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Data-driven stock valuation

Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lithium Americas Corp stock C$2.31, price C$2.75, that is 15.9% below the price, quality 13 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA53681J1030

LA Lithium Americas Corp logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Lithium Americas Corp

LAC · TO
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +12.9 %/yr in USD)
Neutral coverage
Fair value C$2.31 · Overvalued (−15.9%)
Quality 13/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$16.01 C$2.60 Fair Value C$2.31 Oct 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range C$2.60 – C$16.01 · fair‑value band C$1.73 – C$3.45 · the C$2.75 price screens above the C$2.31 fair value. As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Lithium Americas Corp. focuses on developing, building, and operating of lithium deposits and chemical processing facilities in the United States and Canada.

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The company's flagship asset is the Thacker Pass project located in the McDermitt Caldera in Humboldt County, northern Nevada, as well as invests in exploration properties in the United States and Canada. Lithium Americas Corp. was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) currently trades at C$2.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.31, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$1.73 (bear) to C$3.45 (bull), the price of C$2.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Lithium Americas Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$124M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$1.1B (≈ $782M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.5800 · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −47.1% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) C$3.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1% · EPS growth (YoY) +12.6% · Free cash flow −$841M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −16%, LAC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$1.73 Fair Value C$2.31 Bull C$3.45
Price C$2.75 · Downside -15.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$2.06 C$2.76 C$4.11 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$2.06 C$2.76 C$4.11 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 1
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LAC screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)41 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs LAC
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 59.05 SAR 64.96 SAR +10% vs LAC
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs LAC
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs LAC
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs LAC
BHP Group BHP A$57.62 A$47.45 −18% vs LAC
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs LAC
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs LAC
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs LAC
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs LAC

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Lithium Americas Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lithium Americas Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LAC

Frequently asked questions

Is Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$2.31 versus a price of C$2.75, about 16% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LAC?
Our model-based fair value for Lithium Americas Corp is C$2.31 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.75.
What is the quality score of LAC?
Lithium Americas Corp has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$2.31 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.73, optimistic scenario C$3.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lithium Americas Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$2.31, about 16% lower versus a price of C$2.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$1.73, optimistic scenario C$3.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
Lithium Americas Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$3.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lithium Americas Corp it is C$2.31 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of C$2.75. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Lithium Americas Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, LAC trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.75, fair value C$2.31, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LAC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$2.31). For Lithium Americas Corp the two are C$0.4380 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lithium Americas Corp worth?
The market values Lithium Americas Corp at about C$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is C$2.75; our models calculate a fair value of C$2.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LAC?
Our models span a range for Lithium Americas Corp: cautious scenario C$1.73, base C$2.31, optimistic C$3.45 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price C$2.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is LAC from its 52-week high?
Lithium Americas Corp trades at C$2.75, about 69% below its 52-week high of C$8.80 and 6% above the low of C$2.60 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$2.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lithium Americas Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lithium Americas Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price C$2.75, calculated fair value C$2.31 (−16%), Quality Score 13/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LAC calculated?
We run Lithium Americas Corp through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$2.31 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lithium Americas Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$2.75. Our model-based fair value is C$2.31, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lithium Americas Corp right now?
Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (C$1.73 to C$3.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Lithium Americas Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
The market capitalisation of Lithium Americas Corp is C$1.1B (≈ $782M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
Earnings per share at Lithium Americas Corp are C$−0.5800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lithium Americas Corp is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lithium Americas Corp is −47.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
Revenue at Lithium Americas Corp is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lithium Americas Corp (LAC)?
Earnings per share at Lithium Americas Corp are growing +12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) generate?
The free cash flow of Lithium Americas Corp is −$841M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) hold?
Lithium Americas Corp holds more cash than debt, $373M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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