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Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Microalliance Group Inc. stock $0.53, price $1.50, that is 64.7% below the price, quality 82 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US · Based in China

MG Microalliance Group Inc. logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Microalliance Group Inc.

MALG · US
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 65% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 82/100
Highly profitable · 42.9% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)
Wide moat 84/100
Costs just 6 times its yearly profit.
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +3030.7 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $0.5300 · Strongly overvalued
Thin data
⚠ Thinly traded⚠ Small free float
Watch Microalliance Group Inc. for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$54.00 $0.0211 Fair Value $0.5300 Jun 2019 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0211 – $54.00 · fair‑value band $0.2400 – $0.6700 · the $1.50 price screens above the $0.5300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Microalliance Group Inc. develops and sells coffee and liquor products primarily in the People's Republic of China. It offers coffee products, including Chinese black tea, premium black coffee, and other coffee products.

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The company sells its coffee products wholesale to retail partners and corporate customers, as well as directly to consumers through its e-commerce channels. In addition, it provides pre-opening assistance services to retail partners to operate coffee stores.

Further, the company offers liquor products through sales agents, distributors, and franchisees. The company was formerly known as Fountain Healthy Aging, Inc. and changed its name to Microalliance Group Inc. in February 2022.

Microalliance Group Inc. is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG) currently trades at $1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5300, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.49 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.50 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.0800, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.2400 (bear) to $0.6700 (bull), the price of $1.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Microalliance Group Inc. reported revenue of $37.4M in FY2021 versus $2.1M in FY2019, a compound +321.2%/yr. Reported net income was $18.7M in FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $914M Small · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 3.00 · EPS (TTM) $0.2500 · Net margin 49.9% · Return on equity 36.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% (3-year average) · Operating margin 41.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 84 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 177% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −65%, MALG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0400 to $1.53). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.2400 Fair Value $0.5300 Bull $0.6700
Price $1.50 · Downside -64.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $0.2400 $0.2700 $0.3000 70
FCF DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 69
Growth DCF $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0600 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 69
Owner Earnings $0.1900 $0.3900 $0.7600 62
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0600 $0.1100 $0.2100 60
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.2800 $0.5600 $1.11 61
5Y P/E Exit $0.3400 $0.8600 $1.58 57
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0400 $0.1100 $0.1600 56
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2000 $0.5500 $1.21 53
10Y P/E Exit $0.2300 $0.6600 $1.40 50
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2100 $1.45 $2.04 57
Lynch FV $1.07 $1.53 $1.99 55
PEG = 1.0 $1.07 $1.53 $1.99 52
EPV $0.2400 $0.2700 $0.3000 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.8000 63
P/S Multiple $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1200 58
P/B Multiple $0.1900 $0.2500 $0.3200 55
EV/EBIT $0.5200 $0.7000 $0.8700 63
EV/EBITDA $0.4000 $0.5300 $0.6700 64
EV/Revenue $0.0700 $0.0900 $0.1200 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0600 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0600 67
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0600 $0.1200 $0.2400 59
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1400 $0.2500 $0.6600 54
ROIC Compounder $0.2800 $0.3600 $0.4500 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.7500 $1.07 $1.39 61

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 98
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 36
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 83
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 55
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

MALG screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 36.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 60.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 42.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 41.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −74.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 6.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs MALG
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs MALG
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs MALG
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs MALG
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs MALG
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs MALG
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs MALG
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs MALG
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs MALG
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs MALG

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Microalliance Group Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Microalliance Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MALG

Frequently asked questions

Is Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5300 versus the last price from Oct 26, 2026 of $1.50, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MALG?
Our model-based fair value for Microalliance Group Inc. is $0.5300 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 26, 2026): $1.50.
What is the quality score of MALG?
Microalliance Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5300 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.6700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Microalliance Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5300, about 65% lower versus the last price from Oct 26, 2026 of $1.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.6700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Microalliance Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Microalliance Group Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +321.2 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MALG use?
Our models discount Microalliance Group Inc. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Microalliance Group Inc. that is more than 80 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Microalliance Group Inc. grew +321.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of more than 80 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Microalliance Group Inc. (more than 80 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.12 %: that much free cash flow Microalliance Group Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Microalliance Group Inc. it is $0.5300 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $1.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Microalliance Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, MALG trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.50, fair value $0.5300, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MALG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5300). For Microalliance Group Inc. the two are $0.9700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Microalliance Group Inc. worth?
The market values Microalliance Group Inc. at about $914M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $1.50; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MALG?
Our models span a range for Microalliance Group Inc.: cautious scenario $0.2400, base $0.5300, optimistic $0.6700 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $1.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MALG?
Microalliance Group Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.5300 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Microalliance Group Inc. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 36.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 82/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MALG from its 52-week high?
Microalliance Group Inc. trades at $1.50, about 16% below its 52-week high of $1.78 and 177% above the low of $0.5423 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Microalliance Group Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Microalliance Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $1.50, calculated fair value $0.5300 (−65%), Quality Score 82/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MALG calculated?
We run Microalliance Group Inc. through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.5300 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Microalliance Group Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 26, 2026 and stands at $1.50. Our model-based fair value is $0.5300, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Microalliance Group Inc. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 82/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($0.2400 to $0.6700). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Microalliance Group Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The market capitalisation of Microalliance Group Inc. is $914M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Microalliance Group Inc. is 3.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Earnings per share at Microalliance Group Inc. are $0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The net margin of Microalliance Group Inc. is 49.9% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Microalliance Group Inc. is 36.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Microalliance Group Inc. is −3.7% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
The operating margin of Microalliance Group Inc. is 41.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Revenue at Microalliance Group Inc. is growing −74.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Microalliance Group Inc. (MALG)?
Earnings per share at Microalliance Group Inc. are growing −83.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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