Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹72.9B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +10.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹142.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹62.79 – ₹204.89 · fair‑value band ₹84.58 – ₹142.98 · the ₹165.36 price screens above the ₹112.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited (GAEL) currently trades at ₹165.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹112.78, implying the stock looks roughly 31.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited generated revenue of ₹57.3B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at ₹4.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹84.58 (bear case) to ₹142.98 (bull case); at ₹165.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -32%, GAEL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹124.28) versus Dividend Discount (₹3.83). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited primarily engages in the agro processing activities in India and internationally. It operates through the Agro, Spinning, Maize, and Power segments.
Full company description
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited primarily engages in the agro processing activities in India and internationally. It operates through the Agro, Spinning, Maize, and Power segments. The company offers starch derivatives, including maize starch, liquid glucose, dextrose monohydrate powder, maltodextrin, sorbitol 70% solution, dextrose anhydrous powder, pregelatinized starch, maltitol syrup, glucose syrup solids, high maltose corn syrup and dextrose syrup; soya derivatives that consist of defatted soya flour/flakes/grits, full fat soya flour/flakes/grits, liquid soya lecithin, and soya granules and soya nuggets; feed ingredients, such as corn gluten meal, cattle feed, rapeseed extraction meal, soybean meal, maize germ, corn steep liquor, maize fiber, and CSL fiber; edible oils, which include filtered groundnut, filtered mustard, refined corn, refined cotton seed, refined palm, refined soybean, and refined sunflower oils; and agro based products comprising bakery shortening, Vanaspati ghee, and wheat flour. The company also manufactures cotton and polyester yarn. In addition, it operates windmills with a capacity of 10 megawatts, solar plants with a capacity of 10 megawatts, biogas engines with a capacity of 8 megawatts, and rice husk boilers with a capacity of 16 megawatts. The company serves the pharmaceuticals, confectionery, bakery, animal feed, paint, baby food, cosmetic, toothpaste, paper, edible oil, textile, and industrial adhesive industries. Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited was founded in 1986 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited reported revenue of ₹57.3B in FY2026 versus ₹46.7B in FY2022, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.0B in FY2026, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GAEL screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 651 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 79.00 TWD | 68.72 TWD | -13% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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