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OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OD6 Metals Ltd stock A$0.02, price A$0.08, that is 72.3% below the price, quality 22 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000222143

OM OD6 Metals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

OD6 Metals Ltd

OD6 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 72% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +358.1 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.0230 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 22/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.6350 A$0.0220 Fair Value A$0.0230 Jun 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range A$0.0220 – A$0.6350 · the A$0.0830 price screens above the A$0.0230 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

OD6 Metals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development mineral sector in Australia. The company explores rare earth elements, copper, and zinc deposits.

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Its flagship is the Splinter Rock project comprising six granted exploration licenses that covers an area of 2,579 square kilometers tenement package located in the Goldfields-Esperance region of Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6) currently trades at A$0.0830, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0230, 72% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

OD6 Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$44.2K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$5.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$30.5M (≈ $21.0M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −57.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.6% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$126K · Revenue growth (YoY) +272% · Free cash flow −A$1.4M · Net cash A$3.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −72%, OD6 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 94
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 8
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 1
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+358.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−244,631.7% (2022) → −2,357.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OD6 screens overvalued: fair value 72% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −42.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 272.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.40× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs OD6
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs OD6
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs OD6
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs OD6
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs OD6
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs OD6
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs OD6
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs OD6
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs OD6
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs OD6

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OD6 Metals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OD6 Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OD6

Frequently asked questions

Is OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0230 versus a price of A$0.0830, about 72% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OD6?
Our model-based fair value for OD6 Metals Ltd is A$0.0230 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0830.
What is the quality score of OD6?
OD6 Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0230 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OD6 Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0230, about 72% lower versus a price of A$0.0830 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
OD6 Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$126K (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OD6 Metals Ltd it is A$0.0230 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of A$0.0830. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is OD6 Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, OD6 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0830, fair value A$0.0230, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OD6?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0830); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0230). For OD6 Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OD6 Metals Ltd worth?
The market values OD6 Metals Ltd at about A$30.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0830; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0230 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
Balance-sheet figures for OD6 Metals Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −57.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OD6 from its 52-week high?
OD6 Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0830, about 60% below its 52-week high of A$0.2050 and 66% above the low of A$0.0500 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0230 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OD6 Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OD6 Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price A$0.0830, calculated fair value A$0.0230 (−72%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OD6 calculated?
We run OD6 Metals Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0230 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. OD6 Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0830. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0230, about 72% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OD6 Metals Ltd right now?
Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of OD6 Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
The market capitalisation of OD6 Metals Ltd is A$30.5M (≈ $21.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
Earnings per share at OD6 Metals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OD6 Metals Ltd is −57.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OD6 Metals Ltd is −15.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6)?
Revenue at OD6 Metals Ltd is growing +272% versus a year earlier (3y avg +358%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6) generate?
The free cash flow of OD6 Metals Ltd is −A$1.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does OD6 Metals Ltd (OD6) hold?
OD6 Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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