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Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (GOZDE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TR · Market cap 9.8B TRY

GG Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. GOZDE · IS
Price25.58 TRY
Fair Value51.16 TRY
Upside+100.0%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range 35.27 TRY – 53.68 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +10.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (35.27 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

34.00 TRY 5.14 TRY Fair Value 51.16 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.14 TRY – 34.00 TRY · fair‑value band 35.27 TRY – 53.68 TRY · the 25.58 TRY price screens below the 51.16 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (GOZDE) currently trades at 25.58 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 51.16 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 500K TRY. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.1%. Net debt stands at 134M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 35.27 TRY (bear case) to 53.68 TRY (bull case); at 25.58 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 100%, GOZDE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 64.48 TRY 122.72 TRY 216.56 TRY 80
NCAV (Graham) 14.68 TRY 19.67 TRY 29.36 TRY 50
5Y Revenue Exit 19.63 TRY 23.11 TRY 29.50 TRY 39
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 68.65 TRY 105.70 TRY 221.21 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 19.63 TRY 23.11 TRY 29.50 TRY 39
10Y Revenue Exit 34.71 TRY 51.16 TRY 53.87 TRY 36
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.68 TRY 19.67 TRY 29.36 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 64.48 TRY 122.72 TRY 216.56 TRY 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (122.72 TRY) versus Asset-Based (19.67 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 500K TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1%
Return on equity -22.1%
Free cash flow 3.7B TRY FY2025
Operating margin -195,940%
EPS (TTM) -14.91 TRY
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +181%
Net debt 134M TRY FY2021

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in early venture, mid venture, late venture, pre-IPO opportunities and in equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, and growth capital financings.

Full company description

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in early venture, mid venture, late venture, pre-IPO opportunities and in equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, and growth capital financings. The firm targets to invest in non-food companies having financial and operational restructuring needs. It focuses its investment in finance, information and communication technology, retail, renewable energy, real estate, logistics, and agriculture. The firm typically holds controlling or significant minority interests in companies in Turkey. It seeks to act as lead equity investor in strategic minority equity investments. The firm seeks to hold its investment for five to seven years. Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was founded in January 2010 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey with an additional office in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported revenue of 464K TRY in FY2025 versus 1.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound −87.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.4B TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
464K TRY
Latest YoY
−100.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−64.0%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+1.6%
Revenue −87.1%/yr
FY21 1.7B TRY
FY22 466K TRY
FY23 131M TRY
FY24 3.8B TRY
FY25 464K TRY
Net income
FY21 7.5B TRY
FY22 7.5B TRY
FY23 −12.7B TRY
FY24 −10.4B TRY
FY25 −6.4B TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOZDE

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 36
FUTURE 41 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 70

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,036 $504.81 -51%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 394.40 kr 788.80 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (GOZDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 51.16 TRY versus a price of 25.58 TRY, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GOZDE?
Our model-based fair value for Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is 51.16 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 25.58 TRY.
What is the quality score of GOZDE?
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (GOZDE)?
Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 500K TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GOZDE?
The net profit margin of Gozde Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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