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Guardant Health Inc (GH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guardant Health Inc stock $112, price $152, that is 26.1% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Healthcare US

GH Guardant Health Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Guardant Health Inc

GH · US

Expensive (fair value 26% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Rising price (uptrend) 
Revenue last quarter +36% vs. a year ago. 
Quality 40/100 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +27.9 %/yr in USD) 
Negative equity (buybacks among others) 
Insiders bought $78,456 (6M) · sold $117.5M 
Fair value $112.10 · Overvalued 
Loss-making · -37.9% net margin (TTM) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/7) 
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Recent news very negative 
Thin data 
Estimate

Main risks:

🚩Patent royalties on core tests🚩Rivals in screening and MRD
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$187.22 $16.07 Fair Value $112.10 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $16.07 – $187.22 · fair‑value band $84.07 – $140.12 · the $151.70 price screens above the $112.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Guardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood and tissue tests, and data sets in the United States and internationally.

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The company offers Guardant360 CDx test, a liquid biopsy test for tumor mutation profiling; Guardant360 Liquid test, which measures 740+ genes and supports all guideline-recommended biomarkers; Guardant Reveal test, a blood test that utilizes circulating tumor DNA to detect cancer at the molecular level; and Guardant360 Tissue test, a molecular profiling test for tumor tissue that provides genomic, transcriptomic, and epigenomic insights.

It also provides Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening in adults.

In addition, the company offers GuardantINFINITY test that provides insights into the complexities of tumor molecular profiles and immune response to advance cancer research and therapy development; GuardantOMNI test covers 500 genes, including genes associated with homologous recombination repair deficiency and biomarkers for immuno-oncology applications; GuardantINFORM, which provides longitudinal biological insight into tumor evolution alongside longitudinal clinical outcomes; and GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution designed for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers to connect patients tested with assays with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical studies.

Further, it provides Smart Platform, which delivers multiomic insights leveraging genomic, epigenomic, and RNA-based data that are scalable from research to the clinic.

Additionally, the company offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, technologies licensing, and kit fulfillment and delivery of Shield screening tests.

It has a strategic collaboration with Nuvalent, Inc. for oncology drug development. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

Stock analysis

Guardant Health Inc (GH) currently trades at $151.70, while our estimate is $112.10, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $84.07 (bear) to $140.12 (bull), the price of $151.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Guardant Health Inc reported revenue of $982M in FY2025 versus $374M in FY2021, a compound +27.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$416M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $20.0B Large · P/S ratio 16.0 · EPS (TTM) $−3.68 · Net margin −37.9% · Return on equity −4,584% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −37.1% · Revenue (TTM) $1.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −26%, GH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $84.07 Fair Value $112.10 Bull $140.12
Price $151.70 · Downside -26.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 54
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 82
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 14
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 81
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 81
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 25
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $78,456, on Jun 15, 2026. Over the same period, 15 people sold shares worth $117.5M.

  • SaleMusa TariqDirector11× since Nov 19, 2025: 3,343 shares, avg. $126.29$422,188Oct 16, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleAlex M Azar IIDirector2× since Sep 16, 2026: 895 shares, avg. $173.84$155,582Oct 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleSteve E. KrognesDirector2× since Jun 4, 2026: 15,968 shares, avg. $150.58$2.4MSep 16, 2026
  • SaleDarya ChudovaChief Technology Officer3× since Dec 8, 2025: 36,124 shares, avg. $120.76$4.4MSep 15, 2026
  • SaleKumud KaliaChief Information Officer6× since Dec 8, 2025: 55,618 shares, avg. $106.23$5.9MSep 11, 2026
  • SaleAmirAli TalasazCo-Chief Executive Officer, Director5× since Dec 8, 2025: 657,500 shares, avg. $128.14$84.3MAug 21, 2026
  • SaleTerilyn J. MonroeChief People Officer5× since Dec 1, 2025: 123,901 shares, avg. $128.72$15.9MAug 12, 2026
  • SaleChris FreemanChief Commercial Officer3× since Dec 5, 2025: 119,463 shares, avg. $141.67$16.9MAug 10, 2026
  • SaleMedina Manuel HidalgoDirector5× since Dec 8, 2025: 6,500 shares, avg. $122.06$793,388Aug 5, 2026
  • SaleIan T ClarkDirector3× since Dec 5, 2025: 49,667 shares, avg. $121.92$6.1MAug 4, 2026

Plus 6 more entries from the last 12 months.

