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Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Coffee Holding Co Inc stock $3.51, price $4.86, that is 27.8% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US

CH Coffee Holding Co Inc logo Some data Nov 3, 2026

Coffee Holding Co Inc

JVA · US
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Positive coverage
Costs just 5.9 times its yearly profit.
Quality 55/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM)
1.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Some data
Fair value $3.51 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 41/100 · thin data
Watch Coffee Holding Co Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$9.32 $0.6648 Fair Value $3.51 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6648 – $9.32 · fair‑value band $2.98 – $3.64 · the $4.86 price screens above the $3.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Coffee Holding Co., Inc. manufactures, roasts, packages, markets, and distributes roasted and blended coffees in the United States, Australia, Canada, England, and China.

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It offers wholesale green coffee products, including unroasted raw beans that are sold to large, medium, and small roasters, as well as coffee shop operators; and roasts, blends, packages, and sells coffee under private labels in cans, brick packages, and instants of various sizes.

The company also roasts and blends company label branded coffee to supermarkets, wholesalers, and individually-owned stores; and sells tabletop coffee roasting equipment and grinders, instant coffees, and tea products, as well as provides single cup coffee pods and food service.

In addition, it manufactures and sells coffee roasters. The company serves its products under the Cafe Caribe, Don Manuel, S&W, Cafe Supremo, Via Roma, Premier Roasters, Harmony Bay, and Café Femenino Coffee brands.

The company was formerly known as Transpacific International Group Corp and changed its name to Coffee Holding Co., Inc. in April 1998. Coffee Holding Co., Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Staten Island, New York.

Stock analysis

Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) currently trades at $4.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.51, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $4.62 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the $4.86 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $1.70, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.98 (bear) to $3.64 (bull), the price of $4.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Coffee Holding Co Inc reported revenue of $96.3M in FY2025 versus $63.9M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $27.7M Micro · P/E ratio 5.9 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) $0.8300 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −28%, JVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.98 Fair Value $3.51 Bull $3.64
Price $4.86 · Downside -27.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7500 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $1.27 $1.70 $2.26 77
Residual Income $3.54 $3.51 $3.64 76
EPV $2.46 $2.78 $3.06 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1.27 $1.70 $2.26 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.67 $4.18 $5.43 65
PEG = 1.0 $0.7700 $1.09 $1.42 57
EPV $2.46 $2.78 $3.06 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.87 $5.16 $6.45 63
P/S Multiple $3.13 $4.18 $5.22 58
P/B Multiple $3.04 $4.05 $5.07 55
EV/EBIT $3.46 $5.06 $6.66 65
EV/EBITDA $4.87 $6.94 $9.01 67
EV/Revenue $2.08 $3.55 $5.02 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.42 $3.67 $4.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.54 $3.51 $3.64 76
ROIC Compounder $2.46 $2.78 $3.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.98 $4.26 $5.54 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 50
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 71
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 94
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 15
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 67
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 76
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.1% vs −8.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

JVA screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 16.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 4.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 10.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.89× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)65 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)33 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs JVA
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs JVA
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs JVA
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs JVA
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs JVA
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs JVA
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs JVA
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs JVA
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs JVA
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs JVA

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Coffee Holding Co Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coffee Holding Co Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JVA

Frequently asked questions

Is Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.51 versus a price of $4.86, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JVA?
Our model-based fair value for Coffee Holding Co Inc is $3.51 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.86.
What is the quality score of JVA?
Coffee Holding Co Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.51 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.98, optimistic scenario $3.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coffee Holding Co Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.51, about 28% lower versus a price of $4.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.98, optimistic scenario $3.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Coffee Holding Co Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Coffee Holding Co Inc pay a dividend?
Coffee Holding Co Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Coffee Holding Co Inc pays a dividend of $0.08 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Feb 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 8.9% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 9.6%). Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coffee Holding Co Inc it is $3.51 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $4.86. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Coffee Holding Co Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, JVA trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.86, fair value $3.51, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.51). For Coffee Holding Co Inc the two are $1.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coffee Holding Co Inc worth?
The market values Coffee Holding Co Inc at about $27.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $4.86; our models calculate a fair value of $3.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JVA?
Our models span a range for Coffee Holding Co Inc: cautious scenario $2.98, base $3.51, optimistic $3.64 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $4.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JVA?
Coffee Holding Co Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.9 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.51 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 18.0 (reported for FY2025: 19.4). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 15.1. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
What is the PEG ratio of JVA?
The PEG ratio of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 0.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coffee Holding Co Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 16.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JVA from its 52-week high?
Coffee Holding Co Inc trades at $4.86, about 5% below its 52-week high of $5.11 and 70% above the low of $2.86 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coffee Holding Co Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coffee Holding Co Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $4.86, calculated fair value $3.51 (−28%), Quality Score 55/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JVA calculated?
We run Coffee Holding Co Inc through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.51 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Coffee Holding Co Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.86. Our model-based fair value is $3.51, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coffee Holding Co Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) come from?
Earnings per share at Coffee Holding Co Inc grew −6.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.1 %, EBIT margin −7.8 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Coffee Holding Co Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The market capitalisation of Coffee Holding Co Inc is $27.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Earnings per share at Coffee Holding Co Inc are $0.8300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The dividend yield of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 1.6% (payout 8.9%, on adjusted earnings, reported 9.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The net margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The operating margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Revenue at Coffee Holding Co Inc is growing −9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Earnings per share at Coffee Holding Co Inc are growing −59.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Coffee Holding Co Inc is −$5.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) carry?
The net debt of Coffee Holding Co Inc is $7.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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