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Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock TRY 31.00, price TRY 16.30, upside +90.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services TR · ISIN TREGZDF00014

GG Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS logo Thin data Nov 2, 2026

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS

GOZDE · IS
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 47% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 31.00 TRY · Strongly undervalued (47%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 43% above the price (23.25 TRY).
Quality 49/100
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −64.0 %/yr in TRY)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

34.00 TRY 5.51 TRY Fair Value 31.00 TRY Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.51 TRY – 34.00 TRY · fair‑value band 23.25 TRY – 38.75 TRY · the 16.30 TRY price screens below the 31.00 TRY fair value. As of Nov 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in early venture, mid venture, late venture, pre-IPO opportunities and in equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, and growth capital financings.

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The firm targets to invest in non-food companies having financial and operational restructuring needs. It focuses its investment in finance, information and communication technology, retail, renewable energy, real estate, logistics, and agriculture.

The firm typically holds controlling or significant minority interests in companies in Turkey. It seeks to act as lead equity investor in strategic minority equity investments. The firm seeks to hold its investment for five to seven years.

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was founded in January 2010 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey with an additional office in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE) currently trades at 16.30 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 31.00 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 47% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 23.25 TRY (bear) to 38.75 TRY (bull), the price of 16.30 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 464K TRY in FY2025 versus 1.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound −87.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.4B TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.3B TRY (≈ $125M) Micro · EPS (TTM) −16.37 TRY · Return on equity −21.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −8,393% · Revenue (TTM) 398K TRY · Revenue growth (YoY) −12.0% · EPS growth (YoY) +181%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 90%, GOZDE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 23.25 TRY Fair Value 31.00 TRY Bull 38.75 TRY
Price 16.30 TRY · Upside +90.2%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple 42.05 TRY 56.07 TRY 70.09 TRY 55
NCAV (Graham) 18.58 TRY 24.89 TRY 37.15 TRY 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple 42.05 TRY 56.07 TRY 70.09 TRY 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 18.58 TRY 24.89 TRY 37.15 TRY 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 67
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 35
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 10
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 9/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−100.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−64.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.1% (2020) → −26,662.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 591 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +90.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −24.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −12.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 1.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 81

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs GOZDE
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $162.81 $281.42 +73% vs GOZDE
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.75 $197.52 +69% vs GOZDE
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $501.49 $609.56 +22% vs GOZDE
State Street Corporation STT $165.56 $139.37 −16% vs GOZDE
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.98 $99.35 −26% vs GOZDE
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $172.76 $123.42 −29% vs GOZDE
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.95 $31.26 −41% vs GOZDE
Blackstone Inc BX $119.50 $52.29 −56% vs GOZDE
KKR & Co KKR $96.48 $27.32 −72% vs GOZDE

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Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOZDE

Frequently asked questions

Is Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 31.00 TRY versus a price of 16.30 TRY, about +90% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GOZDE?
Our model-based fair value for Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 31.00 TRY (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.30 TRY.
What is the quality score of GOZDE?
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 31.00 TRY (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 23.25 TRY, optimistic scenario 38.75 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 31.00 TRY, about +90% upside versus a price of 16.30 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 23.25 TRY, optimistic scenario 38.75 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 398K TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 31.00 TRY per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of 16.30 TRY. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, GOZDE trades below its calculated fair value: price 16.30 TRY, fair value 31.00 TRY, a gap of about +90% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOZDE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.30 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (31.00 TRY). For Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 14.70 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 6.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is 16.30 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 31.00 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOZDE?
Our models span a range for Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 23.25 TRY, base 31.00 TRY, optimistic 38.75 TRY per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price 16.30 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity −21.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOZDE from its 52-week high?
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 16.30 TRY, about 43% below its 52-week high of 28.44 TRY and 6% above the low of 15.44 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 31.00 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price 16.30 TRY, calculated fair value 31.00 TRY (+90%), Quality Score 49/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOZDE calculated?
We run Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 31.00 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7% above its aggregate fair value. Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS currently trades 47% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 16.30 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 31.00 TRY, about +90% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (49/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (23.25 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
The market capitalisation of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 6.3B TRY (≈ $125M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Earnings per share at Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS are −16.37 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −21.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
The operating margin of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −8,393% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Revenue at Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing −12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE)?
Earnings per share at Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing +181% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE) generate?
The free cash flow of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 3.7B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS (GOZDE) carry?
The net debt of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 134M TRY (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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