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Coffee Holding (JVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $19.0M

CH Coffee Holding logo Coffee Holding JVA · US
Price$3.50
Fair Value$3.67
Upside+4.9%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.46 – $4.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $3.46 (bear) to $4.59 (bull), base $3.67. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.32 $0.6648 Fair Value $3.67 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6648 – $9.32 · fair‑value band $3.46 – $4.59 · the $3.50 price screens below the $3.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Coffee Holding (JVA) currently trades at $3.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.67, implying the stock looks roughly 4.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Coffee Holding generated revenue of $99.4M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at $7.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.46 (bear case) to $4.59 (bull case); at $3.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 5%, JVA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $3.33 $3.24 $2.72 76
ROIC Compounder $2.17 $2.41 $2.61 72
Growth-Adj P/E $2.98 $4.26 $5.54 68
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.87 $3.75 $4.77 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.67 $4.18 $5.43 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.7700 $1.09 $1.42 46
EPV $2.17 $2.41 $2.61 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.87 $5.16 $6.45 63
P/S Multiple $3.13 $4.18 $5.22 58
P/B Multiple $3.13 $4.18 $5.22 55
EV/EBIT $4.93 $6.53 $8.13 53
EV/EBITDA $6.34 $8.41 $10.48 54
EV/Revenue $3.55 $5.02 $6.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.42 $3.24 $4.83 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.33 $3.24 $2.72 76
ROIC Compounder $2.17 $2.41 $2.61 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.98 $4.26 $5.54 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($5.02) versus Earnings-Based ($2.41). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $99.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 5.3%
Free cash flow −$5.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 1.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.2700
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -59.2%
Net debt $7.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Coffee Holding Co., Inc. manufactures, roasts, packages, markets, and distributes roasted and blended coffees in the United States, Australia, Canada, England, and China.

Full company description

Coffee Holding Co., Inc. manufactures, roasts, packages, markets, and distributes roasted and blended coffees in the United States, Australia, Canada, England, and China. It offers wholesale green coffee products, including unroasted raw beans that are sold to large, medium, and small roasters, as well as coffee shop operators; and roasts, blends, packages, and sells coffee under private labels in cans, brick packages, and instants of various sizes. The company also roasts and blends company label branded coffee to supermarkets, wholesalers, and individually-owned stores; and sells tabletop coffee roasting equipment and grinders, instant coffees, and tea products, as well as provides single cup coffee pods and food service. In addition, it manufactures and sells coffee roasters. The company serves its products under the Cafe Caribe, Don Manuel, S&W, Cafe Supremo, Via Roma, Premier Roasters, Harmony Bay, and Café Femenino Coffee brands. The company was formerly known as Transpacific International Group Corp and changed its name to Coffee Holding Co., Inc. in April 1998. Coffee Holding Co., Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Staten Island, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coffee Holding reported revenue of $96.3M in FY2025 versus $63.9M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$96.3M
Latest YoY
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 $63.9M
FY22 $65.7M
FY23 $68.2M
FY24 $78.6M
FY25 $96.3M
Net income +12.8%/yr
FY21 $868K
FY22 −$3.7M
FY23 −$836K
FY24 $2.2M
FY25 $1.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −6.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.1 pp

of which total revenue −0.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp

EBIT margin −7.8 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coffee Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JVA

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.89× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 21 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 47 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coffee Holding (JVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.67 versus a price of $3.50, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JVA?
Our model-based fair value for Coffee Holding is $3.67 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.50.
What is the quality score of JVA?
Coffee Holding has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coffee Holding (JVA)?
Coffee Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $99.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JVA?
The net profit margin of Coffee Holding is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coffee Holding pay a dividend?
Coffee Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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