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Microalliance Group (MALG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.1B

MG Microalliance Group logo Microalliance Group MALG · US
Price$1.76
Fair Value$0.1600
Upside-90.9%
Quality79/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 42.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Wide moat 84/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0900 – $0.2100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $0.5300 to $0.1600 (−69.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A strong business, but screening 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.0900 to $0.2100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$54.00 $0.0211 Fair Value $0.1600 Feb 2019 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0211 – $54.00 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.2100 · the $1.76 price screens above the $0.1600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Microalliance Group (MALG) currently trades at $1.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 90.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Microalliance Group generated revenue of $22.9M at a net margin of 42.9%. Revenue declined 74.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 4.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0900 (bear case) to $0.2100 (bull case); at $1.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -91%, MALG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0700 72
Growth-Adj P/E $0.9800 $1.40 $1.82 68
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0600 $0.1200 $0.2400 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 38
Owner Earnings $0.3900 $0.8100 $1.59 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0600 $0.1100 $0.2100 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.2900 $0.5700 $1.12 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.3400 $0.8700 $1.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0400 $0.1100 $0.1700 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2000 $0.5600 $1.23 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.2400 $0.6800 $1.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2100 $1.45 $2.04 54
Lynch FV $0.7500 $1.07 $1.39 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.7500 $1.07 $1.39 46
EPV $0.2500 $0.2800 $0.3100 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.8000 63
P/S Multiple $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1200 58
P/B Multiple $0.1900 $0.2500 $0.3200 55
EV/EBIT $0.5200 $0.7000 $0.8700 53
EV/EBITDA $0.4000 $0.5300 $0.6700 54
EV/Revenue $0.0700 $0.0900 $0.1200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0700 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0600 $0.1200 $0.2400 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2300 $0.4000 $8.87 61
ROIC Compounder $0.2900 $0.3900 $0.5000 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.9800 $1.40 $1.82 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1.40) versus Asset-Based ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $22.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -74.9%
Net margin 42.9%
Return on equity 36.1%
Free cash flow $1.1M FY2021
P/E ratio 4.6
More key figures
Operating margin 41.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) -83.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 98
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Microalliance Group Inc. develops and sells coffee and liquor products primarily in the People's Republic of China. It offers coffee products, including Chinese black tea, premium black coffee, and other coffee products.

Full company description

Microalliance Group Inc. develops and sells coffee and liquor products primarily in the People's Republic of China. It offers coffee products, including Chinese black tea, premium black coffee, and other coffee products. The company sells its coffee products wholesale to retail partners and corporate customers, as well as directly to consumers through its e-commerce channels. In addition, it provides pre-opening assistance services to retail partners to operate coffee stores. Further, the company offers liquor products through sales agents, distributors, and franchisees. The company was formerly known as Fountain Healthy Aging, Inc. and changed its name to Microalliance Group Inc. in February 2022. Microalliance Group Inc. is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2021 · reported fiscal years

Microalliance Group reported revenue of $37.4M in FY2021 versus $2.1M in FY2019, a compound +321.2%/yr. Reported net income was $18.7M in FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2021)
$37.4M
Latest YoY
+3,030.7%
Revenue +321.2%/yr
FY19 $2.1M
FY20 $1.2M
FY21 $37.4M
Net income
FY19 −$352K
FY20 −$628K
FY21 $18.7M

MALG screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Microalliance Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MALG

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 44% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -75% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1,009.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Microalliance Group (MALG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1600 versus a price of $1.76, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MALG?
Our model-based fair value for Microalliance Group is $0.1600 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.76.
What is the quality score of MALG?
Microalliance Group has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Microalliance Group (MALG)?
Microalliance Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MALG?
The net profit margin of Microalliance Group is about 42.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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