.02 (bear) to ₹63.01 (bull), the price of ₹152.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited reported revenue of ₹57.3B in FY2026 versus ₹46.7B in FY2022, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.0B in FY2026, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹70.1B (≈ $746M) Small · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) ₹9.07 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −64%, GAEL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹54.02 Fair Value ₹55.59 Bull ₹63.01
Price ₹152.74 · Downside -63.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.41 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ₹54.02 ₹55.59 ₹60.57 76
EPV ₹31.98 ₹35.50 ₹38.30 74
ROIC Compounder ₹31.98 ₹35.50 ₹38.30 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹45.11 ₹143.22 ₹190.85 64
Lynch FV ₹33.93 ₹48.47 ₹63.01 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹33.93 ₹48.47 ₹63.01 57
EPV ₹31.98 ₹35.50 ₹38.30 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹1.59 ₹2.54 ₹3.17 69
DDM Multi-Stage ₹1.59 ₹2.35 ₹2.74 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹104.48 ₹139.31 ₹174.14 63
P/S Multiple ₹84.58 ₹112.78 ₹140.97 58
P/B Multiple ₹296.27 ₹395.03 ₹493.78 55
EV/EBIT ₹82.06 ₹112.52 ₹142.98 66
EV/EBITDA ₹89.84 ₹122.89 ₹155.94 67
EV/Revenue ₹55.90 ₹83.85 ₹111.80 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹19.40 ₹29.39 ₹36.74 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹54.02 ₹55.59 ₹60.57 76
ROIC Compounder ₹31.98 ₹35.50 ₹38.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹86.99 ₹124.28 ₹161.56 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 55
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 18
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 53
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 74
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 69
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14.8% vs 5.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

GAEL screens overvalued: fair value 64% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 660 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −63.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.7% · Above median
Return on assets 7.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 6.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 12.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 23.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 16.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.16× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.95 SGD 4.93 SGD +67% vs GAEL
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.14 ¥41.84 +34% vs GAEL
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.24 $29.20 +20% vs GAEL
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.46 ¥39.22 +11% vs GAEL
General Mills, Inc GIS $34.60 $35.30 +2% vs GAEL
Danone S.A BN €68.32 €50.65 −26% vs GAEL
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 86.41 CHF 59.51 −31% vs GAEL
Kerry Group KRZ €97.10 €60.33 −38% vs GAEL
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,298 ₹724.74 −44% vs GAEL
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.92 ¥12.21 −53% vs GAEL

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAEL

Frequently asked questions

Is Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹55.59 versus a price of ₹152.74, about 64% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GAEL?
Our model-based fair value for Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is ₹55.59 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹152.74.
What is the quality score of GAEL?
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹55.59 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹54.02, optimistic scenario ₹63.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹55.59, about 64% lower versus a price of ₹152.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹54.02, optimistic scenario ₹63.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹60.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited pay a dividend?
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited pays a dividend of ₹0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 28, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2016. The payout ratio is 3.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.2% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.2% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited it is ₹55.59 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of ₹152.74. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, GAEL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹152.74, fair value ₹55.59, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GAEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹152.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹55.59). For Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited the two are ₹97.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited worth?
The market values Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited at about ₹70.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is ₹152.74; our models calculate a fair value of ₹55.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAEL?
Our models span a range for Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited: cautious scenario ₹54.02, base ₹55.59, optimistic ₹63.01 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price ₹152.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GAEL?
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹55.59 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GAEL from its 52-week high?
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited trades at ₹152.74, about 17% below its 52-week high of ₹183.36 and 48% above the low of ₹103.32 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹55.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price ₹152.74, calculated fair value ₹55.59 (−64%), Quality Score 58/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GAEL calculated?
We run Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹55.59 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹152.74. Our model-based fair value is ₹55.59, about 64% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹63.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) come from?
Earnings per share at Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited grew +5.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.8 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The market capitalisation of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is ₹70.1B (≈ $746M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is 1.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Earnings per share at Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited are ₹9.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The dividend yield of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is 0.2% (payout 3.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The net margin of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is 6.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is 12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
The operating margin of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Revenue at Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is growing +23.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL)?
Earnings per share at Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited are growing +171% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) generate?
The free cash flow of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is −₹919M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) carry?
The net debt of Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited is ₹4.3B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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