Plus 62 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 13, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−88.9% (2020) → −44.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GH screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.
Note from the team Nov 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Guardant Health displays a narrow moat in oncology diagnostics supported by recent FDA approval and revenue growth, yet persistent net losses, negative equity and ongoing cash burn remain its central weakness.
Main risk: A court-ordered ongoing royalty through 2033 on Guardant360, Shield and related products plus prior damages could raise costs and squeeze margins on the company's main liquid biopsy offerings.
Bull case: Guardant could leverage its Infinity AI platform and new FDA approvals to differentiate its tests, expand into longitudinal monitoring and secure broader reimbursement that offsets any royalty or competitive pressures.
Bear case: Ongoing patent royalties combined with rival tests gaining traction could raise costs, limit pricing power and slow adoption of Guardant's core products, prolonging cash burn and delaying any path to sustained profitability.
Guardant Health's recent FDA approval of Guardant360 CDx enables longitudinal testing as a companion diagnostic for breast cancer therapies. Third-quarter revenue rose 36 percent with higher full-year guidance, supported by oncology and screening growth, yet cash burn persists amid expansion. Will the new approvals drive faster profitability gains or keep margins under pressure longer?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Diagnostics & Research · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −20.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −37.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −37.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 36.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 15.67× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Illumina, Inc ILMN $207.01 $236.40 +14% vs GH
WuXi AppTec Co 603259 ¥146.30 ¥165.37 +13% vs GH
IQVIA Holdings IQV $265.12 $299.58 +13% vs GH
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $700.22 $686.04 −2% vs GH
Danaher Corporation DHR $233.02 $209.18 −10% vs GH
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $704.23 $496.48 −30% vs GH
Lonza Group LONN CHF 666.00 CHF 259.80 −61% vs GH
Mettler-Toledo International Inc MTD $1,739 $655.06 −62% vs GH
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $173.96 $64.53 −63% vs GH
Waters Corporation WAT $460.25 $91.26 −80% vs GH

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Guardant Health Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guardant Health Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GH

Frequently asked questions

Is Guardant Health Inc (GH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $112.10 versus a price of $151.70, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GH?
Our estimate for Guardant Health Inc is $112.10 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $151.70.
What is the quality score of GH?
Guardant Health Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $112.10 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $84.07, optimistic scenario $140.12. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Guardant Health Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $112.10, about 26% lower versus a price of $151.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $84.07, optimistic scenario $140.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
Guardant Health Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guardant Health Inc it is $112.10 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $151.70.
Is Guardant Health Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, GH trades above its calculated fair value: price $151.70, fair value $112.10, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($151.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($112.10). For Guardant Health Inc the two are $39.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guardant Health Inc worth?
The market values Guardant Health Inc at about $20.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $151.70; our models calculate a fair value of $112.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GH?
Our models span a range for Guardant Health Inc: cautious scenario $84.07, base $112.10, optimistic $140.12 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $151.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guardant Health Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GH from its 52-week high?
Guardant Health Inc trades at $151.70, about 19% below its 52-week high of $187.22 and 93% above the low of $78.60 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $112.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guardant Health Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc, Danaher Corporation, WuXi AppTec Co, IDEXX Laboratories, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guardant Health Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $151.70, calculated fair value $112.10 (−26%), Quality Score 40/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Guardant Health Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was $151.70. Our estimate is $112.10, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guardant Health Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($140.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Guardant Health Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
The market capitalisation of Guardant Health Inc is $20.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guardant Health Inc is 16.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
Earnings per share at Guardant Health Inc are $−3.68. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
The net margin of Guardant Health Inc is −37.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guardant Health Inc is −4,584% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guardant Health Inc is −27.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
The operating margin of Guardant Health Inc is −37.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guardant Health Inc (GH)?
Revenue at Guardant Health Inc is growing +36.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Guardant Health Inc (GH) generate?
The free cash flow of Guardant Health Inc is −$233M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guardant Health Inc (GH) carry?
The net debt of Guardant Health Inc is $1.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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