Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hercules Site Services PLC stock £1.01, price £0.34, upside +200.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range £0.2200 – £0.6495 · fair‑value band £0.6673 – £1.67 · the £0.3350 price screens below the £1.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Hercules Plc engages in general construction and civil engineering businesses in the United Kingdom. The company operates through three segments: Labour Supply, Civil Projects, and Other Activities.
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It offers labor supply services through its Personnel Management System and Hercules Recruitment applications; civil engineering solutions for utility companies; and site operations and management vacancies services for white collar jobs.
The company also provides static/mobile security officers, temporary site security capabilities and systems comprising fixed cameras and camera towers; a range of construction courses; and health screening services, including safety critical medicals, alcohol and drug testing, blood pressure measurements, cholesterol screenings, flu vaccinations, hand arm vibration testing, diabetes checks, height, weight and BMI evaluations, vision tests, hearing tests, lung function tests/peak flow assessments, and mental health check-ups.
It serves general civil, highways, utilities, power and energy, and railways sectors. The company was formerly known as Hercules Site Services Plc and changed its name to Hercules Plc in May 2025. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Cirencester, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC) currently trades at £0.3350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.01, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £1.82 per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the £0.3350 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.2900, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.6673 (bear) to £1.67 (bull), the price of £0.3350 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hercules Site Services PLC reported revenue of £121M in FY2025 versus £32.8M in FY2021, a compound +38.7%/yr. Reported net income was −£67.0K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap £27.0M Micro · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0200 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at 200%, HERC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£0.6673Fair Value £1.01Bull£1.67
Price £0.3350 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2020) → 2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−16.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.4% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 86 stocks
P/B2.21× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hercules Site Services PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HERC
Frequently asked questions
Is Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.01 versus a price of £0.3350, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HERC?
Our model-based fair value for Hercules Site Services PLC is £1.01 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.3350.
What is the quality score of HERC?
Hercules Site Services PLC has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.01 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.6673, optimistic scenario £1.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hercules Site Services PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.01, about +200% upside versus a price of £0.3350 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.6673, optimistic scenario £1.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Hercules Site Services PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £126M (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does Hercules Site Services PLC pay a dividend?
Hercules Site Services PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 1.79% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Hercules Site Services PLC pays a dividend of £0.006 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.8%. Free cash flow covers the dividend 14.57 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hercules Site Services PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -16.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +39.6 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HERC use?
Our models discount Hercules Site Services PLC at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hercules Site Services PLC that is -16.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hercules Site Services PLC grew +39.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -16.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hercules Site Services PLC (-16.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.10 %: that much free cash flow Hercules Site Services PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hercules Site Services PLC it is £1.01 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of £0.3350. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Hercules Site Services PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, HERC trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.3350, fair value £1.01, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HERC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.3350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.01). For Hercules Site Services PLC the two are £0.6700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hercules Site Services PLC worth?
The market values Hercules Site Services PLC at about £27.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is £0.3350; our models calculate a fair value of £1.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HERC?
Our models span a range for Hercules Site Services PLC: cautious scenario £0.6673, base £1.01, optimistic £1.67 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price £0.3350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hercules Site Services PLC (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity −9.6%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HERC from its 52-week high?
Hercules Site Services PLC trades at £0.3350, about 43% below its 52-week high of £0.5850 and 52% above the low of £0.2200 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hercules Site Services PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Randstad N.V, Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hercules Site Services PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price £0.3350, calculated fair value £1.01 (+200%), Quality Score 43/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HERC calculated?
We run Hercules Site Services PLC through 13 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.01 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hercules Site Services PLC currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was £0.3350. Our model-based fair value is £1.01, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hercules Site Services PLC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.6673). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (£0.6673 to £1.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hercules Site Services PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The market capitalisation of Hercules Site Services PLC is £27.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hercules Site Services PLC is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Earnings per share at Hercules Site Services PLC are £−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The dividend yield of Hercules Site Services PLC is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The net margin of Hercules Site Services PLC is −0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hercules Site Services PLC is −9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hercules Site Services PLC is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
The operating margin of Hercules Site Services PLC is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Revenue at Hercules Site Services PLC is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC)?
Earnings per share at Hercules Site Services PLC are growing −52.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hercules Site Services PLC (HERC) carry?
The net debt of Hercules Site Services PLC is £9.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 13, 2026