Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lithium Americas Corp stock C$2.31, price C$2.75, that is 15.9% below the price, quality 13 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Lithium Americas Corp
LAC · TOOur calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range C$2.60 – C$16.01 · fair‑value band C$1.73 – C$3.45 · the C$2.75 price screens above the C$2.31 fair value. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
Lithium Americas Corp. focuses on developing, building, and operating of lithium deposits and chemical processing facilities in the United States and Canada.
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The company's flagship asset is the Thacker Pass project located in the McDermitt Caldera in Humboldt County, northern Nevada, as well as invests in exploration properties in the United States and Canada. Lithium Americas Corp. was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) currently trades at C$2.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.31, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: C$1.73 (bear) to C$3.45 (bull), the price of C$2.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lithium Americas Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$124M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$1.1B (≈ $782M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.5800 · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −47.1% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) C$3.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1% · EPS growth (YoY) +12.6% · Free cash flow −$841M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −16%, LAC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 1 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
LAC screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →
Recent news
- Lithium Americas And 2 Other Canadian Lithium Stocks To Watch
- Top 3 Canadian Lithium Stocks To Watch In October 2026
- Altius Minerals Heads 3 Canadian Lithium Stocks To Watch
- 3 Canadian Lithium Stocks With Earnings Growth Up To 61%
Compare Lithium Americas Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Price/FCF by industry
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
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- Valuation of the Canada market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vedanta Limited VEDL | ₹261.75 | ₹334.17 | +28% | vs LAC |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 59.05 SAR | 64.96 SAR | +10% | vs LAC |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹568.10 | ₹624.91 | +10% | vs LAC |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥27.56 | ¥30.32 | +10% | vs LAC |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 503.40 | kr 464.45 | −8% | vs LAC |
| BHP Group BHP | A$57.62 | A$47.45 | −18% | vs LAC |
| Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 | ¥33.04 | ¥25.57 | −23% | vs LAC |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 960,000 KRW | 649,125 KRW | −32% | vs LAC |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥13.29 | ¥6.82 | −49% | vs LAC |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥38.65 | ¥4.44 | −89% | vs LAC |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Lithium Americas Corp
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