Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (GOZDE) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TR · Market cap 9.8B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +10.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (35.27 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.14 TRY – 34.00 TRY · fair‑value band 35.27 TRY – 53.68 TRY · the 25.58 TRY price screens below the 51.16 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (GOZDE) currently trades at 25.58 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 51.16 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 500K TRY. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.1%. Net debt stands at 134M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 35.27 TRY (bear case) to 53.68 TRY (bull case); at 25.58 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 100%, GOZDE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (122.72 TRY) versus Asset-Based (19.67 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in early venture, mid venture, late venture, pre-IPO opportunities and in equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, and growth capital financings.
Full company description
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in early venture, mid venture, late venture, pre-IPO opportunities and in equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, and growth capital financings. The firm targets to invest in non-food companies having financial and operational restructuring needs. It focuses its investment in finance, information and communication technology, retail, renewable energy, real estate, logistics, and agriculture. The firm typically holds controlling or significant minority interests in companies in Turkey. It seeks to act as lead equity investor in strategic minority equity investments. The firm seeks to hold its investment for five to seven years. Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was founded in January 2010 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey with an additional office in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported revenue of 464K TRY in FY2025 versus 1.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound −87.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.4B TRY in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 973 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,036 | $504.81 | -51% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 394.40 | kr 788.80 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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