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Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Coffee Holding Co Inc $3.49, price $4.09, upside -14.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US1921761052

CH Coffee Holding Co Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Coffee Holding Co Inc

JVA · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $3.49 · Overvalued (−15%)
!Quality 53/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.96% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Weak on valuation: 14 out of 100
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$9.32 $0.6648 Fair Value $3.49 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6648 – $9.32 · fair‑value band $2.98 – $3.49 · the $4.09 price screens above the $3.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Coffee Holding Co., Inc. manufactures, roasts, packages, markets, and distributes roasted and blended coffees in the United States, Australia, Canada, England, and China.

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Coffee Holding Co., Inc. manufactures, roasts, packages, markets, and distributes roasted and blended coffees in the United States, Australia, Canada, England, and China. It offers wholesale green coffee products, including unroasted raw beans that are sold to large, medium, and small roasters, as well as coffee shop operators; and roasts, blends, packages, and sells coffee under private labels in cans, brick packages, and instants of various sizes. The company also roasts and blends company label branded coffee to supermarkets, wholesalers, and individually-owned stores; and sells tabletop coffee roasting equipment and grinders, instant coffees, and tea products, as well as provides single cup coffee pods and food service. In addition, it manufactures and sells coffee roasters. The company serves its products under the Cafe Caribe, Don Manuel, S&W, Cafe Supremo, Via Roma, Premier Roasters, Harmony Bay, and Café Femenino Coffee brands. The company was formerly known as Transpacific International Group Corp and changed its name to Coffee Holding Co., Inc. in April 1998. Coffee Holding Co., Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Staten Island, New York.

Stock analysis

Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) currently trades at $4.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.49, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $5.71 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the $4.09 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.14, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $2.98 (bear) to $3.49 (bull), the price of $4.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Coffee Holding Co Inc reported revenue of $96.3M in FY2025 versus $63.9M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $23.3M · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) $0.2700 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −15%, JVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.98 Fair Value $3.49 Bull $3.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1713 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $4.01 $5.71 $8.06 77
Residual Income $3.66 $3.68 $3.47 76
EPV $2.73 $3.14 $3.49 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.01 $5.71 $8.06 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.67 $4.18 $5.43 65
PEG = 1.0 $0.7700 $1.09 $1.42 57
EPV $2.73 $3.14 $3.49 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.87 $5.16 $6.45 63
P/S Multiple $3.13 $4.18 $5.22 58
P/B Multiple $3.13 $4.18 $5.22 55
EV/EBIT $4.93 $6.53 $8.13 66
EV/EBITDA $6.34 $8.41 $10.48 67
EV/Revenue $3.55 $5.02 $6.49 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.42 $3.24 $4.83 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.66 $3.68 $3.47 76
ROIC Compounder $2.73 $3.14 $3.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.98 $4.26 $5.54 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−2.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs −8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

JVA screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.89× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)14 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)39 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.94 CHF 59.51 −24%
Danone S.A BN €60.14 €50.81 −16%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.79 $29.20 +23%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.82 $34.66 −3%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.09 $51.01 +4%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coffee Holding Co Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JVA

Frequently asked questions

Is Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.49 versus a price of $4.09, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JVA?
Our model-based fair value for Coffee Holding Co Inc is $3.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.09.
What is the quality score of JVA?
Coffee Holding Co Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.98, optimistic scenario $3.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coffee Holding Co Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.49, about −15% upside versus a price of $4.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.98, optimistic scenario $3.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Coffee Holding Co Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $99.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Coffee Holding Co Inc pay a dividend?
Coffee Holding Co Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coffee Holding Co Inc it is $3.49 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.09. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coffee Holding Co Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JVA trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.09, fair value $3.49, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.49). For Coffee Holding Co Inc the two are $0.6000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coffee Holding Co Inc worth?
The market values Coffee Holding Co Inc at about $23.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.09; our models calculate a fair value of $3.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JVA?
Our models span a range for Coffee Holding Co Inc: cautious scenario $2.98, base $3.49, optimistic $3.49 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JVA?
Coffee Holding Co Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.49 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 15.2 (reported for FY2025: 16.4). Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 0.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 7.0.
What is the PEG ratio of JVA?
The PEG ratio of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 0.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coffee Holding Co Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JVA from its 52-week high?
Coffee Holding Co Inc trades at $4.09, about 17% below its 52-week high of $4.92 and 43% above the low of $2.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coffee Holding Co Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coffee Holding Co Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.09, calculated fair value $3.49 (−15%), Quality Score 53/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JVA calculated?
We run Coffee Holding Co Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Coffee Holding Co Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $4.09. Our model-based fair value is $3.49, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coffee Holding Co Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) come from?
Earnings per share at Coffee Holding Co Inc grew −6.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.1 %, EBIT margin −7.8 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Coffee Holding Co Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The market capitalisation of Coffee Holding Co Inc is $23.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Earnings per share at Coffee Holding Co Inc are $0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The dividend yield of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 2.0% (payout 29.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The net margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
The operating margin of Coffee Holding Co Inc is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Revenue at Coffee Holding Co Inc is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)?
Earnings per share at Coffee Holding Co Inc are growing −59.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Coffee Holding Co Inc is −$5.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA) carry?
The net debt of Coffee Holding Co Inc is $7.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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